Fantasy Baseball

2017 Fantasy Baseball Week 19 Pitching Planner: How Long Must I Wait

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I walk with you everywhere I go
But it don’t seem like you know
I sang your praise like an old songbird
But I don’t suppose you heard

— ‘How Long Must I Wait’, Dr. Dog

So, you’ve been holding on to a starting pitcher for months, hoping he can get it right. You ‘sang their praise like an old songbird’ to people laughing at you for holding onto them. You feel that you must wait it out to get the satisfaction of being right.

How long must you wait, though?

As the wonderful band, Dr. Dog, put it, after awhile you notice that you took this pitcher ‘down the road’ and he was ‘with you on your own’. You don’t want to be the guy who waits until the very last minute to jump ship on a household name. However, look at it from the other angle – they have brought your team down for over half a season. It’s time to rid your roster of the negativity, especially with the stretch run quickly approaching.

Need some help? If you are in a league and still own Julio Teheran or Matt Moore, it’s time to ditch them. To take it one step further, if you see up-and-comers you like on waivers, I don’t blame you for dropping Johnny Cueto or Tanner Roark. If you are in a redraft league with no keepers, get rid of Noah Syndergaard and David Price already. Trust me, the weight lifted off your shoulders will redeem you!

If you have any questions regarding potential add/drop scenarios with pitchers, holler at me on Twitter. Now, time to rank them up!

2017 Fantasy Baseball Week 19 Pitching Planner

Auto-Start

The Auto-Start tier strictly includes pitchers that should be started every week regardless of league size and matchup.

PlayerTeamOpp1Opp2
Max ScherzerNationalsMIASF
Chris SaleRed Sox@TB
Corey KluberIndiansCOL
Alex WoodDodgers@ARI
James PaxtonMarinersLAA
Zack GreinkeDiamondbacksLAD
Luis SeverinoYankeesBOS

Promoted

  • No one was promoted this week. However, I did want to mention Max Scherzer for a second here to remind you of his neck injury. Don’t just assume he will back to normal after a trip to the chiropractor. Do your homework on him this week and gauge how he feels and if he’s going to start this week.

Relegated

  • No one was relegated this week. Nice work, team!

Auto-Stream

This tier consists of pitchers who don’t quite reach the trust level of the Auto-Starts. However, due to matchup or recent performance, they are capable of having elite level production in a given week.

PlayerTeamOpp1Opp2
Dallas KeuchelAstros@CWS@TEX
Zack GodleyDiamondbacksLADCHC
Carlos CarrascoIndians@TBCOL
Jacob deGromMets@PHI
Jimmy NelsonBrewersCIN
Rich HillDodgersSD
Jon LesterCubs@ARI
Sonny GrayYankees@TOR
Jeff SamardzijaGiants@WSH
Aaron NolaPhilliesNYM
Chris ArcherRaysCLE
Madison BumgarnerGiantsCHC
Carlos MartinezCardinalsATL
Yu DarvishDodgers@ARI
Michael FulmerTigersPIT

Notables

  • With one move, Yu Darvish just increased his fantasy value more than any other player during the MLB trade season. Much better team, much better park, elimination of the designated hitter – what more can you ask for?
  • With the move to the Yankees, Sonny Gray sees his value remain mostly unchanged. He leaves a pitcher’s park for one with a short porch in right field, but the team context is more superior. This does put a damper on either the value of Jaime Garcia or Jordan Montgomery though, as one could be delegated to the bullpen soon.

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  • Look who’s back in the Auto-Stream tier – everyone’s favorite old guy, Rich Hill! He’s been brilliant in the second half with a 2.12 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. This was the upside everyone was rooting for in the draft season – just had to be patient. Create a backup plan though…

Editor’s Note: It appears that Michael Fulmer will hit the DL with an elbow injury. Pay attention to the news to get clarity on the severity of the issue.

Dream Stream

The Dream Stream group more closely reflects the pitchers that you might find on the waiver wire depending on league size.

PlayerTeamOpp1Opp2
Brad PeacockAstros@CWS
Kenta MaedaDodgers@ARISD
Trevor CahillRoyalsSTL@CWS
Michael WachaCardinals@KCATL
Brent SuterBrewers@MINCIN
Luis CastilloRedsSD
Luke WeaverCardinals@KCATL
Jake ArrietaCubs@SF@ARI
Masahiro TanakaYankees@TOR
J.A. HappBlue JaysNYYPIT
Ariel MirandaMariners@OAKLAA
Ervin SantanaTwinsMIL@DET
Danny SalazarIndians@TB
Charlie MortonAstros@TEX
Jason VargasRoyalsSTL@CWS
Drew PomeranzRed Sox@NYY
Marcus StromanBlue JaysPIT
Gerrit ColePirates@DET
Hyun-Jin RyuDodgersSD
Sean ManaeaAthleticsBAL
Jose BerriosTwins@DET
Tyler SkaggsAngels@SEA
Jose QuintanaCubs@SF
Gio GonzalezNationalsSF
Danny DuffyRoyals@STL
Jacob FariaRaysCLE
Kyle HendricksCubs@SF
Eduardo RodriguezRed Sox@NYY
Jameson TaillonPirates@TOR
Collin McHughAstros@CWS
Ivan NovaPirates@DET
Erasmo RamirezMarinersLAA
Dylan BundyOrioles@LAA@OAK
Mike LeakeCardinalsKC
Jordan MontgomeryYankeesBOS
Lance LynnCardinalsKC
Rick PorcelloRed Sox@TB
Mike ClevingerIndians@TB
Taijuan WalkerDiamondbacksLAD
CC SabathiaYankees@TOR
Sean NewcombBravesPHI
Seth LugoMets@PHI
Justin VerlanderTigersPIT
Kendall GravemanAthleticsSEA
Ian KennedyRoyals@CWS
Jerad EickhoffPhillies@ATL
Kevin GausmanOrioles@OAK

Notables

  • I wished Brad Peacock into existence in last week’s pitching planner and now he returns in timely fashion. With a matchup with the White Sox on deck, he easily makes the case for streamer of the week.
  • A few weeks ago when Luis Castillo first came up, I was skeptical of his game translating into the big leagues. I am man enough to recognize my mistakes. He will be a great DFS play this week against the lowly Padres offense.
  • It’s back to the major league grind for Tyler Skaggs. He was pitching well before the injury and had nice rehab performances. If he is floating on your waiver wire out there and you are desperate for pitching, I don’t mind taking the flier on him.

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  • I like when things come full circle – Erasmo Ramirez returns to Seattle via trade. Although his starter/reliever splits are ugly, I’m expecting him to show out for his home debut. It doesn’t hurt that his start is against Mike Trout and the Unforgettable Eight. That is a solid name for a band, right?
  • After a long hiatus due to injury, Kendall Graveman finally returns to the Oakland rotation. I usually don’t like starting guys right out of rehab, but I will make an exception here. With a strong final tune-up start in Nashville, I am ready to trust him again.
  • So. Much. Kevin Gausman. Hype. Goodness gracious, can we end this, please? Anybody can have three straight good starts in a row. As a helpful analogy, Gausman is like the guy that sleeps with your girlfriend, then works to get back in your good graces, only to find out he was just trying to get with your new girlfriend. Don’t let him back in your life again!

Buyer Beware

These pitchers are better left on your bench for the week if not the waiver wire. Guys closer to the top could be on the brink of being promoted in the right matchup or with a continued hot streak. If a player is not listed in any tiers, that should be the cue to drop said player.

PlayerTeamOpp1Opp2
Trevor WilliamsPiratesDET@TOR
Dinelson LametPadres@CIN
Jhoulys ChacinPadres@CIN@LAD
Dan StrailyMarlins@WSH
Matt GarzaBrewers@MINCIN
Chad KuhlPiratesDET@TOR
JC RamirezAngelsBAL@SEA
Parker BridwellAngelsBAL@SEA
Mike FiersAstros@TEX
German MarquezRockies@CLE
Felix HernandezMarinersLAA
Trevor BauerIndians@TB
Luis PerdomoPadres@CIN@LAD
Lucas SimsBraves@STL
Jaime GarciaYankeesBOS
Jon GrayRockies@MIA
Matt BoydTigers@PITMIN
Patrick CorbinDiamondbacksCHC
Chris SmithAthleticsSEABAL
Marco EstradaBlue JaysNYY
Sal RomanoRedsSD@MIL
Adalberto MejiaTwinsMIL@DET
Jose UrenaMarlinsCOL
Jason HammelRoyals@STL
Tanner RoarkNationalsMIA
Zach DaviesBrewersMIN
Mike FoltynewiczBraves@STL
Steven MatzMets@PHI
Anibal SanchezTigersMIN
Paul BlackburnAthleticsBAL
R.A. DickeyBraves@STL
Tim AdlemanRedsSD
Ricky NolascoAngels@SEA
Jeff HoffmanRockies@MIA
Ty BlachGiantsCHC
Alex CobbRaysCLE
John LackeyCubs@ARI
Kyle FreelandRockies@MIA
Rafael MonteroMetsTEX
Clayton RichardPadres@LAD
Nick PivettaPhilliesNYM
Vince VelasquezPhilliesNYM
Yovani GallardoMariners@OAK
Jeremy HellicksonOrioles@LAA
Adam ConleyMarlins@WSH
Cole HamelsRangersHOU
Matt MooreGiantsCHC@WSH
Carlos RodonWhite SoxHOU
Andrew CashnerRangers@NYM
Edwin JacksonNationalsMIA
Blake SnellRaysBOS
Martin PerezRangersHOU
Miguel GonzalezWhite SoxHOU

Notables

  • Peripherals paint a peculiar picture for Dinelson Lamet in 2017. Oh yeah, if you like alliteration then I got you! Anyway, checking out Lamet’s FIP and xFIP, they would suggest a bounce back in the final two months of the season. Generally speaking, he’s a couple of steps away from what Peacock and Castillo can give you.
  • To counteract the activation of Graveman, the A’s had to send Daniel Gossett back down to AAA. Chris Smith will remain in the rotation and try to tackle a tough two start week. For the record, I’m not interested at all.
  • The Braves have been very aggressive with their prospects this year. Enter Lucas Sims, who joins a youthful rotation in Atlanta. The scouting report basically says that he profiles like the guys mentioned before like Castillo and Lamet. He may not have the velocity like those guys, but he can deceive you with four different pitches. He had a decent debut against a tough Dodgers offense and he’s someone to keep on your radar in deeper leagues.

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  • We had a skipped start for Tim Adleman last week, which could be an effort to slow down his workload. He should be back this week, but this could be telling for how the Reds plan to address inning limits down the stretch.
  • It’s been a very tough skid for Jeff Hoffman. Unfortunately, the Rockies may have some options to replace him if they want to limit the rookie’s innings. He is a buy in dynasty leagues though as the stuff definitely stands out.
  • Sadly, it’s time to drop Carlos Rodon. I’m just not seeing many positives to take away since his return from injury. You are better off using that spot for a streamer each week.

Arms Amending

This table will be updated each week to show which pitchers are on the mend. The mid-tier pitcher that gets injured is always the guy who goes unnoticed on waiver wires, so use this to your advantage.

PlayerTeamInjuryAnticipated Return
Anthony DeScalafaniRedsStrained elbowSoon!
Tyson RossRangersBlisterSoon!
Adam WainwrightCardinalsBack tightnessSoon!
Robert GsellmanMetsHamstringSoon!
Robbie RayDiamondbacksConcussionSoon!
Stephen StrasburgNationalsElbow nerve impingementMid August
Jake OdorizziRaysStrained lower backMid August
Chase AndersonBrewersOblique strainMid August
Aaron SanchezBlue JaysBlisterLate August
Lance McCullersAstrosBack discomfortLate August
Brandon McCarthyDodgersBlisterLate August
Garrett RichardsAngelsCutaneous nerve in bicepsLate August
Clayton KershawDodgersBack strainEarly September
David PriceRed SoxElbow injuryTBD
Alex MeyerAngelsShoulder inflammationTBD
Noah SyndergaardMetsStrained latTBD
Johnny CuetoGiantsBlisterTBD

Notables

  • For every flight of a Peacock comes the descent of another. Unfortunately, Lance McCullers had to make that descent. He shouldn’t be out too long with this back injury and he probably needed the break after a rough start to the second half. Look for Francisco Liriano to get a spot start here and there as well.

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  • The status of Robbie Ray is in question after taking a baseball to the dome last week. If he can go, it will likely be at home against the Cubs. If he can’t, look for Anthony Banda to get a spot start. I left Banda out of the rankings for a reason – he is not very good at all.
  • While David Price hits the DL once again for elbow issues, Doug Fister will take over in the rotation. Stay far, far away, friends!

Check out the rest of our 2017 Fantasy Baseball content from our great team of writers.

About Tyler Thompson

Follow me on Twitter at @therealwody. For all the latest news and best advice out there, like us on Facebook, Google+ and Instagram.

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