Fantasy Baseball

2018 Fantasy Baseball Week 15 Pitching Planner: Change Is Gonna Come

on

Alright, I have a few things to address in the introduction here.

First, there will be no recap of last week’s performances. We have bigger fish to fry and I’m hungry as hell. I’m sorry about the bad news – this introduction would’ve been stupid long. Reading is a lot of work for you too, so don’t act like I’m the only semi-lazy one here.

Next, a change is gonna come. That’s not just an excuse to promote Greta Van Fleet again, but it’s real and on the way. I’ve been neglecting the integrity of the top two tiers and what they stand for in the past month or so. Check out the Auto-Start and Auto-Stream sections for more information.


I’ve been pooping out articles left and right lately. Since I start a new job on Tuesday, the unemployed Tyler with crazy free time will be no more. If you are in a dynasty league, take a look at the scouting trips I took on Fernando Tatis Jr. and Yordan Alvarez in the Texas League (AA). Also, be on the lookout for a midseason starting pitcher rankings article and an amateur dynasty draft piece. Yes, I was going absolutely stir-crazy without work to do!

Finally, I watched Interstellar (2014) yesterday for the first time. I’m generally not a fan of Matthew McCoughaney, but holy shnikes that movie was fantastic. I’m always way behind on movies, so send me some movies or TV shows that bend my mind like that. Black Mirror, Ex Machina, whatever awesome science fiction you can throw at me!

Ramble, ramble, ramble – it’s time to RANK ‘EM UP!

2018 Fantasy Baseball Week 15 Pitching Planner

Get customized Fantasy Baseball advice for your team using MyPlaybook from FantasyPros.

Auto-Start

The Auto-Start tier strictly includes pitchers that should be started every week regardless of league size and matchup.

NameTeamOpp1Opp2
Clayton KershawDodgers@SDLAA
Max ScherzerNationals@NYM
Chris SaleRed SoxTEX
Jacob deGromMetsPHI
Justin VerlanderAstrosOAKDET
Corey KluberIndiansNYY
Luis SeverinoYankees@CLE
Gerrit ColeAstrosOAKDET

Promotions & Relegations

  • From now on, I’m going to combine the promotions and relegations to make one section. It’s not often that we even experience either of these in the SP1 tier anyway. That said, there will be changes to this tier after the All-Star Break. We’ve been due for a purge and this group needs rebranding.

Auto-Stream

This tier consists of pitchers who don’t quite reach the trust level of the Auto-Starts. However, due to matchup or recent performance, they are capable of having elite level production in a given week.

NameTeamOpp1Opp2
James PaxtonMariners@COL
Aaron NolaPhillies@NYM@MIA
Robbie RayDiamondbacks@ATL
Jose BerriosTwinsKCTB
Blake SnellRays@MIN
Zack GreinkeDiamondbacks@ATL
Carlos CarrascoIndiansCIN
Charlie MortonAstrosOAK
Trevor BauerIndiansCINNYY
Madison BumgarnerGiantsOAK
Patrick CorbinDiamondbacks@COL@ATL

Promotions & Relegations

  • I’m going to start doing ‘Promotions’ and ‘Relegations’ in this tier as well. I end up talking about the same guys on a biweekly basis and it gets mundane when we know that they are in the SP2 tier. Just as in the Auto-Start tier, there will be changes post-ASB. No one is safe.

Dream Stream

The Dream Stream group more closely reflects the pitchers that you are contemplating starting or sitting. These are all worthy starters in a typical 12-team mixed league.

NameTeamOpp1Opp2
Rich HillDodgers@SDLAA
Kenta MaedaDodgers@SD
Ross StriplingDodgers@SD
Jose QuintanaCubs@SF
Dallas KeuchelAstrosDET
Alex WoodDodgersLAA
Jonathan LoaisigaYankees@BAL
Lance McCullers Jr.AstrosOAK
Jon LesterCubs@SD
Kyle HendricksCubs@SF@SD
Luke WeaverCardinals@CWS
Chris ArcherRaysDET
Jon GrayRockiesSEA
Jameson TaillonPiratesMIL
Jake ArrietaPhillies@BAL
Miles MikolasCardinals@CWS
Masahiro TanakaYankees@BAL@CLE
Sonny GrayYankees@BAL
David PriceRed SoxTOR
J.A. HappBlue Jays@BOS
Nick PivettaPhillies@NYM
Gio GonzalezNationals@PIT
Johnny CuetoGiantsCHC
Carlos MartinezCardinalsCIN
Lance LynnTwinsKC
Marcus StromanBlue Jays@ATL
Danny DuffyRoyals@MIN@CWS
Jack FlahertyCardinalsCIN
Freddy PeraltaBrewers@MIA
Frankie MontasAthletics@SF
Cole HamelsRangers@BAL
Nathan EovaldiRays@MIN
Mike FoltynewiczBravesTOR
Luis CastilloReds@STL
Rick PorcelloRed SoxTOR
Marco GonzalesMariners@LAA
Mike ClevingerIndiansNYY
Eduardo RodriguezRed SoxTEXTOR
Steven MatzMetsWSH
Garrett RichardsAngelsSEA@LAD
Zack WheelerMetsPHIWSH
Dylan BundyOriolesNYY
Carlos RodonWhite SoxSTL
Kyle GibsonTwinsTB
Zach EflinPhillies@NYM@MIA
Andrew SuarezGiantsCHCOAK
Sean NewcombBravesARZ
Kevin GausmanOriolesPHI
Junior GuerraBrewers@PIT
Tanner RoarkNationals@NYM
Nick KinghamPiratesMIL
Anibal SanchezBravesARZ
Mike MontgomeryCubs@SF
CC SabathiaYankees@BAL@CLE

Notables

  • We have a confirmed return for Chris Archer to the Rays rotation. Archer was doing ‘Archer’ things before his injury, which isn’t meant to sound all that positive. If he gets traded to a contender that can tinker with his pitch mix, we could really be cooking.
  • The Yankees have a busy schedule in the final week before the All-Star Break. Masahiro Tanaka is slated to start the Tuesday game and get a two-start week. However, we are still missing a starter for Game 1 of the Monday doubleheader. Don’t be surprised if Jonathan Loaisiga gets another chance to show off his electric stuff.

  • In the most Giants‘ way possible, we have a rotation spot in question between a struggling veteran and a promising rookie. Chris Stratton shouldn’t have any business fighting for this spot with Andrew Suarez when comparing the numbers. However, this is Bruce Bochy and the Giants we are talking about. I have ranked both of them according to the start that they project to have. You see the disparity between the two though.
  • So, Jon Gray was sent down to Triple-A to ‘work on some things’ by an organization that doesn’t understand underlying metrics. Now, with Chad Bettis on the disabled list, they may be forced to call him back up. I’m not shying away from starting an angry Gray against a decent Mariners offense in DFS. The ranking system I use loves Gray, but I wouldn’t risk a start at Coors Field unless you’re desperate.

Buyer Beware

These pitchers are better left on your bench for the week if not the waiver wire. Guys closer to the top could be on the brink of being promoted in the right matchup or with a continued hot streak. If a player is not listed in any tiers, that should be the cue to drop the said player.

NameTeamOpp1Opp2
Mike MinorRangers@BOS@BAL
Jeff SamardzijaGiantsOAK
Zack GodleyDiamondbacks@COL
Trevor RichardsMarlinsPHI
Felix HernandezMariners@LAA
Ivan NovaPiratesWSHMIL
Domingo GermanYankees@CLE
Andrew HeaneyAngels@LAD
German MarquezRockiesARZ
Joey LucchesiPadresLAD
Michael FulmerTigers@HOU
Shane BieberIndiansCINNYY
Jake OdorizziTwinsTB
Wei-Yin ChenMarlinsPHI
Shelby MillerDiamondbacks@COL
Wade LeBlancMariners@COL
Tyler ChatwoodCubs@SD
Trevor OaksRoyals@MIN
Jhoulys ChacinBrewers@MIA@PIT
Tyler MahleReds@CLE
Tyler AndersonRockiesARZSEA
Jakob JunisRoyals@CWS
Jose UrenaMarlinsMILPHI
Sean ManaeaAthletics@HOU@SF
Chase AndersonBrewers@MIA@PIT
Mike LeakeMariners@LAA@COL
Clayton RichardPadresCHC
Jordan ZimmermannTigers@TB
Pablo LopezMarlinsMIL
Aaron WilkersonBrewers@PIT
Antonio SenzatelaRockiesSEA
Jason HammelRoyals@MIN
Jeremy HellicksonNationals@PIT@NYM
Marco EstradaBlue Jays@ATL@BOS
Felix PenaAngelsSEA
Matt BoydTigers@TB
Anthony DeSclafaniReds@CLE@STL
Trevor WilliamsPiratesWSH
Corey OswaltMetsPHIWSH
John GantCardinalsCIN
Chris BassittAthletics@HOU@SF
Dan StrailyMarlinsMIL
Julio TeheranBravesTORARZ
Brad KellerRoyals@CWS
Matt HarveyReds@STL
Kyle FreelandRockiesARZ
Sal RomanoReds@CLE
Alex CobbOriolesTEX
Chris StrattonGiantsCHCOAK
Sam GaviglioBlue Jays@BOS
Brian JohnsonRed SoxTEXTOR
Ryan BoruckiBlue Jays@BOS
Tyson RossPadresLAD
Dereck RodriguezGiantsCHC
Jaime BarriaAngelsSEA

Notables

  • Good news: Shane Bieber has locked down a rotation spot in a perfect situation in Cleveland. Bad news: he gets a brutal two-start week in Week 15. The Yankees are obviously tough but don’t sleep on the Reds. Cincinnati has won 14 of their last 18 games (as of July 7th), averaging 6.5 runs per contest over that span. Cleveland moved some start around – Bieber Sunday/Clevinger Monday
  • If you are streaming Tyler Chatwood against the Padres, my thoughts and prayers are with you. He’s just the worst. I can’t wait until he gets moved to the bullpen. Whether it be by Yu Darvish taking his spot or the Cubs making a trade, I just can’t bear to watch Tyler Chat-walk pitch another game.

Embed from Getty Images

  • Okay, Sean Manaea, it’s kinda hard to complain, but c’mon! A 17.1% K-rate isn’t going to cut it. That mark sits well below the strikeout rates of Trevor Williams and Ivan Nova. His SwStr% is 2% lower than his 2016-2017 conglomerate. However, his O-Contact% is about 6% higher than it was last year, which makes me wonder if the weak contact he is getting is just as valuable as getting swings and misses. Someone smarter please help me out!
  • We talked about Jon Gray getting sent down to the minors earlier. The biggest beneficiary of this move was Antonio Senzatela. The 23-year-old made his first start of the season on July 3rd, throwing seven shutout innings and allowing just three baserunners. As a starter last year, he was pretty terrible with a 5.00 FIP and 4.47 xFIP in 111 innings.

Arms Amending

This is usually where I put the players that are on the disabled list or making rehab appearances. Not only is it important to know where they are in their recovery, but knowing who will be replacing them is key as well.

PlayerTeamInjuryThrowing?Return
Noah SyndergaardMetsStrained finger ligamentRehab start - Single-A (short)Soon!
Walker BuehlerDodgersRib microfractureRehab start - High ASoon!
Joe MusgrovePiratesRight index finger infectionSoon!
Stephen StrasburgNationalsShoulder inflammationSimulated gameMid July
Hyun-Jin RyuDodgersGroin strainRehab start - AZ Summer LeagueLate July
Vince VelasquezPhilliesBruised forearmLate July
Jake FariaRaysLeft oblique strainRehab start - High ALate July
Trevor CahillAthleticsStrained right AchillesSimulated gameLate July
Drew PomeranzRed SoxBIceps tendinitisRehab start - Triple ALate July
Brandon McCarthyBravesKnee tendinitisLate July
Aaron SanchezBlue JaysIndex finger contusionFlat groundLate July
Max FriedBravesMiddle finger blisterLate July
Tyler SkaggsAngelsRight adductor strainEarly August
Brent SuterBrewersForearm tightnessEarly August
Erick FeddeNationalsShoulder inflammationEarly August
Yu DarvishCubsElbow impingementMid August
Shohei OhtaniAngelsUCL sprainLate August
Jimmy NelsonBrewersShoulder surgerySeptember
Michael WachaCardinalsOblique strainSeptember
Mike SorokaBravesShoulder tightnessSeptember

Notables

  • Despite trade rumors circling, Noah Syndergaard continues to work his harder in rehab. Thor will have a rehab start at short-season Single-A, then he could rejoin the Mets before the All-Star Break. Start him if he goes!
  • It looks like Stephen Strasburg could be back soon. He will make a rehab start this week and possibly another one before the All-Star Break. I’d be expecting him to start on the Friday after the All-Star Break since I’m assuming Max Scherzer will throw an inning or two in the actual game.

  • Walker Buehler could get a start this week against the Padres or Angels. If the Dodgers say he’s ready, I’m firing him up in my fantasy lineups!
  • Yes, I realize that Shohei Ohtani is hitting and off the disabled list. Another cool thing about having a two-way player – having him in the ‘Arms Amending’ section while he’s still contributing to the offense.
  • I used to not be a fan of Vince Velasquez, but that all changed. He made a ridiculously normal throw with his left arm after his right arm was struck by a line drive. It’s going to cost him a trip to the disabled list, but how incredible is that play!
  • Joe Musgrove had a finger infection that was preventing him from executing his pitches. So, he got thrown on the disabled list. If any of your parents want to scare your kids out there, tell them this happens when they don’t wash their hands.

Check out the rest of our great 2018 Fantasy Baseball content.

About Tyler Thompson

Follow me on Twitter at @therealwody. For all the latest news and best advice out there, like us on Facebook, Google+ and Instagram.

Recommended for you

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.