2018 Fantasy Football Draft Kit

2018 Fantasy Football Running Back Do Not Draft List

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Talking in absolutes is hard. A do not draft list is just that, an absolute. I’m going to start right out by saying that the players I mention are not absolute do not draft players. However, at their current ADPs, they would need to take a huge slide in my leagues for me to draft them.

That pretty much means that I will not own any of them on my Fantasy Football teams because inevitably somebody in my league will take them before me.

Now you may disagree, and if you do, please hit me up on Twitter and tell me why. I just know I have stated a very good case and so you best come with yours.


2018 Fantasy Football Running Back Do Not Draft List

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Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints

This is the one running back that wouldn’t take me too long to scoop up after his ADP. I have yet to see Kamara go past pick five in any of my drafts or mocks, which means he won’t be on my teams if I have a late first round pick. I’m okay with that.

I get it. Kamara was special last year and Mark Ingram faces suspension for the first four games of the season.

My take on it is that those expecting Kamara to repeat and get even better in year two are likely in for a disappointment.

The reason being, he never saw more than 12 carries in any single game last year. It is also hard to expect a repeat of six yards per carry and 10 yards per reception this season, all the while having Kamara score at the rate he did last season.

That is what you will need – a repeat of the season he had in 2017. Unless his touches increase significantly, you can’t count on Kamara past the first four games.

Jerick McKinnon, San Francisco 49ers

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Don’t get me wrong. McKinnon has a huge opportunity in front of him. He looks like the only real option in San Fran, so the volume will be there.

My hesitation with him is that while in Minnesota, they gave him the chance to be the guy a few times while Adrian Peterson sat out with injuries and league discipline. Yet he never truly had the ability to take advantage.

The Vikings gave McKinnon the keys to the car in 2016 and 2017, but he was never consistent enough to keep them. In 2016, he wound up splitting time with Matt Asiata. In 2017, he gave way to who many thought was a forgotten man, Latavius Murray.

To expect McKinnon to turn in to a dependable running back just because he is getting the keys the car… again, even in a Kyle Shanahan offense, is risky. At his ADP, I want somebody who is a little more proven than he is.

Derrick Henry, Tennesse Titans

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I like Henry a lot, I really do. He was fantastic while Demarco Murray was sidelined. We all witnessed that late last season and into the playoffs.

A great deal of excitement surrounded Henry after the season because many thought he would have the Titans backfield to himself. That didn’t last long as the team signed Dion Lewis to a substantial contract. This proves they are going to give Lewis the ball frequently.

All that said, Henry remains a third-round pick with Lewis going three rounds later. I don’t mind the price tag on Lewis, but I don’t understand why Henry is getting as much love as he is.

The Titans did not pay Lewis to play second-fiddle to Henry. This will be a true 50/50 committee, yet it is not being drafted like one.

Rashaad Penny, Seattle Seahawks

As a first-round pick in the 2017 draft, some immediately thought Penny would take over for a Seahawks team struggling to run the ball in recent years.

Well, how things have changed since the draft. Early reports in camp are that Chris Carson looks like the better back and likely, at the very least, begin the year as the starter.

This situation could very well change throughout the preseason depending on performance. But for now, though, there is no chance I draft Penny where is he going with the chance that he could wind up being a backup.

Marshawn Lynch, Oakland Raiders

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Lynch was an overall solid running back last year. However, a closer look reveals he was relevant only because he scored seven touchdowns.

Beastmode is now another year older and the Raiders added Doug Martin to their roster. This puts the Raiders into the committee discussion and ultimately makes it hard for me to draft Lynch at his ADP.


Visit the F6P Fantasy Football Draft Kit Page for more advice to prepare for the 2018 season.

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About Joe Bond

Not just another "Average Joe" when it comes to Fantasy Sports, he is the fantasy brain trust behind the up-and-coming FantasySixPack.net website. He has been spreading his love and addiction of fantasy sports there and many other sites including SoCalledFantasyExperts.com, FantasyPros.com, and FanDuel.com. Joe has finished as the No. 5 Fantasy Football Draft Ranker on Fantasy Pros in 2014, while being the No. 1 QB ranker for in-season during 2016. He has also finished in the top-15 twice for Fantasy Baseball Draft Rankings. You can find him on Twitter, @F6P_Joe, where he is waiting by the keyboard for your question.

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