2018 Fantasy Football Busts

2018 Fantasy Football Tight End Busts: Familiar Names


Following up on my Tight End Positional Preview and Tight End Sleeper articles, this article will discuss some potential 2018 Tight End Busts. Busts are players who underperform to their draft expectations and finish the season significantly lower. The tight end pool is thin and highly inconsistent, so if you draft a bust at this position, it is not necessarily the end of the world. But, to avoid frustration and to minimize risks, here are a few players who appear to have high bust potential.

2018 Fantasy Football Tight End Busts

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Jimmy Graham, Green Bay Packers

Graham was already mentioned in my tight end preview article but for those who missed it, here is my reasoning for why Graham will be a bust. “Over the past four years, the Green Bay Packers have not had a tight end finish 15th or better in fantasy football. Martellus Bennett finished 38th in 2017, Jared Cook finished 29th in 2016, Richard Rodgers finished 15th in 2015, and Andrew Quarless finished 34th in 2014.

Jimmy Graham is more talented than the aforementioned tight ends. He even has his fair share of top elite fantasy finishes. The problem is that these successful years for Graham were mostly during his glory days in New Orleans and a few good spells with Seattle. Now joining a Green Bay team that prefers to distribute the ball among receivers, Graham is likely to have his worst season, for Fantasy Football purposes, in a long time.”

Graham as the fourth tight end off the board is way too high. Buyer Beware.

Jack Doyle, Indianapolis Colts

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Jack Doyle was everyone’s favorite sleeper last year and then Andrew Luck did not play in a single game. Doyle still managed to finish as a TE1 and with Luck back he should improve. Maybe not. The Colts brought in Eric Ebron who is, in my opinion, a better athlete and tight end, than Jack Doyle. Doyle had is fair share of issues last year.

It took high volume and frequent targets from Jacoby Brissett to make Doyle Fantasy relevant. The Colts like to use two tight ends and Ebron should significantly eat into the tight end target share. Doyle is a strong candidate to disappoint.

Cameron Brate & OJ Howard, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Jameis Winston’s suspension is the main reason for this mention. Brate has been solid with Winston at QB the past couple of years and those hoping for Howard to benefit from Winston’s usage of the tight end might have to wait. In the five games that Fitzpatrick played in last year, Brate had no more than one reception and fewer than 12 yards in four of those games. Likewise, Howard had only two games in that span with over 16 yards.

Fitzpatrick is in a good position to fill in for Winston in the first few games, but tight ends are his lesser options. Therefore, starting the season slowly, plus a continued timeshare between Brate and Howard, this tight end tandem is worth avoiding.

Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs

Kelce is also in the tight end preview. Here is what I had to say:

Kelce’s ADP is way too high this year considering the several risks associated with him.

First, we do not know how his chemistry will compare with Pat Mahomes next to Alex Smith. Additionally, Kelce produces as a yardage guy in fantasy – with over 1000 yards last season. However, the Chiefs essentially had just two main receiving options – Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill.

With the addition of Sammy Watkins, there will be less yards and targets to go around for everyone. I am not saying that Kelce will not be great this year in Fantasy. What I am saying is that I do believe he regresses some. This makes the third round too high for him. If you are someone that must spend an early round pick on a tight end, wait a round or more for some guys like Zach Ertz, Greg Olsen, or Evan Engram who offer similar upside without the third-round investment.

Kelce should be a solid Fantasy starter but will he perform up to third round standards? I think not.

Visit the F6P Fantasy Football Draft Kit Page for more advice to prepare for the 2018 season.

2018 Fantasy Football Draft Kit Categories
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About Alex Hamrick

Alex is an avid fantasy football enthusiast and writer for Fantasy Six Pack. With a background in quantitative methods and analysis, Alex enjoys using statistics and data analytics to develop detailed fantasy football analysis. You can follow him on Twitter and Instagram @AlexBHamrick

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