Fantasy Football

2018 Fantasy Football Week 14 Defense Stream-O-Matic

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Unlike a pretty dope Drake album, if you’re reading this, it’s not too late. You have more life in your fantasy football season, which should make your views from the top of the standings a grand one.

Although your season has so far gone according to plan, the real season has just begun. And if you feel like nothing was the same in my Stream-O-Matic article, it’s because I’ve had a bit of a comeback season of my own in my personal life. It’s been an insanely hectic November and December, which means I give you lazy intros with album title references.

Anyway, here is the Stream-O-Matic for Week 14. Additionally, I have included some early rankings for Week 15. You can thank me later. If you feel like I can’t naturally get ‘scorpion’ in here, I just did.


Take care.

2018 Fantasy Football Week 14 Defense Stream-O-Matic

Scoring

I use a traditional rotisserie scoring style commonly used in fantasy baseball season-long leagues to give point totals to each team.

Categories

The categories for the chart are listed below along with links to websites that I use to find this data.

  • Own%: Ownership percentages based on ESPN leagues gives us an idea of who is available. This doesn’t factor into the standings.
  • Location: Generally speaking, defenses play better at home than on the road. Thus, a five-point advantage is given to all home teams.
  • Wind: The only weather element that has shown a direct correlation with point totals is winds in excess of 15 MPH. Another five-point bonus is awarded to teams playing in such windy conditions.
  • Vegas: Using Vegas odds, the spread and over/under generates a projected game score that the bettors go against. This game score portrays what the game flow could look like and, therefore, which fantasy football defenses are in a good position to succeed.
  • oSAC%: To gauge how good (or bad) an opposing offensive line might be, look at the sack percentage for that team’s offense. Not only are some offensive lines bad, but some quarterbacks don’t show the ability to avoid the sack.
  • oINT%: The opponent’s interception percentage obviously helps in streaming a defense. Turnover percentage is not used here because fumbles can be a little fluky and turnover percentage uses both fumbles and interceptions.
  • FPPG: I use ESPN defensive scoring rankings to determine a ranking of the fantasy football defenses.
  • DVOA: Probably the most popular tool for evaluating defenses, the DVOA efficiency ratings are utilized to give a strong baseline to the rankings.

Stream-O-Matic Chart

OverallDefenseOwn%OppLocationWindVegasoSAC%oINT%FPPGDVOA
132.5Bills57.4NYJ5030133023.531
126.0Broncos62.9SF002419272630
118.0Jaguars67.4TEN002232211528
115.0Cowboys34.9PHI502615202227
110.0Patriots56.2MIA052727171717
110.0Titans60.8JAX503230191014
104.0Saints46.5TB001311312524
102.0Rams96.7CHI001220232819
100.5Redskins63.5NYG5019261123.516
99.0Chargers79.4CIN50317122123
99.0Steelers58.2OAK00252542718
98.0Bears97.3LAR5071663232
98.0Giants5.9WAS00292328711
95.0Vikings85.1SEA00102832925
94.0Lions11.6ARI0028213285
93.0Cardinals23.2DET502018181121
93.0Texans91.6IND50171133126
92.0Colts27.5HOU00829151822
88.0Jets16.1BUF002312261413
88.0Ravens78.1KC0049163029
87.0Chiefs69.2BAL501514221912
87.0Browns10.7CAR501110291220
81.0Seahawks29.5MIN50216142015
78.0Packers55.7ATL50182481310
63.0Panthers60.3CLE001642599
61.0Eagles57.5DAL001431268
47.0Dolphins25.9NE55627166
39.0Bengals14.9LAC003171054
37.549ers5.2DEN509853.57
37.0Raiders1.5PIT50232412
31.0Falcons6.5GB00522121
26.5Buccaneers2.1NO501593.53

Defenses on Bye Week: NONE!

Optimum Score: 150

Top Defenses for Week 15

Alright, optimistic owners need to be looking ahead to next week’s defenses as well. I ran the Stream-O for next week and here is the early top 11:

  1. Jaguars (vs WAS)
  2. Texans (at NYJ)
  3. Ravens (vs TB)
  4. Vikings (vs MIA)
  5. Redskins (at JAX)
  6. Bears (vs GB)
  7. Broncos (vs CLE)
  8. Bills (at DET)
  9. Seahawks (at SF)
  10. Saints (at CAR)
  11. Rams (vs PHI)

There’s not a ton of opportunity here to stash defenses. I would just be sure to check out your league activity board to see if any of these defenses were dropped on waiver day.

The Broncos defense is rapidly becoming available in leagues for some reason. The Seahawks may have been dropped after a couple of weird performances, but they’ll be fighting for a Wild Card berth next week and I doubt they let Nick Mullens throw for 400+ yards a second time. The Jaguars-Redskins matchup is going to be a slugfest and great for fantasy defenses.

 


Check out the rest of our 2018 Fantasy Football content from our outstanding team of writers.

About Tyler Thompson

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2 Comments

  1. James

    December 6, 2018 at 10:23 am

    Can you run the stream-o-matic for week 16 as well?

    • Tyler Thompson

      December 6, 2018 at 12:05 pm

      Here’s what it looks like without Vegas lines:
      1. Bears (at SF)
      2. Rams (at ARI)
      3. Cowboys (vs TB)
      4. Redskins (at TEN)
      5. Texans (at PHI)
      6. Vikings (at DET)
      7. Jaguars (at MIA)
      8. Ravens (at LAC)
      9. Broncos (at OAK)
      10. Chargers (vs BAL)

      With Vegas lines, I would expect the Redskins and Ravens to move down while the Broncos/Colts/Titans/Patriots move up.

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