Congratulations to those who have made it this far in your fake football leagues.
There were a lot of upsets in week 14 both for teams and fantasy players. Games over the weekend of week 14 saw only four teams score over 30 points, and only five away teams picking up victories.
If the Sunday night thriller taught us anything, it is that game trends are meaningful and that freezing cold temperatures lead to low scoring games.
Before I begin I want to look at the target leaders from week 14 going into Monday night’s game:
1) Tyreek Hill (14)
2) Ezekiel Elliott (13)
3) Amari Cooper (13)
4) Robert Woods (13)
5) Michael Thomas (13)
The names on this list are not surprising, though only Amari Cooper saw a receiving touchdown out of this bunch. In fact, only four players had more than one receiving touchdown in week 14 going into Monday night’s game. They were:
1) Amari Cooper (3)
2) Julio Jones (2)
3) JuJu Smith-Schuster (2)
4) Cameron Brate (2)
As my four readers know by now, I love targets and consistency. Touchdowns are icing on the cake, but are pivotal in fantasy success at this stage of the game. While I will highlight players you can leave off of your rosters this week, my suggested adds will be those players who, I believe, will have a great chance of scoring in week 15.
2018 Fantasy Football Week 15 Drop List
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Mitchell Trubisky, Quarterback, Chicago Bears
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Don’t get me wrong, the Bears played out of their minds last night. This was mostly due to their defense shutting down Jared Goff and the ice cold Rams’ offense (#KhalilMackforMVP).
Mitch Trubisky returned to action after missing three weeks with a shoulder injury. He was just over 50% completion and threw three interceptions and had only one touchdown pass. The Rams defense is no joke, but this is not the poise and decision-making you want to see out of your starting quarterbacks going into the semi-finals of your fantasy football leagues.
The Bears get another home matchup in week 15 against division rival Green Bay. The conditions and pressure will be similar in this one. The Packers just beat the Atlanta Falcons in week 14, sacking them twice with one fumble recovery, one interception, and one touchdown. Mitch seemed rusty on the field and it translated to below 10 fantasy points this week. Yikes.
At this point in the season this is not a situation where I want to trust the North Carolina product with fantasy stardom on the line.
Quarterback to target: Derek Carr (Over 30 pass attempts over the past five weeks and gets Cincinnati in week 15)
Chris Godwin, Wide Receiver, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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This is a bold but multi-faceted choice for my list this week. While he did lead the team in targets with 10 this week, though he only caught one ball. One! Yes, Eli Apple covered him over the course of the game, but it looked like he had bricks for hands and two left feet all game long.
Godwin has only two red-zone targets over the past five weeks. To make matters worse, his target share is dependent upon the status of DeSean Jackson (thumb). Over the next couple of weeks he faces Baltimore on the road and Dallas in Arlington. The Ravens brought the Chiefs into overtime this week, holding them to under 30 points for just the third time this season.
Simply put, I understand he is a good receiver who has a lot of big games ahead, though he is not someone I want to trust against a stout defense in a big fantasy week. Leave him on the pine!
Receiver to target: Curtis Samuel (Stayed involved with eight targets even with Funchess back, gets the Saints at home on Monday night)
Tevin Coleman, Running Back, Atlanta Falcons
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Tevin has been on my drop list for a while now, but week 14 was the straw that broke the camel’s back. He hasn’t rushed over 10 times since week 10 and only has two rushing touchdowns on the season. To make matters worse, he hasn’t had over five targets in a game since November 10th against Washington, and with Atlanta losing four of their last five, things aren’t looking good.
Ito Smith has seen his rushing attempts increase weekly, though the team can’t get anything going on the ground. The Falcons face a tough Cardinals defense in week 15 and Matt Ryan has been sacked multiple times since October 14 against Tampa Bay. I’m done with Tevin and you should be too.
Running Back to target: Elijah McGuire (Found the end zone and Crowell left the game with a lower body injury)
David Njoku, Tight End, Cleveland Browns
Coming off a three-catch performance against Carolina, the Browns offense ran less than 46 plays all game. Njoku has only three receiving touchdowns on the season and only three red zone looks in the last seven games. Baker Mayfield has been decent, but the running game has been able to open up targets for Landry over the past few weeks.
The Browns face Denver on the road in week 15, and Njoku is a player I am not starting. Heed my warning.
Tight End to Target: Ian Thomas (Good matchup and had 11 targets last week)
Washington Redskins Defense
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The once division leader in the NFC East just gave up the highest point total of the week going into Monday night’s game. They have only two sacks in the past two weeks and had virtually no pass rush in week 14 against Eli Manning.
The Redskins played from behind all game and allowed 27 points in the second quarter! With poor coaching and tough times clouding all aspects of the organization, this is a situation to avoid.
Defense to target: Detroit Lions (Played well against Arizona and get an even worse Buffalo offense in week 15)
That does it for this week. Thank you again for your support.
Check out the rest of our 2018 Fantasy Football content from our great team of writers.
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