2018 Fantasy Football Week 16 Drop List: Men Are Made

by Christopher T. Luft

Congratulations to those who have made it this far! Hopefully, I have helped you make accurate fantasy decisions that have lead you oh-so-close to fantasy glory. I was wrong with my Tevin Coleman prediction (though injury dependent), but otherwise, I have been pretty spot on since taking over this post for the 2018-2019 season.

This was a weird week for fake football. A lot of guys who have shined most of the season were black holes for starting lineups, while unlikely names have emerged as stars for the fantasy playoffs. Week 16 is full of good matchups, which makes fantasy decision making even more dependent on trends and statistics.

Let’s start this week’s drop list by looking at notable injuries from week 15:

AJ Green to IR: Coach Marvin Lewis said that the surgery Green underwent Tuesday to address a right foot injury went well and noted the wideout should be ready to resume on-field work during OTAs in late May, Geoff Hobson of the Bengals' official site reports.

Frank Gore (foot) isn't expected to play again this season, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.

Isaiah Crowell (toe) is being placed on injured reserve Friday, Brian Costello of the New York Post reports.

Martavis Bryant (knee) has returned to the NFL's Reserve/Commissioner Suspended list indefinitely under the league's Policy and Program for Substances of Abuse.

2018 Fantasy Football Week 16 Drop List

Dak Prescott, Quarterback, Dallas Cowboys
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The Cowboys were shut out for the first time in over 10 years yesterday as the Colts’ defense had their way all afternoon.

Dak was 24/39 for 206 yards, with no touchdowns, and one interception. Yikes. To make matters worse, he didn’t have one rushing attempt in the contest. His throws seemed off and his decision-making didn’t look like the same Prescott who threw for 405 yards and three touchdowns in week 14 against Philadelphia.

The Cowboys get the Buccaneers in week 16, a team that is poor on defense, though fought down to the wire with the Ravens this week. I have little confidence in Dak and his total Quarterback rating of 52.3 on the season.

Quarterback(s) to target instead for week 16 owned in less than 40% of leagues: Sam Darnold or Case Keenum

Marquise Goodwin, Wide Receiver, San Francisco 49ers
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The 49ers battled all afternoon against Seattle and were rewarded with a nice division win. Goodwin was not the reason for it, and instead was a mere non-factor in this one. Big games see big playmakers come through while pointing out who quarterbacks’ trust in pivotal situations. It is clear that Dante Pettis and George Kittle comprise the bulk of the air attack in San Francisco.

Goodwin had only one catch for seven yards in week 15. This came after his two catch for 20-yard performance against Denver the week prior. The 49ers take on Chicago in week 16. I am not taking any chances in this one. Sit Goodwin and thank me now and later.

Wide Receiver to target instead for week 16 owned in less than 40% of leagues: Robby Anderson

Doug Martin, Running Back, Oakland Raiders and Dion Lewis, Running Back, Tennessee Titans
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The future does not look bright for these backs. Martin, who rushed nine times for 39 yards, while catching zero passes on just two targets. The Bengals came into the game in the bottom of most rushing defense categories and Martin still didn’t capitalize. Martin has failed to go over 72 rushing yards in a game all season and with the Raiders always playing from behind, Martin has little to no value in fantasy lineups.

Derrick Henry had Dion Lewis on his fantasy team to start the season. Over the past several weeks Henry has shown why he deserves his four-year, $5,407,928 contract. This week Lewis only had seven carries for 35 yards, while catching just three passes for nine yards. With this emergence, Henry has become the guy to start in Tennessee going forward.

Running Back to target instead for week 16 owned in less than 40% of leagues: Elijah McGuire

Cameron Brate, Tight End, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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Even with the injury to OJ Howard, Brate has never had more than three catches in a game. The Ravens shut down the Bucs’ passing attack this week, and Brate finished the game with one catch off two targets for nine yards. Yikes. This situation is too touchdown dependent for me to trust. I didn’t like what I saw here especially with an angry Dallas team next up who allowed just one catch to Eric Ebron in week 15.

Tight End(s) to target instead for week 16 owned in less than 40% of leagues: Gerald Everett or Chris Herndon

New York Giants Defense
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This is a unit that is very streaky. They have played well against opponents early on, but with the offense struggling and notable injuries on both sides of the ball, they are on the field early and often. I wrote about Tennessee’s underrated offensive line earlier this season and this game held true to that. The Giants only sacked Mariota once, while allowing 17 points in the rain to the 27th ranked offense in the NFL. They get the Colts on the road in week 16. Nope.

Defense to target instead for week 16 owned in less than 40% of leagues: Indianapolis Colts

Thank you all very much for your support and kind words throughout the season. Follow me @LuftCT

Check out the rest of our 2018 Fantasy Football content from our great team of writers.


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