Daily Fantasy Sports

2018 NFL DFS Week 1 Picks: DFS is Back!


The NFL kicked off on Thursday Night Football as the Philadelphia Eagles defeated the Atlanta Falcons, on the same night they unveiled their Super Bowl LII championship banner.

Sunday Night Football (Bears/Packers) and the Monday Night Football double-header (Jets/Lions, Rams/Raiders) also limits our player pool in Week 1.

Below I highlight three players at the QB/RB/WR/TE positions at different price points that I think are solid building blocks to creating winning lineups.

2018 NFL DFS Week 1 Picks

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Tom Brady vs Texans

$8600 FanDuel – 21.19 projection
$7200 DraftKings – 22.47

There seems to be no end in sight for Brady’s career. He threw for over 500 yards in the Super Bowl proving that he’s still a reliable option for the time being. In what will most likely be a shootout against the Texans and Deshaun Watson, Brady will have to rely on his arm for most of the game. As a result, expect Brady to be a solid return on investment this week.

Philip Rivers vs Chiefs

$7500 FD – 18.01
$6400 DK – 19.21

My love affair with the Chargers offense is well documented at this point. Rivers is a mid-range cost but an excellent talent that has three very capable receiving options. This game could also be a shootout if Mahomes gets things going on Sunday for the Chiefs. We can expect Rivers to do what he always does and put up low-end QB1 points against a relatively weak secondary.

Tyrod Taylor vs Steelers

$6600 FD – 16.17
$5400 DK – 16.56

Taylor has always been reliable, but never amazing. Now with a new team and weapons around him that vastly outweigh what he’s had before, look for Tyrod to be a reliable option most weeks. While the Steelers have a good defense, Taylor should be able to put up points both through the air and with his legs. This isn’t a pick that will wow you, but he’s a pick with the best potential to outperform his cost.

Running Backs

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Leonard Fournette vs Giants

$8000 FanDuel – 15.28 projection
$7100 DraftKings – 17.26

While the Giants did a lot to improve their offense, the defense has remained largely the same. Fournette carries this offense on his shoulders and until we know what the wide receiver workload looks like, he is the safest option on the Jaguars.

Alex Collins vs Bills

$6700 FD – 12.72
$5600 DK – 14.40

Collins provides a good value this week from an ideal matchup. I doubt the Bills will get much going against the Ravens dominant defense so Collins should get touches early and often. His low cost makes him an excellent option as an RB2/FLEX option.

Dion Lewis @ Dolphins

$6200 FD – 9.93
$4900 DK – 11.20

Dion’s main shortcoming has always been availability. He proved last year that when healthy he could be a player a team can rely on. Miami’s secondary is good enough that Dion should see a healthy amount of targets out of the backfield. He is a cheaper option with high upside and a relatively high floor.

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Wide Receivers

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Michael Thomas vs Buccaneers

$8500 FanDuel – 14.88 projection
$7800 DraftKings – 18.43

The Saints should run away with this game. But in the offseason, the Bucs did a lot to improve their run defense. So while Michael Thomas is always a safe bet, he stands to have a big day against a predictable and easy to beat defense. He is a stud that you can build your team around with confidence.

Chris Hogan vs Texans

$6700 FD – 12.71
$6100 DK – 15.59

Hogan is New England’s number one wide receiver and one of the few who has established chemistry with Brady. This matchup is very likely to be high scoring, and while the Texans worry about Gronk, Hogan should have no problems dominating the Texans secondary.

Chris Godwin @ Saints

$5500 FD – 7.52
$4100 DK – 9.21

Marshon Lattimore proved to be a very effective shutdown corner. This is bad for Mike Evans but good for the rest of the receivers on the team. Godwin seems to be the most talented on the team outside of Evans and has shown his potential for big games already. He is by no means a sure thing for success with Jameis Winston being suspended, but he is a cheap option with very high upside.

Tight Ends

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Delanie Walker @ Dolphins

$6100 FanDuel – 9.68 projection
$4900 DraftKings – 12.1

Walker has an ideal matchup and is likely not the main focus of the defense. Miami will have to focus on Corey Davis and stopping the run game. Walker will likely resume his role of safety blankets for Mariota.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins @ Giants

$4600 FD – 7.01
$3200 DK – 8.81

The Jags showed last year that they aren’t afraid to let Blake Bortles throw the ball. ASJ could be a reliable option, particularly in the red zone. While he will likely be touchdown dependent, the Giants gave up the second most points to tight ends last year. So if you don’t favor elite tight ends, the matchup against the Giants is an ideal matchup to target…every week.

ASJ is currently dealing with a “nagging core muscle injury” – keep an eye on this before lineups lock!

Mike Gesicki vs Titans

$4700 FD – 6.17
$2900 DK – 7.48

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Gesicki is freakishly athletic and is an under-rated prospect to absorb some of Jarvis Landry‘s targets. Reports out of camp are that Tannehill already established good chemistry with his new tight end. The Titans have a respectable secondary and DeVante Parker is ruled out, which should open up some targets for Gesicki. While he is completely unproven, Gesicki has the chance to do quite well for any team that has already blown their budget on other positions.

Check out the rest of our 2018 Fantasy Football content from our great team of writers.

About Bobby Shepherd

Bobby has played fantasy football since he was first tall enough to reach a draft board. He eats sleeps and breathes stats and is always excited to share his findings.

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