Daily Fantasy Sports

2018 NFL DFS Week 10 Picks

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I’m glad everyone managed to pull themselves away from Red Dead Redemption 2 long enough to remember its football season.

Aren’t we are all excited to see the Jets play the Bills this weekend?!

Let’s just jump right into it this week so you can win millions of dollars again this week!


2018 NFL DFS Week 10 Picks

Quarterbacks

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Philip Rivers @ Oakland Raiders

DraftKings $6000
FanDuel $8200

This is the easiest pick most of us will make this week. He is reasonably priced and is facing the same team that just made Nick Mullens look like an All-Pro. Now the Raiders lost Bruce Irvin as well.

The only real question here is how long will Rivers be required to throw the ball. It is because of this concern that I am hesitant to call Rivers a top five option. But he is almost guaranteed top 10 numbers with a near limitless upside.

Andy Dalton vs New Orleans Saints

DK $5800
FD $7900

Dalton has been for the most part quite surprising this year. He hasn’t really blown anybody away but he also hasn’t brought shame on himself very often either.

He has renewed our faith in him as a matchup-based starter. And there are very few matchups as good as one against the Saints. Dalton is down A.J. Green which is a killer. But the rest of his weapons will have little trouble running rampant against the Saints defense.

Also important to mention that when you factor out the prime-time stinker in KC Dalton is averaging 20.75 Draft Kings points per week.

Marcus Mariota vs New England Patriots

DK $4700
FD $6700

Don’t Roll your eyes at me without hearing me out first.

I love my Patriots, but they give up a ton of yards. They also struggle immensely with mobile QBs (see Mitch Trubisky Week 7). The Titans have looked bad some games and great others and when they win it usually rests on the shoulders of Mariota to make it happen.

You should also factor in that there will be no time to waste running when the Belichick/Brady combination tears apart their weak secondary. So broken play scrambles and constant throwing are always a thing to target in a QB.

Mariota is a risky play and I don’t recommend him if you play head to head games. But if you want to cram Alvin Kamara and Melvin Gordon onto one team and need a boom or bust QB to do it, then look no further.

Running Backs

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Kareem Hunt vs Arizona Cardinals

DraftKings $8500
FanDuel $9000

Not much about this needs to be explained. Kareem Hunt is a badass dude and the Cardinals bleed points to running backs. His passing down work makes him game script proof in case Arizona surprises us all and makes it a close game.

But the fact that KC is likely to destroy them means plenty of garbage time for Hunt to run out the clock. For those reasons, Kareem Hunt is my must play chalk pick of the week.

Tarik Cohen vs Detroit Lions

DK $5500
FD $6400

Cohen is the most efficient back on this team. Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen will likely split time picking the Lions apart. Cohen, however, has earned our trust as the superior option.

Detroit gives up 5.1 yards per carry, second only to Kansas City. And as we saw last week their offense can be beaten pretty easily with a good pass rush. All this adds to a good day for running backs and Cohen has the pass-catching upside.

Browns Running Backs vs Atlanta Falcons

Nick Chubb
DK $5500
FD $6700

Duke Johnson
DK $4700
FD $5600

Last week we saw Duke Johnson blow up and Nick Chubb had a very solid day. Atlanta’s defense has had a lot of injuries to deal with and has become a top defense to target.

Chubb has fully embraced his workhorse role since the Carlos Hyde trade and has yet to have less than 18 touches in a game. Volume is key for him because as I pointed out last week, he has the explosiveness to have a massive game any week.

Johnson had a massive game last week, and I’m not saying to expect another 29.6 point day. But the same things that allowed his big game¬† – apply this week. The Browns will likely be playing from behind, the Falcons can’t cover running backs, and the new Offensive Coordinator isn’t Hue Jackson.

 


Aaron Jones vs Miami Dolphins

DK $5000
FD $6500

Because of the huge price difference, I like this pick better on DraftKings. But I think this is a good pick regardless of scoring. Rodgers will do Rodgers things for about 25 minutes before the game gets out of hand. A frozen Brock Osweiler will mean garbage time early.

I know McCarthy has been limiting Jones’ opportunities but in Garbage time against a bad run defense, Aaron Jones is the guy to have. He’s got the explosiveness that Jamal Williams lacks and is a touchdown threat every time he touches the ball.

Wide Receivers

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Julian Edelman @ Tennessee Titans

DraftKings $6800
FanDuel $7300

The PPR machine has a great matchup this week. The Patriots can out-scheme anybody and make even great defenses look bad. And as much as I want to route for Mike Vrabel, I doubt his secondary can really stop anybody on this team.

Josh Gordon absorbs most of the coverage and defensive attention. That means this week Jules will be going head to head with Malcolm Butler. I don’t expect the Pats to be petty and target Butler to humiliate him. I expect the Pats to target him because it’s easy to succeed when targeting him.

Jarvis Landry vs Atlanta Falcons

DK $6200
FD $6400

Landry has had a bit of a slow stretch the past few weeks. But Landry has a great chance to bust out this week. He is by far the most talented receiver on his team and has had double-digit targets in all but two games this season.

Atlanta has given up a 70% catch rate so 10 targets could mean easily seven catches. Atlanta has also given up the fifth most yards after the catch which is where Landry is at his best.

Also, no more Hue Jackson.

Tyrell Williams @ Oakland Raiders

DK $4500
FD $6500

Phillip Rivers runs a top 10 offense in L.A. and Gruden Runs a bottom three defense. My concern for the passing offense is the high likely hood of a blowout.

But Tyrell Williams has made the best of limited targets. He has yet to exceed 4 catches in any game. And let’s face it, Keenan Allen has soaked up all the defensive attention leaving everyone else open. Which is bad for those of us who drafted Allen in year-long formats, but great for everyone else.

Tyrell comes with my usual boom or bust warning. He could score anywhere from 4 to 30 points so be prepared to accept the risk.

Maurice Harris @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

DK $3900
FD $5900

I did my best to not pick on Tampa relentlessly this week. But I just had to when I saw how much his price was. This is another pick that I’m recommending mostly for draft kings due to the lower cost.

Tampa has been killed by slot receivers every single week. Couple that with the check down king Alex Smith and its a recipe for success and you get him for next to nothing on draft kings.

Tight Ends

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Travis Kelce vs Arizona Cardinals

DraftKings $7000
FanDuel $8000

Just pay the money. Its Trav and he’s the man. Just pay for him.

Jack Doyle vs Jacksonville Jaguars

DK $4300
FD $5600

Jack Doyle is basically the WR2 on his team. And the Jags are still very good but they have always been susceptible to TEs.

Jack Doyle’s first game back was a pretty good looking display of his potential. He led all TEs in fantasy points week 8. Jacksonville will put up more resistance but Andrew Luck is playing in his old form and should put up respectable numbers.

If you’re not into getting big name TEs then Doyle should be played confidently.

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About Bobby Shepherd

Bobby has played fantasy football since he was first tall enough to reach a draft board. He eats sleeps and breathes stats and is always excited to share his findings.

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  1. Pingback: Friday, November 9, 2018 – Fantasy Football Links | FantasyRundown.com

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