2018 NFL DFS Week 3 DraftKings Cash Lineup Advice

by Kyle Gahagan
2018 NFL DFS Week 3 DraftKings Cash Lineup Advice

The strategy for constructing a cash lineup is completely different than GPP, relying more on high-floor players and less on stacks and ownership levels. Cash games often provide a more predictable return on investment than GPP.

Last week, my DraftKings cash lineup was able to return 120.9% on my main slate entries, anchored by Patrick Mahomes, James Conner, and Michael Thomas. I felt that all these players were locks given their floor, ceiling, and price. I loved playing Thomas for only 200 cheaper than Antonio Brown.

2018 NFL DFS Week 3 DraftKings Cash Lineup Advice

Running Backs

Last week, I spent over $18,000 (36% salary budget) on three running backs. With pricing tighter this week, you must be able to adjust your strategy and take value where you can get it.

Kareem Hunt ($6.1k) has an 81.8% opportunity share for the highest-scoring offense in the NFL that has zero total rushing TD’s. He is also in the highest over-under game of the week. He is the only running back I am building around this week.

Ezekiel Elliott and Melvin Gordon will get guaranteed volume and are almost $2,000 cheaper than Alvin Kamara.

You can count on Latavius Murray, Gio Bernard and Tevin Coleman to see a large amount of touches for a fair price.

Lamar Miller ($5.0k) is only the 25th most expensive running back on a main slate that has 26 teams. He has six red zone touches but zero touchdowns.

In what appears to be a timeshare, Kenyan Drake has the 14th highest snap share in the league and is playing an Oakland defense that just gave up 107 yards to Phillip Lindsay.

Lock up Hunt and decide on one/two of these other running backs.

Wide Receivers

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In cash, you need to anchor in a top-5 wide receiver to ensure safety and a potentially high ceiling. Michael Thomas could be that guy again this week. You should be not scared to spend $8.9k to pay for a 38% target share and six red zone receptions (2nd for WR’s).

Julio Jones is also another option for a top-5 wide receiver you want to lock in your lineup. For as much as he gets criticism for his red zone woes, all his red zone looks have been in the end-zone. He has a solid matchup against a struggling Marshon Lattimore and has a 41.4% target share through two weeks.

After putting in one or both guys, you have a lot of flexibility in who you can go with. There are many solid plays for under $6000.

Larry Fitzgerald ($5.4k, 2nd highest value according to F6P projections) matches up against Kyle Fuller and the 30th ranked Bears pass defense. He provides a nice floor and could be part of Arizona’s first offensive TD of the year.

Allen Robinson ($5.4k), Demaryius Thomas (5200), Devin Funchess ($5.0k) and Cooper Kupp ($4.9k) are also great options you can put in as your 2nd /3rd wide receivers.

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When it comes time to choosing a quarterback, I usually like to wait to decide on who to play after putting together running backs and wide receivers.

Aggressive QB’s in high-scoring games are typically good plays, like Mahomes last week. There are not any surefire values at the position so far this week, so this is a position you can fill last, along with tight end.

Cam Newton, Deshaun Watson, Matt Ryan, and Andrew Luck are all under $6,100.

Tight Ends

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Last week, the top three scoring tight ends on DraftKings were Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, and … Jesse James.

Ertz and Kelce are each over $6.5k this week and with pricing tight, it’s hard to put them in your lineup without sacrificing a lot at running back, wide receiver and flex.

This week I am looking for a cheap tight end with a high target share and red zone target share.

Jack Doyle has been ruled out for Sunday, making Eric Ebron ($3.4k) one of the most valuable TE's this week.

Looking even cheaper, Benjamin Watson ($3.1k) and Austin Hooper ($2.9k) are two tight ends in high-scoring offenses that give you room to pay up at other positions. Their matchups do not appear great, but at a 53 point over-under, a touchdown isn’t out of the question.

Defense/Special Teams

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D/ST is a position that makes sense to pay down for almost every week. The highest-priced options often underperform and leave you with extra money you could have spent on a better core group of players.

Sorry if I evoked PTSD to any of you who used the New Orleans Saints in Week 1!

Dallas plays a slumping Seattle team with few weapons and a terrible offensive line. They are the 5th cheapest option this week on the main slate and have the highest value according to F6P’s projections. They are locked in for now, but we also need to pay attention to news/injuries that roll through before Sunday before we settle in on them.

In summary

  1. Put Hunt and Thomas in your lineup.
  2. Construct your WR’s: Aim for Jones and then a receiver below 5500 or just pick two/three receivers under 6000.
  3. Construct your RB’s: Aim for Zeke/Gordon and one of the cheaper RB’s mentioned, grab two of the cheaper RB’s, or just grab Zeke/Gordon.
  4. Grab the best combo of QB, TE, and D/ST: Try to find a safe and potentially high-ceiling QB/TE duo, and then use the remaining salary for a cheap D/ST.

Check out the rest of our 2018 Fantasy Football content from our great team of writers.

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