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2018 NFL DFS Week 6 Picks

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Week 5’s games were once again exciting and at times surprising. They certainly didn’t disappoint anybody, except those of us who expected big things from Quincy Enunwa. But other than that all seems right in the football world.

Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham both had the breakout games we’ve been waiting for.

Tom Brady and Drew Brees accomplished huge milestones in their careers on their way to dominant wins.


The Raiders, as an entire organization, once again proved they can’t be trusted to perform.

So for all the people out there wondering things like

“Did Denver really give up 330 yards to the Jets running backs?”

“What happened to Will Fuller?”

Or my personal favorite, “Who the hell is Tre’Quan Smith?!”

Let’s take a look at who’s best for you this week.

2018 NFL DFS Week 6 Picks

Quarterbacks

Matt Ryan vs Tampa Bay

$8300 FanDuel – 21.13 projection
$6800 DraftKings – 22.45

Matt Ryan is the poster boy for dome-dependency. When he is outside, he is average at best. But this year in a dome, he has been putting up 2016 MVP type of numbers. I’m going to bombard you with Falcons this week for one simple reason. The offense is good, Tampa’s defense is not. You need at least one Falcon in your lineup in what could very easily be the highest scoring game of the week. It’s pretty simple, if Trubisky can put up 6 touchdowns, Ryan is the safest bet of the week at the position.

Andy Dalton vs Pittsburgh Steelers

$7500 FD – 19.81
$6300 DK – 20.41

Dalton did poorly last week against Miami but nothing about that scares me, going into a home game AFC North showdown. Florida is a tough state to play early season football in when you’re used to playing in cold weather. Aside from that game, Dalton has played exceptionally well this season, far exceeding his career high average performances. Sitting comfortably behind a solid offensive line, Dalton shouldn’t be affected by the outside pressure that brought down Matt Ryan and the Falcons. I expect Dalton to be a high end QB2 with an even higher ceiling if he can avoid making mistakes.

Philip Rivers @ Cleveland Browns

$8300 FD – 18.91
$5900 DF – 20.12

Cleveland’s defense has been much improved lately, thanks in a large part to rookie Denzel Ward. But they were lit up by the Raiders and they have yet to face anything like this Chargers offense. Rivers has put up 22 points or higher against every team that wasn’t the Rams so far this season. So while the Chargers defense could keep on giving up huge points, expect Rivers to have a great afternoon, continuing his trend of putting up low-end QB1 numbers.

Running Backs

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Christian McCaffrey @ Washington Redskins

$8400 FanDuel – 16.9 projection
$8300 DraftKings – 20.00

McCaffrey has been killing it this year averaging 22.5 PPR fantasy points so far. Washington has given up the 12th fewest fantasy points to running backs, but that number can be a bit deceptive. Before their bye week, Washington only played the Packers, Colts, and Cardinals, leaving the stats lower than they should be. As we saw Monday against the Saints, they are extremely vulnerable to good running backs. McCaffrey’s volume and pass-catching work will always keep him in the top 10 conversation and makes him my must start of the week.

Devonta Freeman vs Tampa Bay Bucs

$6600 FD – 11.71
$6000 DK – 13.10

Last week was Freeman’s first game back from his week one injury. He was properly rested and not rushed back out to the field and as a result, shouldn’t be in any major risk of re-injury. More importantly, Tampa’s run defense is significantly worse than the Steelers. So while he will be touchdown dependent to return his value, he has an excellent chance to deliver one. As long as Ito Smith doesn’t vulture away fantasy points again, Freeman has a chance to put up high-end RB2 points with RB1 upside.

Dalvin Cook/ Latavius Murray vs Arizona Cardinals

Dalvin Cook
$6300 FD – 11.25
$5700 DK – 12.83

Latavius Murray
$5600 FD – 6.80
$4700 DK – 7.41

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As someone who drafted Cook in three year long leagues, I can confidently say I get it. Dalvin has been injured all season long and hasn’t put up great numbers in this surprisingly pass-heavy offense. The difference this week is the game wrecking ability of Patrick Peterson and Chandler Jones, coupled with Arizona’s bad run defense. Peterson can keep any receiver locked down and will limit the overall passing game. The run defense, however, has been absolute garbage this season. This is the team that gave up over 12 PPR points to Matt Breida in less than one half before he injured his knee.

We don’t yet know if Cook will be healthy, but if he is 100% ready he’s a good discount play. If he is out, Murray and even Roc Thomas deserve a look. But if Cook is playing on a limited snap count then this whole backfield will be useless due to a lack of volume for any one player. This situation is worth monitoring as the week progresses.

Tarik Cohen @ Miami Dolphins

$5900 FD – 8.59
$4600 DK – 10.36

As I said earlier, playing in Miami is tough to do for cold weather teams. Miami’s defensive back duo of Xavien Howard and Minkah Fitzpatrick don’t really make it any easier. Tarik Cohen had wild success in Tampa, so he’s proven the heat doesn’t slow him down much. With the newly added concern of Taylor Gabriel, it’s hard to focus exclusively on Cohen. Volume is the only question mark about Cohen in this matchup, and while 30 PPR points might be a stretch, I believe his high ceiling is absolutely worth his low floor. Cohen is my high upside dart-throw pick of the week.

Wide Receivers

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Falcons WRs vs Tampa Bay Bucs

Julio Jones
$8500 FanDuel – 16.88 projection
$7900 DraftKings – 22.52

Calvin Ridley
$6700 FD – 9.73
$6300 DK – 11.74

Mohamed Sanu
$5800 FD – 9.05
$4800 DK – 11.03

I just simply couldn’t pick one. Playing against a terrible defense that just gave up 6 touchdowns to Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears, pretty much everyone is a safe bet. This game feels like it could be one of Julio’s occasional big days that bloats his end of the season stats as he faces Brent Grimes. Ridley is always a touchdown threat and one of the most reliable boom or bust type of players this week. Sanu has quietly been one of the highest performing third receiver options in the league for the past three weeks.

Even TE Austin Hooper is worth a look for your lineup this week.

Robert Woods @ Denver Broncos

$7300 FD – 12.49
$7600 DK – 15.75

As of writing this, Woods is the only healthy receiver of the three starters. Both Brandin Cooks and Cooper Kupp are in concussion protocol. Given the unpredictable nature of concussions, both of them or neither of them could be ready to play come Sunday. If Woods is the only starter his volume could skyrocket and make him worthy of being in your lineup even with his tough matchup against Chris Harris. As of right now, the situation is worth being monitored, but as Kupp remains the cheapest option with heavy red zone usage – he is the best pick if healthy.

Keke Coutee vs Buffalo Bills

$5700 FD – 8.79
$4600 DK – 11.26

Don’t ask me how to pronounce this name, but every fantasy football player should know it. Coutee in just two games has put up 42 PPR points. Deshaun Watson has always been able to support two receivers, but the receivers may have changed. DeAndre Hopkins is still the guy to have on this team but he also commands a lot of attention from opposing defenses. Buffalo may be beatable, but their defensive backs also demand a certain amount of respect as they have given up the 7th fewest points this season to receivers. Coutee hasn’t proven much yet as he’s only played two games, but I expect his dominance to continue this week as Hopkins faces off against the top defenders.

Mike Williams @ Cleveland

$6100 FD – 8.60
$4300 DK – 10.44

Williams has been nowhere to be found these past few weeks. But against a surprisingly good run defense and an excellent corner in Denzel Ward, the offense may need him to get up and down the field. I expect low-end WR2 numbers with a touchdown or two giving him even higher upside.

Tight Ends

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Eric Ebron @ New York Jets

$6500 FanDuel – 10.95 projection
$5400 DraftKings – 13.72

It becomes clear as soon as you open the tight end category, tight ends aren’t very good this year. One of the few consistent bright spots has been Eric Ebron. He apparently learned how to catch this offseason and has quickly become a touchdown machine in the TE friendly offense. It’s rare to find consistent tight end production for cheap, with a QB as talented as Andrew Luck, so take advantage of it before his price starts to go up even higher.

Cameron Brate @ Atlanta Falcons

$4500 FD – 8.01
$3700 DK – 9.71

Brate is Jameis Winston‘s go-to guy in the red zone. And Atlanta has a very bad defense so there should be a fair amount of red zone trips for both teams this week. And on a week where all three of the big name tight ends aren’t playing in the main slate, the pickings are very slim. Last year with Winston under center Cameron Brate was about as regular of a producer as anybody at the position. His red zone usage also has him set up to be a high upside player perfect for any lineup.

 


C.J. Uzomah vs Pittsburgh

$5100 FD – 6.09
$3000 DK – 6.62

I recommended him last week to no avail. I’m sticking with him again this week. Pittsburgh is bad against tight ends and has given up the third most PPR points to the position so far. In addition to that, C.J. Uzomah has caught 9 of 10 passes this season so all he is lacking is the volume to make a very big impact.

About Bobby Shepherd

Bobby has played fantasy football since he was first tall enough to reach a draft board. He eats sleeps and breathes stats and is always excited to share his findings.

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