Fantasy Football

2018 NFL Week 2 Betting Pick-Six: Time to Roll the Dice


Can someone please queue up Saliva’s, “Ladies and Gentlemen?”

Ladies and gentlemen, please! It’s time to put your attention on me! I’m (finally) back on the scene! Dishing out knowledge for F-6-P! 

Ah, yes, it has been quite some time since I’ve graced the Fantasy Six Pack pages with my diatribes of written splendor! But, fear not, F6P faithful, I’m back with our newest weekly article, The Betting Pick-Six. This series will be dedicated to my weekly picks for betting against the NFL game spreads and Over/Under bets. So, without further ado, I’m ready to spew my self-proclaimed gambling prowess all up in this … oops, almost forgot, we’re a kid-friendly site!

Welcome to the show!

2018 NFL Week 2 Betting Pick-Six

Cleveland Browns (+9.5) and the Over (49)

Cleveland’s 21-21 tie against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1 was their first non-losing game since beating the then-San Diego Chargers on Christmas Eve…in 2016! The Browns have been terrible, that’s not a secret! But, now, they boast a much more formidable team that is stacked with talent, including well-traveled, veteran QB, Tyrod Taylor, who just helped the Buffalo Bills end their 17-season playoff drought last season. The Browns D/ST also made Ben Roethlisberger look like a rookie in his first NFL game by sacking him four times, and by forcing him to lose two fumbles and throw three interceptions. The Browns are a different team!

New Orleans, on the other hand, lost in a 48-40 shoot-out game against “The Beard,” Ryan Fitzpatrick, and company! Drew Brees, Alvin Kamara, and Michael Thomas all came up huge for the Saints, but they were outplayed by Tampa in the end.

I do expect the Saints D/ST to tighten up more in this game, but, seeing as they just lost to what seemed to be a lesser opponent in Week 1, I can easily see Cleveland’s much-improved team hanging with the Saints offense, especially with 9.5 points from the jump. This game could turn into another shootout, so I’m also taking the Over in this week’s Pick-Six.

Detroit Lions (+6) and the Under (48.5)

Detroit’s Week 1 performance against the New York Jets was underwhelming, to say the least. This was a game that many people thought would go the opposite direction, but Matthew Stafford, Golden Tate, and Marvin Jones, Jr. just couldn’t get any rhythm going against the Jets D/ST. Kudos to Todd Bowles and his squad on their game prep, as they took Detroit out to the wood shed in this game.

San Francisco, on the other hand, lost a close game to a much better opponent, the NFC Runner-up Minnesota Vikings, in Week 1. The Minnesota D/ST is one of the top units in the league, and they held the 49ers to only 16 points. Detroit only put up a paltry 17 points against the Jets. While I do think both offenses will perform better in this game, I still feel this game seems like an obvious choice for betting the Under. Detroit should be able to hang with San Fran and could win outright win this game, so them getting 6 points is also a favorable bet in the Week 2 Pick-Six.

Indianapolis Colts (+6) and the Under (48)

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Andrew Luck was back on the field for his first regular season game since 2016, and the Indy offense put up a good showing against the Cincinnati D/ST, although, it was not enough to get the win. The Redskins D/ST held the Cardinals to only 6 points in Week 1, but aside from David Johnson, and to a lesser extent, Larry Fitzgerald, there is not nearly as much firepower in Arizona compared to Indy. That leads me to believe the +6 for Indy is higher than necessary and makes for a promising bet on Sunday.

Washington’s offense literally ran through a rejuvenated Adrian Peterson, and I see plenty more of that this weekend. If Alex Smith and Jamison Crowder/Josh Doctson do not get going early in this one, I can see the passing game giving way to Peterson in a low-scoring affair in the Redskins home-opener. I’m betting the under on this one, but it is the most volatile pick in this week’s Pick-Six. Buyer beware!

Kansas City Chiefs (+6) and the Over (53.5)

I already addressed some of Pittsburgh’s faults from Week 1, so I will not rehash those here. I do think the Steelers will rebound at home, though, as Big Ben’s home/away splits are well-documented.

The anticipated solid, home-play of Roethlisberger coupled with the video game skills of Tyreek Hill, and the emergence of James Conner, make this game a solid option for the Over. Kansas City put up a 38-spot on the Chargers D/ST in Week 1, and I don’t see their point production slowing down any time soon!

This is one of my favorite games of the week, as I see K.C. moving to 2-0 heading into Week 3. The Pick-Six says you should take the points and the Over this week!

Los Angeles Chargers (-7.5) and the Under (42.5)

As just mentioned, the Chiefs put up a strong point total on the Los Angeles Chargers D/ST, however, the Chargers offense was not too far behind! Philip Rivers had a monster game, going for 424 yards, three touchdowns and one interception, and the tandem of Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler had a greater impact in the passing game than on the ground. I can see a repeat performance from all of them in Week 2.

The Chargers face this season’s Cleveland Browns (in my opinion, at least), the Buffalo Bills. This team is in dire straits after their Week 1 dismantling at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens. The Bills offense put up an embarrassing 181 yards on offense against the Ravens, and they’ll have rookie quarterback Josh Allen at the helm again this week. There just is not much to like on this offense right now, so I really like the Chargers being able to cover their -7.5-point spread. While the Buffalo offense continues to struggle, I anticipate the Bills D/ST finding a way to keep the game Under 42.5 points.

New York Jets (-3) and the Over (42.5)

The last Pick-Six pick of the week is for those feisty J-E-T-S, JETS, JETS, JETS! After their unforeseen blow-out victory over Detroit on Monday Night Football, the Jets are ridin’ high!

Sure, Sam Darnold will probably never forget throwing a Pick-Six of his own on his very first pass attempt in the regular season. But, coming out of the game victorious is a better memory for the rookie signal-caller.

The Miami Dolphins are coming off a win of their own, after fighting the Titans, and the weather, in what turned out to be the longest game since the 1970 merger. I am sensing the Miami offense will build off of the momentum of that lengthy outing, and this division matchup in the Empire State could be a high-scoring affair. Therefore, I’m picking the Over in this game, but I still like the Jets to cover, 24-20.

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I hope you all enjoyed my return to the site, as it’s good to be back! Stay tuned each week for my Weekly Betting Pick-Six articles right here on Fantasy Six Pack, and be sure to send me comments/questions on Twitter to @AppleGarthAlgar. Good luck this week!

Check out the rest of our 2018 Fantasy Football content from our great team of writers.


About A.J. Applegarth

A.J. has been in the fantasy sports game for so long, that the first fantasy team he ever managed used football box scores from newspapers to calculate points. Since those days, A.J. has taken home numerous fantasy football and baseball championship titles. He has also taken his talents to a few fantasy basketball leagues and countless DFS games in more recent years. A.J. would openly admit that “luck” has been a factor in his two-plus decade-long success in fantasy sports, but he will also be the first one to tell you, “You can’t teach luck!” Catch A.J.’s witty banter and "Beer of the Week" picks on The Fantasy Six Pack Hour Podcast, and follow him on the Twitter-space @AppleGarthAlgar.

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