Fantasy Football

2018 NFL Week 6 Betting Pick-Six: Lottery Madness!

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It’s Saturday morning, and the Mega Millions Jackpot numbers worth an estimated $548 Million were drawn last night! Shocker…I did not win…yet (I’m still holding out hope that I can cash in with the estimated $654 Million Jackpot on Tuesday)!

If I were a bettin’ man, and I clearly am based on the premise of these weekly articles, I would guess my odds of going perfect with my picks this week is much greater than my odds of winning all those millions!

Speaking of, let’s get to the picks for the 2018 Week 6 Betting Pick-Six!


2018 NFL Week 6 Betting Pick-Six

Against the Spread

Redskins vs. Panthers (-1.0)

Earlier this week, the Redskins were favored by one point, but the tides have turned! Initially working against the ‘skins was the potential loss of Adrian Peterson, but it sounds as though he will suit-up tomorrow. He’s still currently listed as “Questionable” on the injury report, so keep an eye on him, just in case. Washington is also coming off a short week where they were completely decimated by the record-hungry Saints. Will there be a hangover from Monday night?

Carolina themselves are still riding high after Graham Gano‘s last-second, 63-yard field goal to dispel the (now 1-5) hapless New York Giants in Week 5. Christian McCaffrey is a Top-10 player, and Cam Newton has the clear edge over a worn-down Washington Defense. Carolina should be able to continue their dominance against the NFC East.

Pick: Panthers

Falcons (-3.0) vs. Buccaneers

Let’s keep it in the NFC South, and take a look at the divisional match-up between the Falcons and Bucs. Tampa Bay is coming off a bye, and will now have a full two weeks of practice with Jameis Winston at the helm. The Bucs still do not have much of a running game to offset their pass-heavy offense, but Ronald Jones will be starting this week. Jones, if he can impress, could hold the starting role the rest of the way.

Atlanta, meanwhile, is coming off a crushing loss to the Steelers in Week 5, and overall, have looked bad this season. Matt Ryan has had a solid connection with rookie Calvin Ridley (six touchdowns), but he has yet to connect with Julio Jones for a touchdown. It looks like Devonta Freeman has been ruled Out for this game, so I expect a heavy dose of Tevin Coleman in Week 6.

Pick: Falcons

Over/Under

Steelers vs. Bengals (O/U 50.5)

Speaking of Pittsburgh, let’s take a look at their Week 6 tilt against the Bengals. Both of these teams can put points on the board, and continue to do so at a high clip. This is a critical division match-up for 1st Place in the division. Both teams are coming off big wins and will continue to keep the foot on the gas. Simply put, there is a ton of talent that will be on the field in this game, and they will produce.

Pick: The Over

Stacks

Dolphins vs. Bears (-3.5) / O/U: 41.5

Miami is on a 2-game losing streak after starting the 2018 NFL Season 3-0. Kenyon Drake has been completely underutilized, yet I still cannot figure out why. He finally started getting some use last week, so it will be interesting to see if that trend continues.

On the flip side, Chicago, who is quite possibly the hottest team in the NFL, will be well-rested from their Week 5 Bye. The Bears are also in the midst of a 3-game win streak, thanks in part to their stifling defense, led by Khalil Mack.

Miami’s offense is still suspect, having scored 20-points or less in 3-of-5 games in 2018. The two games where they did top 20-points were against suspect defenses (TEN/OAK). The Bears are a very complete team, that can hit you from all sides. These teams have enough offensive ability to beat the O/U, though.

Picks: Daaaaaa Bears & The Over

Cowboys vs. Jaguars (-3.0) / O/U: 40.5

I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again…Dallas stinks! They have only scored over 21 points (just over half of the O/U) once this season, and continue to look lost on offense. Ezekiel Elliott has been solid overall, but Dak Prescott and the wide receivers are invisible. The ‘boys are back to their old, pathetic ways.

Jacksonville, on the other hand, has been strong the majority of the year. However, they have been saddled with numerous injuries so far on this short season, a trend that continued in Week 5. The Jags have already been without Leonard Fournette for multiple games, and just lost ASJ and back-up-to-the-back-up RB, Corey Grant, to IR last week. To combat the lacking depth at RB, Jacksonville signed FA Jamaal Charles to fill the void backing up T.J. Yeldon 

Pick: Jaguars and The Under

Patriots (-3.5) vs. Chiefs / O/U: 59.5

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The GOAT vs. “Showtime” Mahomes. Gronk vs. Kelce. Bill Belichick vs. Andy Reid. New England at home vs. the Undefeated Chiefs. Revenge for 2017’s Season Opener. Edelman vs. Hill? OK, maybe not that last one, but there are still a ton of storylinesja for this game!

Tom Brady has been solid in 2018, while Mahomes has completely exceeded expectations. The game features arguably the Top-2 tight ends in the game, with Rob Gronkowski and Travis Kelce leading the way. The proverbial chess match between Bill Belichick and Andy Reid continues in Week 6, in Prime Time, on Sunday Night Football.

Which side prevails? Will the Pats get their revenge for last season’s shocker of a first game? This is my favorite game of the week!

Pick: Chiefs and The Over

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Stay tuned each week for my Weekly Betting Pick-Six articles right here on Fantasy Six Pack, and be sure to send me comments/questions on Twitter to @AppleGarthAlgar. Good luck this week!


Check out the rest of our 2018 Fantasy Football content from our great team of writers.

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About A.J. Applegarth

A.J. has been in the fantasy sports game for so long, that the first fantasy team he ever managed used football box scores from newspapers to calculate points. Since those days, A.J. has taken home numerous fantasy football and baseball championship titles. He has also taken his talents to a few fantasy basketball leagues and countless DFS games in more recent years. A.J. would openly admit that “luck” has been a factor in his two-plus decade-long success in fantasy sports, but he will also be the first one to tell you, “You can’t teach luck!” Catch A.J.’s witty banter and "Beer of the Week" picks on The Fantasy Six Pack Hour Podcast, and follow him on the Twitter-space @AppleGarthAlgar.

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