Fantasy Basketball

2019-20 Fantasy Basketball Guards Sleepers-Busts

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In this article, I’ll give you sleeper picks at the guard position – players who I believe have legitimate All-Star potential this season – as well as three bust picks. I’ll also throw in a bunch of late-round guys I have my eye on as well for those in deeper leagues.

Keep in mind I’m using Yahoo’s designation for who is considered a forward and who isn’t.

2019-20 Fantasy Basketball Guards Sleepers-Busts

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Guards

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De’Aaron Fox, Sacramento Kings

Over the last decade, the point guard position has arguably been as strong as it has ever been. The next player in this lineage may be De’Aaron Fox. He made great improvements in all parts of his game in his second year and will look to make the leap in his third. His stats improved across the board going from 11.6 points per game, 2.8 rebounds, 4.4 assists and one steal per game on 41/31/72 shooting splits to 17.3 points, 3.8 rebounds, 7.3 assists, and 1.6 steals per game on 46/37/73 shooting splits.

He was reportedly one of the most impressive players present at the Team USA camp in Las Vegas. With new coach Luke Walton in tow, the Kings should play a fast-paced space-and-pace game that will suit Fox perfectly. Fox could approach 20 points and 10 assists per game and will be among the league leaders in steals.

Malcolm Brogdon, Indiana Pacers

Brogdon, one of the most underrated players in the league, didn’t get enough credit for the rise of the Milwaukee Bucks as a league power. Of course, Giannis Antetounkoumpo was the main cause, but Brogdon, the 2017 Rookie of the Year has been essential. He’s a do-it-all point guard who can score (15.6 points per game in 2019), play-make (career 3.6 assists per game). He is also a fantastic shooter. He is perhaps the most surprising member of the 50-40-90 club.

The Pacers made a few offseason moves, but none bigger than trading for Brogdon. With Victor Oladipo‘s return timeline from a serious knee injury up in the air, Brogdon will take on a large share of the ball-handing and scoring duties. If he can up his scoring with his usage and maintain his solid shooting stats, he will be a great draftee in the middle rounds.

Lou Williams, Los Angeles Clippers

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The greatest sixth man of all time is being slept on as a 2019-2020 fantasy option. After back-to-back years scoring 20+ points per game and five assists per game, there’s no reason to believe he won’t keep those numbers up. He should see his usage dip some with the additions of Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. However, Leonard isn’t a lock to play 82 games and George is likely to miss at least the first couple weeks with various shoulder injuries.

Nevertheless, Williams will command the second unit and likely finish games as his shooting will be needed next to their wing stars. His shooting numbers are sometimes shaky, but he’s a good scoring option to complement all-around players like Draymond Green and Ben Simmons who contribute everywhere but scoring.

Lonzo Ball, New Orleans Pelicans

Call be a Lonzo believer. The former second overall pick for the Lakers was dumped unceremoniously for Anthony Davis, but may actually be in a better position for his talents. Coach Alvin Gentry will have the young Pelicans running and gunning which is a perfect fit with Ball’s playing style. Ball will have plenty of opportunities to rebound and push the ball upcourt and he has already shown a good rapport with lob-target Zion Williamson. Most importantly, Ball will see a ton of minutes as he and Jrue Holiday will form one of the league’s best defensive backcourts.

Obviously his shooting is a concern, but through two preseason games, his shooting form looks tighter. He also looks more confident shooting. If his shooting percentages can get anywhere close to average, he will be able to provide rebounds, assists, and steals from the guard position.

Other Sleepers

Dejounte Murray, San Antonio Spurs

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Murray was a prime breakout candidate before the 2018-19 season but had his campaign cut short before it even started with an ACL tear. With a full year to heal behind him, he should step into the starting point guard position for the Spurs. Murray is a long-armed defensive guard who needs to improve as a scorer and playmaker. His jump shot is reportedly much improved and the Spurs are very high on his potential.

Fred Van Vleet, Toronto Raptors

The Raptors’ Finals hero went toe-to-toe with Stephen Curry in the 2019 Finals and contributed greatly to their championship. Starter Kyle Lowry is dealing with a thumb injury that has kept him out indefinitely and Van Vleet will see a high usage rate as the best ball handler on the team. When Lowry returns, Van Vleet will continue to be a valuable contributor off the bench. There’s also a chance that Lowry gets traded midseason, adding to Van Vleet’s value.

Luke Kennard, Detroit Pistons

Post-All-Star break, Kennard emerged as a valuable secondary ball-handler for the Pistons. His shooting and playmaking on the wing are very important for a team that is built around two big men and devoid of much shooting. The Pistons did not add much wing depth so look for Kennard to play big minutes. He should also contribute in scoring and three-pointers with some playmaking upside.

Busts

Joe Ingles, Utah Jazz

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Ingles has made a career out of exceeding expectations. He’s a premier three-point shooter with adequate ball-handling chops. However, in 2019-20, he’s likely to see a reduced usage rate with Mike Conley in town and Donovan Mitchell looking to take the next step. Ingles will also see more competition for playing time from newcomers Bojan Bogdanovich and Jeff Green and the incumbent Royce O’Neal.

Nicolas Batum, New Orleans Hornets

Sometimes it’s important to ignore the Yahoo rankings which can be weighted heavily towards reputation. Batum signed a huge contract with the Hornets in 2015, but hasn’t been an above-average player since 2017. In the past three years, his statistics have consistently declined while maintaining the same minutes. Even with limited talent on this year’s Hornets, Batum won’t contribute enough to validate his 99th overall ranking.

Joe Harris, Brooklyn Nets

Harris had a career year in 2019, contributing to the playoff Nets and winning the Three-Point Competition. He’s essentially a lesser version of J.J. Redick, who only contributes in scoring, three-pointers, and shooting percentages.

It’s important to consider that his career year came with Caris Levert missing the majority of the season. Levert is healthy and returning in 2019-20 and will likely be the starter. Harris will see his role and his touches decrease. If his volume decreases, he holds little to no consistent fantasy value.

Other Players to Fade

Gary Harris, Denver Nuggets

Harris is a better real-life player than fantasy basketball player, especially as he regressed as a scorer in 2019. He only contributes in scoring, three-pointers, and steals and had career-low shooting numbers in 2019. The Nuggets are loaded and Harris’ offensive workload will only continue to decrease.


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Patrick Beverley, Los Angeles Clippers

Another player who is better in real-life than fantasy, Beverley contributes a little bit in each category. Unfortunately, it’s not enough to be worth a middle-round fantasy pick. His 2019 averages of 7.6 points, 5 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and 1.4 threes on 41/78/40 split are about what you can expect from him in 2020.


Visit the F6P Fantasy Basketball Page for more advice to get you prepared for the 2019-20 season.

About Kevin Huo

Kevin is a fantasy football writer for Fantasy Six Pack. He considers every angle - whether statistical or theoretical - when weighing his options and isn't afraid to be a contrarian. You can follow him on Twitter: @KevinMHuo

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