2019 DraftKings DFS Golf RBC Heritage Value Plays

by Mark Strausberg
2019 DraftKings DFS Golf RBC Heritage Value Plays

I am not going to toot my own horn nor downplay the results of my predicted Masters deep sleeper picks. The facts are that all six of my deep sleepers made the cut and four of them finished in the Top 30. Is that good enough? You be the judge. I will warn you however that I will be back with my deep sleepers for the next major. Meanwhile, I'm going to shift the focus a little this week. Instead of deep sleepers, I'm going to look at those golfers playing this week's RBC Heritage priced under $8500 on DraftKings. I guess one could call it RBC Heritage value plays instead of deep sleepers.

I mentioned last week how familiar I am with the Masters, but I've never even stepped foot on a golf course in Georgia. Conversely, when my father was alive we played a number of the golf courses along the coast of Carolina. So I can personally vouch for the experts when they tell you that the Plantation Course is not a bombers course and is more of a second shot course that requires strong iron play. It is often one of the stingiest courses in GIR, necessitates a higher percentage in scrambling, and rewards lower ball flights due to the wind along the coastline.

In some ways, the Heritage is almost the anti-Masters as experience matters very little here. Each of the last two winners, Wesley Bryan and Sotashi Kodaira, won in their first time teeing it up at Harbortown. So yes, I like veteran Luke Donald here but I like the phenom, Sungjae Im, just as much.

One thing I don't like about the Heritage is the winner's prize. I know Masters winners will go out in their green jackets. But I have yet to hear about anyone going out afterward in that ugly red plaid jacket the winner at Harbourtown receives.

But the winners don't seem to mind so much after they win. So here are six players under $8.5K in descending order of salary that might be wearing said jacket come Sunday:

DraftKings DFS Golf RBC Heritage Value Plays

For DFS Golf picks from the World’s Best DFS Optimizer, visit RotoQL.

Sungjae Im $8400

Let's start with the aforementioned Im. No one priced in this range and lower has more than the five top tens Im has notched already. Patrick Cantalay and Dustin Johnson are the only ones priced higher than Im who have more. That alone speaks volumes. In addition to those five top tens, he has another four Top 20s. Im's stats support those results too. He's 39th in GIR and 20th in SG: Total. You can bet I'm going to have a lot of shares of Im this week.

Brendan Grace $8300

Of all my RBC Heritage value plays, Grace is probably my least favorite player I'm recommending this week. Even I was surprised to see him ranked inside the Top 50 in OWGR (Overall World Golf Ranking). However, he's a solid 54th in GIR and returns to the spot of his lone Tour victory. I don't think he wins this week. But T7-Win-T11 results in his last three times are hard to ignore.

Justin Harding $7900

We'll go from one South African to another. While Grace strikes me as a decent cash game play, Harding is the ultimate GPP play. He could miss the cut. Or like the last seven cuts he's made, he will finish in the top dozen. Or maybe not. Because I'll admit I've been wrong on Harding each of the last three tournaments this side of the Atlantic. Yet his play matched his T-12 in the Masters this past week. It was an impressive performance given the quality of the leaderboard this year. Unfortunately, he hasn't played enough on Tour for any of his stats to qualify. However, I started to look at each of them and one, in particular, caught my eye. If his stats did qualify, he would be second overall in SG: Total. It might sound like a small sample size anomaly, but his success internationally argues otherwise.

Graeme McDowell $7500

The Irishman is always a good bet on a course where the wind may be a factor. Ranked 16th in both Sand Saves and Scrambling, McDowell could easily crack the top 20 here. He's had a ton of success at the Heritage including a win in 2013. At $7500, he's an incredible value.

Luke Donald $7200

I've always liked Donald but unlike some other 40 plus-year-olds we all know, it's too hard to argue he isn't past his prime. And I'll admit it, I have a sentimental attachment to Donald, as we are both alumni of Northwestern. So forgive me if I couldn't get this out of my head:

You tell that wildcat behind the wheel not to slow down, though,

But don't dismiss my Donald pick as sentimental attachment only. There is something to be said for repeated success at a tournament. He has five runner-ups and two 3rds at the Heritage. Need I say more?

Adam Schenk $7100

Underestimate Schenk. Please. I want him to continue to be under the radar, under-owned, and under-priced. After all, he currently is all three. Yet my expectations for Schenk are relatively modest. I'm not expecting a top 10 finish. But he's top 40 in both SG: Approaching the Green and SG: Putting. Schenk might be more of a deep sleeper than a RBC Heritage value play. But if you're dipping this low, Schenk is the player you want.

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Mark Strausberg April 17, 2019 - 10:57 am

For some reason I had An in my notes as higher salary than $8200. My apologies. I am definitely going to have some An shares too and I strongly recommend him this week as well!

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