Just about every fantasy baseball draft is going to start the same way - Mike Trout, Mookie Betts and then some randomized order of Jose Ramirez, Nolan Arenado, J.D. Martinez and Francisco Lindor - according to average draft position (ADP).
Using NFBC ADP data, we will keep you up to date on the players that are climbing up draft boards and falling out of favor with owners.
This post will be updated just about every week to 10 days, right up until Opening Day. Bookmark it and make sure you come back!
2019 Fantasy Baseball ADP Watch
This week, we look at the first 10 days on March ADP vs the last 10 days of February ADP but focus on 12 team league drafts. We highlight the risers and fallers in the top 200, skipping the injured players, who are listed at the bottom.
Top 100 Picks
Victor Robles, OF, Washington Nationals ↑ 5.9
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Not sure if fantasy baseball owners thought Harper might be coming back to D.C. but now that he is officially a member of the Phillies, Robles is expected to be the Nationals starting center fielder on Opening Day. He will be hitting at the bottom of the order though, according to Roster Resource
Bryce Harper, OF, Philadelphia Phillies ↑ 5.8
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Prediction: Harper will be a first round pick in just about every league that drafts in the coming weeks. NFBC ADP data says in early March that he has a 10-23 draft range with an ADP of 15 as of writing this.
Craig Kimbrel, RP, Free Agent - ↓ 9.9
It's tough to draft a closer that is not even signed to a team in the middle of March! However, if he is not signed when your league drafts, he is still worth drafting, especially if he continues to fall. We all know he will be signed and be closing games for some team this season.
Byron Buxton, OF, Minnesota Twins ↑ 19.8
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Buxton is hitting .364 with five extra-base hits in Spring Training. We have all been duped before, don't fall for it again. Do yourself a favor and draft Shane Bieber, J.A. Happ or Yu Darvish instead.
Garrett Hampson, 2B/SS, Colorado Rockies ↑ 17.7
It is completely understandable why fantasy baseball owners want an everyday player on the Rockies. But is Hampson going to play every day? It is quite possible the way the roster is currently constructed, and as projected by Steamer, that Hampson doesn't even get 400 plate appearances this year. Roster Resource has Hampson platooning with Ryan McMahon at 2B. There will also be games when Mark Reynolds/Ian Desmond play 1B and Daniel Murphy shifts to 2B or at least one can envision that.
Danny Jansen, C, Toronto Blue Jays ↑ 10.1
Salvador Perez' season-ending surgery has given all catchers a boost. Jansen was already climbing draft boards but now is even more "valuable" to owners that want a top 8 catcher. The Blue Jays catcher is on an island though, with an ADP of 177 the catcher before him is Yadier Molina (144) and after him is Yan Gomes (211). That is thirty picks on either side, no need to take a catcher at that point in the draft.
Miguel Cabrera, 1B, Detroit Tigers ↑ 9.6
"Boring Is Best" should be your fantasy draft motto.
If you're drafting a bunch of rookies and 'five tool' players and guys who 'broke out' in 2018, YOU'RE DOING IT WRONG!
Boring players have the most value. Boring players win leagues.
I'll pass on Eloy and take McCutchen.
— Derek Carty (@DerekCarty) March 11, 2019
At this point in his career, Miggy is boring, but the comfort of having a professional hitter on your roster versus guys like Yoan Moncada and Billy Hamilton could be the difference between making the fantasy baseball playoffs and not.
Read the twitter thread, it's a good one.
Yasmani Grandal, C, Milwaukee Brewers ↑ 9.1
See Jansen above
Harrison Bader, OF, St. Louis Cardinals ↓ 11.5
Harrison Bader is a perfect example of a good baseball player but not good for fantasy. He has speed and is excellent with his glove in centerfield. The Cardinals’ pitching staff will love him patrolling the outfield. However, he does not provide much fantasy contribution. He is best suited to be your fifth outfielder with an outside chance of getting you 20 homers and steals. Until he fixes his issues against right-handers, the platoon in St. Louis will not allow you to draft Bader.
Andrew Heaney, SP, Los Angeles Angels ↓ 14.1
180 strikeouts in 180 IP last year over 30 starts after Tommy John surgery. Not bad. However, the second half was worse than the first, but let's just blame that on fatigue as he had only pitched 100 MLB inning once before, in 2015. He gets crushed by right-handed hitters, the same way Cole Hamels does. They both gave up a league-high 27 HRs to right-handed hitters, among qualified starting pitchers. Let his ADP continue to fall before drafting him inside the top 200.
Check out the rest of our 2019 Fantasy Baseball content from our great team of writers.