Fantasy Baseball

2019 Fantasy Baseball Week 12 Drop List

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As we approach the 2019 MLB All-Star Game, now is a good time to take a look at cleaning up our rosters.

With just a couple weeks left, it might be time to drop some of these ice cold hitters and reconsider them during the break.

Odds are other owners won’t jump on these four guys and you might able to pick them back up if you feel like you need to.


2019 Fantasy Baseball Week 12 Drop List

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Jonathan Villar, 2B/SS, Baltimore Orioles

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Scroll back up and look at that feature photo – how has he completed his swing, and yet the ball hasn’t even passed his head yet?!

The only reason you are holding onto Villar at this point is if your league overvalues stolen bases.

Villar’s GB/FB rate is down to 1.61 compared to a career 2.28, his HR/FB rate is down nearly 5.5% and his hard hit rate is down 6.6%.

He is swinging at nearly 50% of the pitches he sees, but less often at the first pitch which is usually a strike and is making a career-high contact of 66% on pitches outside of the strike zone.

When he hits .260, as he did in the first two months, he is a valuable addition to your roster. However, he is ice cold in June hitting .167 with a .220 OBP.

According to wOBA/wRC+, Villar ranks 40th among 2B/SS qualified hitters (min 110 PA). Lower that filter to a minimum 75 plate appearances and it moves him down to 50th. There is probably a better option for you on the waiver wire at this point.

Stephen Piscotty, OF, Oakland Athletics

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Stream Piscotty when the A’s are home, especially when facing a lefty where he owns a .446 wOBA / 188 wRC+ (30 PA).

When on the road against a RHP, send him back to the waiver wire – 28.7% K% / .195 wOBA / 17 wRC+

He has been ice cold in June, despite the three home runs, including one last night…in a rout…of the Baltimore Orioles. You and I could hit home runs off that pitching staff!

He has just as many strikeouts this month, 18, as he did in May in half the plate appearances.

He hit 27 home runs last year, he might struggle to get to 20 this season with his HR/FB rate down to 12%, well below the 18% from the previous season.

Cesar Hernandez, 2B, Philadelphia Phillies

Over the last 30 days, Hernandez is hitting below .200 with a .228 OBP.

He is a career .275 hitter with a .353 OBP.

After hitting .294 two seasons in a row, Hernandez’ average dropped to .253 last season.

According to his O-Swing/O-Contact, it looks like Cesar is swinging at more pitches out of the zone this year. He isn’t missing, it’s just hard to hit pitches that aren’t strikes!

Zach Davies, SP, Milwaukee Brewers

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Davies is allowing a career-high 35.1% fly balls, yet a career best HR/FB rate of 10.5%.

No SP in the MLB has a worse ERA – SIERA than Davies at -2.56. That means SIERA thinks he should be pitching to an ERA that is nearly twice his current ERA of 2.60.

Yes, he is 7-1 and has just one start this season where he has allowed more than three runs, but he owns a ridiculously high 82% LOB% and a ridiculously low 8.5% K-BB%. No other SP above 80% LOB owns a K-BB% lower than 13.3%. He also has recorded a Quality Start in just six of his 14 starts, less than 50%!

He does not generate swings and misses, with one of the worst Called Strikes + Whiffs rate of just 25.4.

He has pitched to a 5.40 ERA in his last two starts that each went just five innings. He allowed three home runs, two to the Giants in San Francisco.

If you aren’t willing to drop him, at least try to trade him immediately. If the San Diego Padres beat up on him tonight, you might not have any trade partners left!


Want to see where these players rank at their position for the rest of the season? Take a look at the latest updated version of the 2019 Fantasy Baseball Rest of Season Rankings

Week 10 Waiver Wire Suggestions

About Keith Lott

We have one goal, to help you win your league. It does not matter if you are a fantasy rookie or a veteran. Everyone has questions, and we have opinions. Lot(t)s of them! How I Went Undefeated In Fantasy Football

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