Fantasy Football

2019 Fantasy Football Late Round Wide Receivers

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The Eagles “Hotel California” has less interpretations than does the term “sleeper” in fantasy football. For that reason alone we will instead use the phrase here “late round wide receiver pick”. Even that phrase required some discussion between myself and the head honchos. I tend to play in deep leagues. Therefore, a late round wide receiver pick to me was someone with an ADP in the 200s. The bigwigs thought that was a little too deep. So we camp up with a compromise and came up with 10 2019 Fantasy Football Late Round Wide Receivers.

It was a smart compromise too that benefits everyone. We decided that we would provide late round wide receiver picks for each of the more common league sizes. If you are in eight team league (and shame on you for that!), the players listed I have in the 14 team league late picks should not be on you draft radar. And conversely, if you’re in a 20 team league (god bless you), those players listed in the 10 team late picks are likely going before you know what your starting lineup might be.

Of course ADPs will vary from site to site. By the time this article publishes, certain players will likely have already risen or fallen below what is besides their name. However, the ADP included in parenthesis are courtesy of Fantasy Football Calculator as of July 15th.  However, one of the other compromises that we agreed upon is that we will update this piece shortly before the season begins.

Because I am happy to light up and candle and show you the way. Because we are all just prisoners here of our own device. Or something like that. You get the point. Let’s get to the late round wide receiver picks before my sight grows dim and I have to stop for the night.

2019 Fantasy Football Late Round Wide Receivers

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James Washington, Pittsburgh Steelers (129.1)

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Sometimes it’s just simple math. It’s not that all 168 targets that went Antonio Brown‘s way are all going to go Washington’s way.

Let’s take around 10% off the top to bring us down to 150 targets just in the spirit of potential regression as the odds of the Steelers throwing a league-high 689 times is less likely. It also keeps the numbers easier. I do think Juju Smith-Schuster is going to of course see a bump in targets? Obviously.

However, I don’t see him reaching 200 targets, so let’s give him a generous 20% of those targets. That takes away 30 to bring us down to 120. Yes, the Steelers brought in Donte Moncrief. But let’s split those 120 right down the middle and give Washington an extra 60 targets. That would still give Washington around 100 targets.

Given all those targets, let’s very conservatively give Washington 50 receptions, 750 yards, and four touchdowns. Or about 150 fantasy points. That puts him in Allen Robinson last year territory or a WR4 in a ten-team league. And we’ve been very conservative. Suppose he gets up to even 55 receptions, six touchdowns, and 850 yards? He is now an every week WR3 in a ten-team league. Given that he’s currently not even one of the top 50 WRs being drafted, Washington screams value.

The thing about Washington is that we KNOW he will not be his team’s number one wide receiver. So if you’re looking for a little more upside, consider Mecole Hardman.

Mecole Hardman, Kansas City Chiefs (116.5)

Yes, Tyreek Hill is expected to play this year. Due to this news, we will see Hardman’s ADP continue to drop. But even in a 10-team keeper league, Hardman remains on my radar. Why? Because Hill is a free agent in 2020.

Hardman could easily be the guy who replaces Hill. With his 187-pound frame and more importantly 4.33 40-speed, Hardman has been described as the “next Tyreek Hill”. Hardman could easily see 300+ fantasy points this upcoming season if he takes over for Hill. But what if he doesn’t? He still has all those physical traits and will give Mahomes a solid second option when Hill likely sees far more double and triple coverage this year.

Furthermore, if your league rewards points for returns, Hardman will absolutely be a weapon there. According to PFF, Hardman’s “90.8 return grade on punts ranked first among all draft-eligible players in 2019 and ranked fifth of any player in the NCAA. His return yardage was also remarkable, as he both led the country in punt return yards and was the only player with 10-plus returns to average 20.0 yards per return or more.”

12 Team Late Round Wide Receiver Picks

Robert Foster, Buffalo Bills (161.7)

There is just way too much to like about Foster for him to be going this late.

Number one, he has plenty of opportunity with John Brown the only WR ahead of him on the depth chart and the “proven complementary pieces” of Cole Beasley and Zay Jones behind him.

Secondly, his stats from last year look low as the Bills did not start playing him regularly until late in the season. Starting in week 10, Foster caught 25 passes for 511 yards and three touchdowns. During that span, his 23.6-yard average depth of target led all wide receivers, catching nine passes of 20-plus yards, including four 40-plus yards catches over that stretch.

Foster’s stock is on the rise and will not likely remain a sleeper for much longer. Of course, as some player’s stock rises, others must fall.

Randall Cobb, Dallas Cowboys (165.8)

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Like Randall Cobb for example. Cobb’s stock has plummeted over the last year, and when you only have 38 catches for 383 yards, that is going to happen. But this is ridiculous. Part of the reason his numbers are that low is only played nine games last year.


Word coming out of Cowboys camp is that he and Dak Prescott have formed a connection and is the “real deal”. I know his 12-TD, 1287 receiving yard 2014 season seems like eons ago. I don’t think he sniffs those numbers this year. But I would not be surprised to see him put up similar numbers as 2015 when he grabbed six touchdowns to go with over 800 receiving yards.

With an ADP of 166, he’s well worth the risk, donchathink?

14 Team Late Round Wide Receiver Picks

Albert Wilson, Miami Dolphins (190)

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Here at F6P, we have a running joke about “THIS IS THE YEAR!” players and number one on that list might be DaVante Parker. Sorry, it’s not happening. Maybe a change of scenery could have helped him, but after four uninspiring years with the Dolphins, I don’t see it changing it during his fifth and likely last season with Miami.

Kenny Stills is a homeless man’s Julio Jones. He’s a lock to have a couple of big games every year where he easily goes over the century mark and either scores twice or catches nearly ten passes. But he’s also a lock to have nearly half a dozen weeks with just one catch for not enough yards. And I hope you don’t think Brice Butler or Jakeem Grant are going to stand in the way of Wilson’s ascendancy.

Wilson was stuck in Kansas City’s pre-Mahomes run-first offense but then got out at just the wrong time when he came to Miami last year. We quickly forget that he was on his way to a break-out season when he got injured before Week 8. Of course, you don’t get high marks for scoring against the likes of the Raiders and the Jets last year.

However, in Wilson’s last full week last year he torched the Bears (you know, the team that is often the No. 1 defense being taken this year!) for nine catches, 155 yards, and two touchdowns. Let’s agree to talk up his injury woes so those of us in 14-team leagues can continue to grab him cheap. Hopefully, people will forget about the early part of last year.

Marqise Lee, Jacksonville Jaguars (197.1)

And while they are forgetting about last year’s season, hopefully, they will forget about last year’s preseason when Marqise Lee was on everyone’s breakout list before tearing his ACL in the preseason. And reports coming out of camp are not promising:

 


But if Lee can be healthy to start the season, he should absolutely be Jacksonville’s #1 WR. And if anyone is going to see a jump in production with the switch from Blake Bortles to Nick Foles, it will be Lee.

16 Team and Beyond Late Round Wide Receiver Picks

Braxton Berrios, New England Patriots

I know, I know. And yes, I hate that he’s on this list. But the truth is that as long Brady and Belichick are in New England, every Patriot wide receiver they bring on board will be treated as if they descended from the heavens. That being said, Berrios has my attention skyward.

Josh Gordon is suspended indefinitely. Julian Edelman is 33. Can you say with confidence that Demaryius Thomas will ever recover from his leg injury? Phillip Dorsett is a boundary-only wide receiver. Rob Gronkowski and Chris Hogan are gone.

There’s not a whole lot of muskets left in the Patriots artillery. Berrios is already a fan favorite in New England. Because, well, of course he is. He is short, white and fast. Sounds like a prototypical Patriots slot wide receiver. And surprise, he is highly touted for his intelligence and gritty demeanor.

So if Berrios can stay healthy and build a strong rapport with Tom Brady….sigh. It’s not exactly sanskirt transcription to suggest that any slot wide receiver can be successful in the Patriots offense BUT… if Berrios does secure New England’s third receiver position, he’ll be quite the useful PPR player.

Paul Richardson, Washington Redskins

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I’m not even thinking about taking Paul Richardson within the first 200 picks of any draft. Even 250 is pushing it. But an ADP in the 300s makes me think some dance to forget (last Hotel California reference, I promise!).

Sure, the Redskins are looking at a very sketchy quarterback situation. But if I spot you Josh Doctson, can those of you without any burgandy and gold in their closet name any other Redskin receiver right now? No, you can’t.

However, the ‘Skins wide receiver corps is such a menagerie right now, that Richardson could easily become the team’s top receiver. Arizona had the least amount of passing yards last year and their number one receiver still had over 700 yards.



Before an injury-shortened 2018 season, Richardson did just that in 2017, catching 44 passes for 703 yards. And six touchdowns. Do you know how many WRs had more than six touchdowns last year? Nineteen. That means if you are in a 16-team league or bigger, even your third WR has far less potential than Richardson, but most are taking his/her WR3 about 200 spots earlier. Richardson is the quintessential late-round wide receiver pick!


Get prepared for the 2019 Fantasy Football season by checking out the rest of our Fantasy Football content.

About Mark Strausberg

Despite his youthful appearance, Mark has aged hundreds and hundreds of years due to soul-sucking and crushing near misses over his decades of both playing and writing fantasy sports.

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  1. Pingback: 2019 Fantasy Football Late Round Target Flight - Fantasy Six Pack

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