2019 Fantasy Football Busts

2019 Fantasy Football Sleepers and Busts: Fantasy Six Pack’s Team Picks

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Sleepers and busts are the biggest buzzwords in all of Fantasy Football. The first question anyone asks me every year is who my best sleeper is going into the season. Here at Fantasy Six Pack, we wanted to branch out on our 2019 Fantasy Football Sleepers and Busts.

Earlier this preseason the staff here dug deep into each position to give their sleepers and busts. While I trust each one of those writers with their thoughts on the subject, I am all about accountability. I did not write a sleepers and busts post. However, I wanted my picks to be out there to hold myself accountable.

So we asked some of our writers to give us their sleepers and busts picks. We made sure to set parameters on what qualifies as sleepers and busts.


My biggest pet peeve in the Fantasy Football Industry is when someone says a player being drafted in Round Four is a sleeper. Or that a guy going in Round Twelve is a bust. In the information age we live in, no one is really a “sleeper” but more just under-valued. So I like to have set limitations in place for the definition of the terms sleepers and busts.

To qualify as a sleeper, the player needs to be going outside of the Top-40 running backs or receivers and Top-15 in quarterbacks or tight ends. For a player to be a bust, he needs to be going in the Top-20 of running backs and receivers. Tight ends and quarterbacks would need to be going in the Top-8 for bust-status.

2019 Fantasy Football Sleepers and Busts

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Sleepers

Michael Gallup, WR, Dallas Cowboys

“Unlike like last year, Gallup is firmly entrenched as the Cowboys’ WR2 with [Cole] Beasley and [Allen] Hurns now elsewhere. He had 13% of the targets last year. I wouldn’t be surprised to see that percentage double. I love him going as the 49th WR off the board, i.e. a WR5!” – Mark Strausberg, @MarkStrausberg

“Gallup is ready to explode and his ADP is starting to show it. He had a solid rookie season, but it could have been much better if Dak Prescott didn’t miss him on quite a few big plays. With a year under his belt and the attention that Amari Cooper will draw, I think Gallup will finish as a solid WR2/3 this season.” – Michael Tomlin, @Tomlin3

Corey Davis, WR, Tennessee Titans

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“It’s hard to ignore 100+ targets, especially for a player who is as talented as Davis. Sure the Titans’ offense is focused on running the football with RB Derrick Henry and QB Marcus Mariota has failed to impress, but if luck favors the Titans in 2019, Davis is a couple extra TDs away from being a Top-24 WR. Let’s not forget, Davis drew five defensive pass interference penalties for over 100 yards! Who knows what those turn into if the defender doesn’t foul him. You can do a lot worse at the end of the 9th round in 12 team leagues.” – Keith Lott, @WeTlkFntsySprts

Jamison Crowder, WR, New York Jets

“Crowder has proven to be a reliable receiver when healthy and with what looks to be a very improved Sam Darnold, I’m expecting him to outperform his ADP here. I think he will return WR3 value at the very least, which he did in 2016 and 2017 when he was healthy.” – Joe Bond, @F6P_Joe

DJ Chark, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

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“The door opened a little wider in 2019 for Jags receiver D.J. Chark following a quiet rookie season. A rookie breakout for receivers is rare anyway, but with a quarterback upgrade, the potential of him gaining a productive second share of targets after Dede Westbrook is high. Chark is one of the better dart throws with ascending upside you can take in the latter stages of your draft.” – Richard Savill, @RRSSavill

Justice Hill, RB, Baltimore Ravens

Mark Ingram is a good back, but is going into his age 30 season and has never consistently handled a full load. In his 8-year career, he’s only topped 200 carries three times and also missed an average of three games per season. Hill, a fourth-round draft pick, has the combination of speed (4.40 40-yard dash), power, and pass-catching ability to be Alvin Kamara 2.0 in an offense that should similarly be able to support two running backs.” – Kevin Huo, @KevinMHuo

Busts

Vance McDonald, TE, Pittsburgh Steelers

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“Are people really trying to tell me that Vance McDonald is worth a seventh-round pick? I know Antonio Brown and Jesse James are gone, but AB’s targets will go to JuJu Smith-Schuster, Donte Moncrief and James Washington. McDonald might see a few of the outlaw’s targets, but he’s not topping eighty targets. Give me Delanie Walker or Mark Andrews who have later ADP’s and just as much as upside, battling against weaker WR options on their teams for targets.” – Mark Strausberg, @MarkStrausberg

Amari Cooper, WR, Dallas Cowboys

“His overall stats in nine games with Dallas look good, but if you remove the two huge blow-up games he accounted for 328 yards, 35 receptions and one TD in the other seven. This inconsistency is the reason I think he does not live up to his ADP.” – Joe Bond, @F6P_Joe

Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

“After the Saints’ Week 6 bye last season, Brees only eclipsed 300 passing yards three times. Heck, he only had 250+ passing yards in one other week! Brees finished the 2018 NFL season with three touchdowns and three interceptions in weeks 12-16, throwing for less than 900 yards. Sure they added Jared Cook at TE, but they have one of the worst groups of WR’s in the NFL. Michael Thomas is great and will get his, but odds are, Brees sees a second straight year with less than 500 pass attempts in 2019.” – Keith Lott, @WeTlkFntsySprts

Le’Veon Bell, RB, New York Jets

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“The times are catching up to Bell as his style of ‘pause and cut’ is gaining vogue to one degree or another by younger running backs. Defenders are improving techniques to deal with it by creating a ‘Mexican stand-off’ stance instead of brute force pursuit or anticipation. Bell, out of the league for an entire season, is going to find out things won’t be as easy on the Jets – a team with questionable run-blocking capability. Adding in the potential for an uncomfortably tilting timeshare with Ty Montgomery, Bell is better drafted in the late-second, rather than the late-first rounds in fantasy.” – Richard Savill, @RRSSavill

Kenny Golladay, WR, Detroit Lions

“Golladay had an impressive 2018 campaign but it was fueled by receiving the 16th-most targets among wide receivers due to a Marvin Jones injury and a midseason Golden Tate trade. Drafting him as a top-20 wide receiver assumes he will get that same volume which I’m not so sure will happen with Jones healthy and Danny Amendola and T.J. Hockenson on board. On top of that, the Lions have made it clear they want to run the ball with their offseason moves and bringing in old Seahawks Offensive Coordinator Darren Bevell.” – Kevin Huo, @KevinMHuo

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James Conner, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

“As I have said all preseason, I am completely out on Conner this year. He did not have over 100 total yards a single time in the second half of the season. Jaylen Samuels was better by every advanced metric. Pittsburgh drafted Benny Snell. There is just too much uncertainty for me with Conner.” – Michael Tomlin, @Tomlin3


Make sure to visit the F6P Fantasy Football Page for more advice to help you dominate the 2019 season.

About Michael Tomlin

Michael Tomlin is an ESPY-nominated, former college football player who stays associated with the game through Fantasy Sports. He has been writing his personal blog, Dirkland.blogspot.com, for three years and it focuses on Fantasy Sports, as well as handicapping. He was born and raised in the DFW Metroplex, and he follows all of the Dallas teams, along with Texas Tech athletics and Manchester City F.C.

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