Fantasy Football

2019 Fantasy Football Week 11 Defense Stream-O-Matic

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It’s going to be one of those “ah damn it, he just posted the chart” weeks. Or maybe y’all like those better when I don’t spew out my favorite and least favorite picks on the chart? I don’t know which it is, but I will present the chart for Week 11 anyway!

First, let’s take a look back at Week 10. It’s two straight bad-looking charts for the results, but I have a valid excuse for this trendline…

2019 Fantasy Football Week 11 Defense Stream-O-Matic

You seeing what I’m seeing? That stupid SaintsFalcons game destroyed the graph. What the hell was that game anyway? My picks weren’t great (other than the Ravens, holy balls) but the chart would’ve been just fine.

Another very bizarre week in the NFL has come and gone, though. On to Week 11! Since I don’t have my normal sections below, I will highlight a couple of team defenses I will be streaming this week:

  • The Jets proved me wrong last week and actually outplayed the Giants from a defensive standpoint for fantasy. However, it was on the back of a strange strip-sack return for a touchdown. Otherwise, Daniel Jones torched them. I’m down to use the Jets this week though if only for the sake of one Dwayne Haskins.
  • If you see Jeff Driskell getting another start, I’m totally cool rolling out the Jaguars as a streaming option. Not feeling as great about it with Jacoby Brissett in, but the pickings are slim.
  • In a pinch, one could use the Raiders as a last-second streaming defense. As bad as they are, Ryan Finley may be worse. The Ravens feasted on Finley and the heavily-favored Raiders should be able to have a positive game script.

Good luck to everyone this week!

2019 Fantasy Football Week 11 Defense Stream-O-Matic

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Scoring

I use a traditional rotisserie scoring style commonly used in fantasy baseball season-long leagues to give point totals to each team.

Categories

The categories for the chart are listed below along with links to websites that I use to find this data.

  • Own%: Ownership percentages based on 12-team ESPN leagues gives us an idea of who is available. This doesn’t factor into the standings.
  • Location: Generally speaking, defenses play better at home than on the road. Thus, a five-point advantage is given to all home teams.
  • Wind: The only weather element that has shown a direct correlation with point totals is winds in excess of 15 MPH. Another five-point bonus is awarded to teams playing in such windy conditions.
  • Vegas: Using Vegas odds, the spread and over/under generates a projected game score that the bettors go against. This game score portrays what the game flow could look like and, therefore, which fantasy football defenses are in a good position to succeed.
  • oSAC%: To gauge how good (or bad) an opposing offensive line might be, look at the sack percentage for that team’s offense. Not only are some offensive lines bad, but some quarterbacks don’t show the ability to avoid the sack. (NOTE: I’ll be incorporating a weighted average with 2018-2019 data.)
  • oINT%: The opponent’s interception percentage obviously helps in streaming a defense. Turnover percentage is not used here because fumbles can be a little fluky and turnover percentage uses both fumbles and interceptions. (NOTE: I’ll be incorporating a weighted average with 2018-2019 data.)
  • FPPG: I use ESPN defensive scoring rankings to determine a ranking of the fantasy football defenses.
  • DVOA: Probably the most popular tool for evaluating defenses, the DVOA efficiency ratings are utilized to give a strong baseline to the rankings.

Stream-O-Matic Chart

OverallDefenseOwn%OppLocationWindVegasoSAC%oINT%FPPGDVOA
123.0Bills92.1MIA002624262720
122.0Rams81.7CHI50252592929
121.049ers92.7ARI50272163131
114.0Patriots98.1PHI00202283232
113.0Steelers73.3CLE001819163030
111.0Vikings86.2DEN50282742225
110.0Jets28.4WAS002128192022
109.5Saints84.7TB0015.520252326
99.0Redskins19.4NYJ5024262879
94.0Ravens78.3HOU501316132819
93.0Jaguars56.1IND001218241821
92.5Panthers51.9ATL5015.510182618
85.0Bears88.1LAR00102202528
84.0Colts70.1JAX501912101523
79.0Chiefs46.5LAC00914271316
75.0Raiders15.4CIN5022172254
75.0Cowboys50.2DET001711151913
75.0Eagles37.1NE50113112124
66.0Browns33.1PIT5023514910
56.0Broncos18.1MIN008721227
55.0Texans15.6BAL0068121415
53.5Falcons1.5CAR003.5232313
48.0Lions11.1DAL50712168
46.0Dolphins1.1BUF501415732
41.0Titans37.7BYE----------2417
41.0Cardinals8.3SF002131745
39.5Buccaneers3.8NO503.565812
39.0Chargers45.9KC00591177
27.0Seahawks34.5BYE----------1611
25.0Packers26.5BYE----------1114
16.0Giants12.5BYE----------106
11.0Bengals0.6OAK0014321

Defenses on Bye Week: Giants, Packers, Seahawks, Titans

Optimum Score: 158

Minimum Score: 2


Check out the rest of our 2019 Fantasy Football content from our outstanding team of writers.

About Tyler Thompson

Follow me on Twitter at @therealwody. For all the latest news and best advice out there, like us on Facebook, Google+ and Instagram.

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