Fantasy Football

2019 Fantasy Football Week 11 Preview: UpsideTown


I freely admit it. Real football won the day last weekend over fantasy. Do I mind? No, because fantasy can weather anything. Besides, I like football – period.

The Rams and Steelers put on a great show. The Seahawks and 49ers had the most thrilling Monday nighter of 2019. The Chiefs and Titans proved exciting and still held a fair enough amount of fantasy production. Atlanta’s clinic on the Saints didn’t bear a whole lot of fantasy fruit, but was an interesting game just the same. Snow drama in Green Bay? Yeah, baby.

I would say on the whole that Week 10 wasn’t too abnormal for fantasy, but with six teams on a bye, fantasy owners had to make do in all sorts of ways.

Entering Week 11, some of our best fantasy chums will again be away, but I expect a better balance of real versus fantasy. Stuff tends to retreat to the norm.

Before I get too overly confident, injuries on several teams are having an impact. The fallen quarterbacks and the passing game has definitely diluted the prime receiving talents in the league. The understudies in the NFL aren’t throwing to who they are supposed to consistently enough.

But hey, it’s still football and we like it.

2019 Fantasy Football Week 11 Preview 2019 Fantasy Football Week 10 Preview

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Games to Watch 2019 Fantasy Football Week 10 Preview

A brief rundown of the games this weekend. You have your fantasy lineups set, now it’s time to watch ’em play.

Byes: Giants, Packers, Seahawks, Titans

Early Sunday: Texans (6-3) at Ravens (7-2) -4.0 50.0

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Two top tier quarterbacks in a showdown with major playoff implications. The playoff importance factor for this game is well over the base level index with 133/∼100 at PlayoffStatus.

The Ravens utterly destroyed the Bengals last week. Lamar Jackson went viral on twitter with the most amazing spin move of a quarterback you’ll ever see. Except of course when Lamar finds a moment when he’ll do it again.

The Patriots couldn’t do much against him defensively either, so the Texans need their own offensive weaponry in good form to keep the Ravens from getting away from them.

I doubt very much that Carlos Hyde is enough to hold the Ravens in check on the pass rush. Deshaun Watson is having difficultly getting time in the pocket this season to forge his normal connection with DeAndre Hopkins. They are up against it and I expect Watson will need to rely on the short game with his tight ends and Duke Johnson to pull the thread for toss sweeps and check downs.

Darren Fells is another key for keeping the drives alive for the Texans and delivering at least a few more opportunities for Hopkins in the clear.

The Ravens can run their usual scheme versus the Texans using their devastating RPO pistol successfully without needing to resort to conventional pistol, shotgun and single back formations.

Jackson will also use Mark Andrews and the rest of his tight ends more than his receivers overall, but I suspect Marquise Brown will potentially see a big day not seen since early this season.

Fun Fact: The Ravens have never lost to the Texans in Baltimore. They are 5-0 against them at home and 7-3 overall.
Sleeper: Duke Johnson, RB, Texans

Other Early Sunday Games in Brief…

Broncos (3-6) at Vikings (7-3) -10.5 40.0

If there’s any positive for the Broncos entering this game it is that their rush defense has improved in recent weeks. Surprisingly, they are one of three teams with a shutout in 2019. Noah Fant is on fantasy watch as the de facto receiver replacement for Emmanuel Sanders. Adam Thielen remains doubtful for the Vikings in their ramped up passing offense of recent weeks.

2019 Fantasy Football Week 10 Preview

Bills (6-3) at Dolphins (2-7) +6.0 40.5

The second meeting. The rebuild of Dolphins is starting to look like something resembling a rebuild instead of a voluntary tank. Myles Gaskin needs some fantasy testing though; thanks, but we have enough tape on Kalen Ballage, okay? The Bills are looking to bounce back from an ugly loss to the Browns. Devin Singletary is struggling to escape an equal timeshare with Frank Gore.

Jaguars (4-5) at Colts (5-4) -2.5 44.0

The Colts will have Jacoby Brissett back per reports. However, Jack Doyle and T.Y. Hilton are doubtful. The Jaguars have Nick Foles back. His last play was a touchdown to D.J. Chark in Week 1. Leonard Fournette will ease things in for Foles, by compulsion really, because the Colts are 7th versus the pass on the season. However, they’ve dropped off to 17th in the last four weeks.

Cowboys (5-4) at Lions (3-5-1) +6.0 47.0

Where is the running game for the Lions? Ty Johnson is a GTD, but J.D. McKissic isn’t breaking through at all anyway for a fantasy rare and enticing wide open three-down back opportunity. Worse, Matthew Stafford is out and Jeff Driskel leads the offense. The Cowboys have yet to solidify a standing among the other contenders, but are (mostly) handling the weaker teams.

Falcons (2-7) at Panthers (5-4) -5.5 49.5

If the Falcons continue to play up to their division heavies, then the Panthers should find themselves in a battle. Brian Hill will lead the backfield and Qadree Ollison will tick up in the snap count. Both are fantasy worthy in use and speculation respectively. Kyle Allen notched his first 300+ game in the cold and snow of Green Bay. Look for a potential shootout to break out.

Jets (2-7) at Redskins (1-8) -1.0 38.5

Dwayne Haskins. The future is now. Wins aren’t as important anymore as discovering the strengths of their quarterback going forward. We already know the weaknesses. The Jets continue in the same vein for their offense overall. Both DSTs are playable, but as for the offensive fantasy guys, the best chance sits with Terry McLaurin of the Redskins with risk.

Saints (7-2) at Buccaneers (3-6) +5.5 50.5

Who should I start? Jameis Winston or Drew Brees? Once upon a time, Brees was the quick answer. Winston is mistake prone, but he overcomes the picks and routinely scores FPs into the 20s. For the Saints, our hand is hovering over the panic button for Alvin Kamara. This stat won’t inspire owners either… the Bucs have allowed the fewest rushing yards (700) in 2019.

Late Sunday: Patriots (8-1) at Eagles (5-4) +3.5 44.5

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Which comes first, the Eagles or the eggs? With Carson Wentz, the eggs don’t have much of a leg to stand on. Wentz certainly isn’t developing or improving any Eagles receivers. His stature as a quarterback oppositely depends on the talent of the weapons around him. Defenses are taking away Zach Ertz for the most part and Wentz has no connected circuitry with the other receivers.

In fairness, Wentz isn’t alone amongst other quarterbacks in the NFL in this regard. Only Nelson Agholor and Zach Ertz have 100+ receiving yards on the Eagles. With Alshon Jeffery (doubtful) and DeSean Jackson (IR) outside the conversation, who, besides the afforementioned, can step up for the Eagles to help Wentz?

Well, since the Patriots are allowing the fewest FPs to wide receivers, it might not matter this week anyway. Myles Sanders and Jordan Howard (Q) will see heavy work early to try and open something up for somebody.

For the Patriots, the emperor isn’t happy. The loss to the Ravens exposed some weaknesses the Eagles don’t quite have the same tools to emulate. If Wentz were mobile enough out of the pistol and Jordan Howard had a better offensive line to break runs, then maybe.

The singular problem the Patriots have is playing from behind two scores or more. Gaining that advantage is something the Eagles will find difficult.

Mohamed Sanu has found new life on the Patriots. A second, or even third, fiddle on the Falcons demonstrates to all of us involved with fantasy how much of his talent went wasting away through the years.

Can the same be said of Sony Michel on the Patriots in his current situation? Michel has fallen out of favor because of his lack of attention to so many details the Patriots’ coaching staff expects. Some areas in his game are not without legitimate beefs – breaking tackles being one of them.

So the Patriots backfield committee continues as a punch-card, factory shift-work scheme no different from the style the Patriots have run throughout most of the years under Belichick.

Fun Fact: This is the first time the Patriots and Eagles have met since Super Bowl LII. The Patriots have won their last five coming off a bye following a loss.
Sleeper: Rex Burkhead, RB, Patriots

Other Late Sunday Games in Brief…

2019 Fantasy Football Week 10 Preview

Bengals (0-9) at Raiders (5-4) -10.5 48.5

A.J. Green is out. The Raiders stand just one half game outside of first place in the AFC West. Hard to believe. The Raiders will pile it on with the ground and air attack. If you can find a reason to sit your Bengals, even Joe Mixon, I would advise you to do so. The Raiders are undefeated at home (4-0) this season against better competition.

Cardinals (3-6-1) at 49ers (8-1) -11.5 45.5

Fact. The 49ers are different without George Kittle (D) and Emmanuel Sanders (Q-D). Sanders is closer questionable than doubtful. The Cardinals are freewheeling their rebuild with Kyler Murray and the idea is having a positive effect. David Johnson has noticeably slowed down since his various injuries. Kenyan Drake‘s acquisition looks more than just a depth move.

Featured Games

Sunday Night: Bears (4-5) at Rams (5-4) -6.5 40.5

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The Bears broke a four-game skid versus the Lions in Week 10. Mitch Trubisky finally moved the ball with his arm effectively. David Montgomery regressed a bit, but secure in the feature role.

This is another battle of defense on paper, much like game the Rams had versus the Steelers last week. The Bears are better offensively than the Steelers however, and will come at the Rams with David Montgomery. Look for a fantasy satisfying rebound for him in this game. Although it looks defensive on paper, there is every reason to suspect this game to open up as you will see.

For Cooper Kupp, his fantasy floor isn’t as solid as we thought it was. Kupp was pushed straight through it to the basement against the Steelers. It seems the key to upsetting Jared Goff‘s rhythm is to focus on Kupp and force him to throw to Gerald Everett instead.

The real problem for Cooper Kupp is that without the threat of Brandin Cooks, the secondary isn’t stretched too much in man-to-man coverage. That sweet spot area where Kupp does his damage between the linebackers and the safeties tightens up.

To remedy this and not fall into the same trap as they did against the Steelers, the Rams will likely get their outside receivers to run several deep routes throughout the game.

This strategy could make this game very interesting and force the Bears to get their leg muscles going in the passing game too with Taylor Gabriel, Allen Robinson, and Anthony Miller.

This now brings up quarterback accuracy. Which quarterback is more accurate? Mitch Trubisky or Jared Goff? Let’s find out on Sunday night.

Fun Fact: The Bears have won six of their last seven meetings against the Rams – including the last four when the Rams are coming off a loss.
Sleeper: Josh Reynolds, WR, Rams

Monday Night: Chiefs (6-4) vs Chargers (4-6) +3.5 52.0 (in Mexico City)

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The Mexicans lost their chance to see one of the highest scoring games in NFL history last year because the Estadio Azteca had field safety issues.

Of course, a major shootout might not have happened, because in part there is a big difference of venues between Mexico City and the near sea-level Los Angeles. Mexico City has an elevation of 7,200 feet – 2000 feet higher than Denver.

Whenever a game is played at Estadio Azteca, there is always the chance a record field goal could occur. This is because of the lower air pressure in the Mexico Valley plateau. I’ll be interested in the pre-game kicking practices to see what distances Harrison Butker and Michael Badgeley are putting through.

Ok, ok. Enough talk about that stuff. The game.

The Chiefs are fighting to maintain dominance in the AFC West and with Raiders not far behind, a win becomes imperative. The Chargers have their own ideas of sneaking through the middle with a very playable schedule to the end of the season.

Both teams are not obliged to put on a show for a Mexican crowd deprived of a game last season, but the matchup has every chance of ending in a shootout anyway.

Right now though, Philip Rivers is not anywhere near his gunslinging best. It is affecting the fantasy production of the receivers on the relevant Chargers. Melvin Gordon is heating up, but Austin Ekeler remains a main feature in the timeshare.

Patrick Mahomes is just fine with passing for 400+ yards again and so are the owners of Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins, etc. We should see plenty of that and a heavy dose as usual of Travis Kelce.

Everyone is healthy on both teams among the major skill players, so sit back and enjoy an offensive show. Popcorn optional, but advised.

Fun Fact: This is the fourth meeting of these teams on Monday night football – the first being in 1983. Two of the four meetings ended in overtime; the Chiefs winning the last three.
Sleeper: Demarcus Robinson, WR, Chiefs

In the Booth on Sunday

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Ronde Barber

CBS Early

Texans at Ravens: Ian Eagle, Dan Fouts
Broncos at Vikings: Kevin Harlan, Rich Gannon
Bills at Dolphins: Spero Dedes, Adam Archuleta
Jaguars at Colts: Andrew Catalon, James Lofton

FOX Early

Cowboys at Lions: Kevin Burkhardt, Charles Davis
Falcons at Panthers: Dick Stockton, Mark Schlereth
Jets at Redskins: Kenny Albert, Ronde Barber
Saints at Buccaneers: Thom Brennaman, Chris Spielman

CBS Late

Patriots at Eagles: Jim Nantz, Tony Romo
Bengals at Raiders: Greg Gumbel, Trent Green

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FOX Late

Cardinals at 49ers: Chris Myers, Daryl Johnston

Check out the rest of our 2019 Fantasy Football content from our great team of writers.

About Richard Savill

Richard is an NFL Fantasy Football Writer and Editor of Fantasy Six Pack. Host of The Fantasy Edge Podcast. FantasyPros Contributor. Member of the FSWA. Richard is known for his "outside the box" insight into NFL fantasy football. Winner of the 16-Team 2015 FSWA challenge.

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