2019 Fantasy Football Week 14 Preview: Timing

by Richard Savill
2019 Fantasy Football Week 14 Preview

What is it about Derrick Henry and fantasy playoff time? He's had a solid season so far, but has come on lately, again, just in time for your fantasy playoffs. This is the third straight season Henry is the hot running back entering the playoffs. Let us hope he keeps that trend going.

Some players are like that. Joe Flacco, when still with the Ravens, seemed to come up with a bumper crop of fantasy points in the closing weeks. Damien Williams in 2018 was the star late waiver grab and produced RB1 numbers from your flex spot.

Others trend in the other direction. Todd Gurley took you to the playoffs in 2018, but fell apart in those crucial games. Adam Thielen's worst outing came in Week 14 of 2018 with a pathetic 19 yards. This, during a career season with nine (nine!) 100+ yard weeks. These and other players ended the playoffs right at the gate for several strong fantasy teams.

This week, Twitter will once again scream in vitriolic disgust over season-long heavy producers who suddenly collapse either through injury or performance in Week 14.

I hope your playoff opener doesn't end like that. So, good luck!

2019 Fantasy Football Week 14 Preview 2019 Fantasy Football Week 14 Preview

Manage all your fantasy teams in every league in just one place. Sign up to use the Fantasy Pros Playbook.

Games to Watch 2019 Fantasy Football Week 14 Preview

A brief rundown of the games this weekend. You have your fantasy lineups set, now it's time to watch 'em play.

Early Sunday: 49ers (10-2) at Saints (10-2) -2.5 44.5

Embed from Getty Images
The 49ers find themselves in another game with major NFC seeding implications. Playoff Status has this game indexed with a 174/100 score for playoff importance.

Both defenses are tough, but in different ways. The Saints are near the top against the rush and the 49ers are near the top against the pass.

Since the 49ers rely heavily on the running game, the Saints hold an edge. It's not a decisive edge, but it does force Jimmy Garappolo to rely on quick check downs and George Kittle inside and outside the numbers.

For the Saints, their running attack isn't showing much with Alvin Kamara and Latavius Murray lately. Their offense depends mostly on Michael Thomas and the surrounding cast to keep drives alive. This plays right into the strength of the 49ers. We could see the effect when the Falcons pass rush used several tactics against the New Orleans front to disrupt Drew Brees from connecting.

If the Saints are playing from behind early, this could turn ugly for the home team. Their defense may well need to win this game against the 49ers - much like the Seahawks did in Santa Clara.

The 49ers have to avoid turnovers deep in their end allowing Brees a short field to work with. Both teams are in the top ten for takeaways in recent weeks.

Turnovers, therefore, are the key to who wins this game. But something else tells me the kickers are the actual determining factor.

Fun Fact: Alvin Kamara has just two touchdowns this season - both coming in Week 3 versus the Seahawks.
Sleeper: Emmanuel Sanders, WR, 49ers

Other Early Sunday Games in Brief...

Ravens (10-2) at Bills (9-3) +5.5 43.5

The Patriots will have popcorn for this one. Both defenses have their hands full chasing quarterbacks comfortable with breaking pocket for chunk yardage. However, Lamar Jackson is far slippery than any other for the Bills to contain. Several participants in this game are among the least safest plays for your fantasy playoff opener with real bust dangers.

2019 Fantasy Football Week 14 Preview

Broncos (4-8) at Texans (8-4) -9.0 42.5

Drew Lock is a sleeper with upside! This is a typical spoiler vs contender matchup, yet your Texans studs are in a perfect spot to take advantage. There may be a let-down factor for the Texans in this game following their defeat of the Patriots, but from a fantasy perspective we can overlook the win-loss "real" playoff implications.

Colts (6-6) at Buccaneers (5-7) -3.0 47.0

The Colts continue their injury riddled season. Marlon Mack may return, but T.Y. Hilton might be done for the year. If you are forced to trust Zach Pascal or Jordan Wilkins/Jonathan Williams, prepare for white knuckles. On the other side, Bruce Arians has made Ronald Jones and Peyton Barber undesirable and risky fantasy starts for the Week 14 opening of the playoffs.

Dolphins (3-9) at Jets (4-8) -5.5 45.0

I'll admit that Devante Parker has never looked this good. A breakout six years in the making. He's in another good matchup versus the Jets, but nothing comes easy on the Dolphins. Sudden busts are more likely on non-contending teams. This can also be said for the Jets. Le'Veon Bell (Q-illness) is a volatile selection even in a good matchup and better viewed as a flex risk.

Bengals (1-11) at Browns (5-7) -8.0 41.0

Odell Beckham tweeted a clarification over vague notions about his future with the Browns. He never said he was not happy on the Browns, but wasn't positive about it either. It might be a squeaky wheel looking for grease. It's a good matchup for him to explode. John Ross of the Bengals should be stashed as he returns off IR.

Lions (3-8-1) at Vikings (8-4) -13.0 43.0

David Blough looks okay, but now film on him is available for defenses. Bo Scarbrough is a pure Tuscaloosa Crimson Tide RB with low receiving stats. The ground yardage is great, but he's touchdown dependent in PPR formats. Dalvin Cook (prob) is "ready to play" and "close to 100%", but will the Vikings limit his workload? Alexander Mattison is a must-own in all formats.

Redskins (3-9) at Packers (9-3) -13.0 41.5

Aaron Jones ruined Week 14 for owners in 2018 with an injury. This time he and Jamaal Williams have a great matchup to exploit. The Packers have a strange habit of playing down to their competition in home games, so don't despair having to start Derrius Guice.

Panthers (5-7) at Falcons (3-9) -3.0 47.5

Perry Fewell is the interim coach for the Panthers following the firing of Ron Rivera. Norv Turner steps away from OC in favor of his son, Scott Turner. The short-term effect, if any, on Christian McCaffrey and other offensive players should be evident in this game.

Late Sunday: Chiefs (8-4) at Patriots (10-2) -3.0 49.0

Embed from Getty Images
A game where the Patriots cannot rely on defense alone to get them through. They'll HAVE to get the offense going.

Quite a few storylines in this game besides that one.

Most important is the playoff context. The Patriots have lost the top seed to the Ravens based on head-to-head and now the Bills are a threat for the division. The Chiefs can improve their chances for a bye week with a win as well.

The Patriots receivers are not at the standard Brady expects them to be. Only Julian Edelman is trustworthy. However, defenses have no qualms about blanketing him because the rest don't measure up. That is except for Mohamed Sanu, sort of.

N'Keal Harry isn't ready. Jakobi Meyers is sound enough and shows some flashes of his talent, but overall the Patriots really miss a big pass-catching tight end like Gronk.

For the Chiefs side of things, the backfield is finally making the introduction of Darwin Thompson. He's a physical freak at 5'8" 205 lbs. With Damien Williams out and Darrel WIlliams lost for the season, LeSean McCoy and Thompson are the show.

This is sort of a revenge game for Patrick Mahomes as he wants another shot at the Patriots. He'll get it as Brady drools over Mahomes' favorite playmaker, Travis Kelce.

You can bet Mahomes will rub it in their face. We have Kelce and you don't.

Fun Fact: The last AFC team to defeat the Patriots at Gillette are the Chiefs in Week 1 of 2017, 822 days ago.
Sleeper: Sammy Watkins, WR, Chiefs

Other Late Sunday Games in Brief...

2019 Fantasy Football Week 14 Preview

Titans (7-5) at Raiders (6-6) +2.5 47.0

Is Derrick Henry custom made for fantasy playoffs? This is the third straight season he is in peak prime entering a Week 14. Josh Jacobs revealed he played through a fractured shoulder much of 2019.  Seems strange he would come out with this now. The Raiders and Titans are wild-card contenders in what you may consider a playoff game.

Steelers (7-5) at Cardinals (3-8-1) +2.5 43.5

Juju Smith-Schuster and James Conner are out. The Steelers looked like dead ducks (ahem) just a couple of weeks ago, but a defensive surge and change at quarterback seems to have done the trick. The David Johnson era in Arizona is over and the fantasy starter is now Kenyan Drake. Your other fantasy Cardinals are in a tough matchup against the league's hottest defense.

Chargers (4-8) at Jaguars (4-8) +3.0 43.0

A mean nothing game, but with fantasy treasures for your playoffs. Gardner Minshew, for one, is a fine sleeper quarterback. I predict Mike Williams gets his first touchdown of the season. Keenan Allen comes to life. I can see DJ Chark and Dede Westbrook each getting a touchdown. All the relevant running backs are automatic starts. Yes, this game is your Week 14 workhorse.

Featured Games

Sunday Night: Seahawks (10-2) at Rams (7-5) 0.0 47.0

Embed from Getty Images
The Seahawks narrowly escaped with a victory by a missed field goal in the dying seconds by the Rams in Week 5.

We talk about the big rivalries in the NFL, but not many know about the quieter rivalry between these two teams. I have no idea where and how it started, but every time these teams clash, there's something there and you feel it. The Seahawks and Packers have their well-known rivalry, but inside the division, this is it.

And of course, the playoffs are at stake.

The Rams have been the among the top headache teams for fantasy. The collapse of Todd Gurley, the regression of Jared Goff, the soaring up and nosedive of Cooper Kupp, the inconsistency of Robert Woods and the invisible Brandin Cooks.

They are still winning against the weaker teams, but have fallen out the divisional race and into the scramble for a wild card.

The Seahawks cling to the 2nd seed in the conference through tenacity and sheer will. The backfield is a shared one now and Rashaad Penny is a fantasy playable option. Russell Wilson looked strong for the MVP honor early on, but Lamar Jackson outpaced him in recent weeks.

Don't count Wilson out for anything. Now that the drive is on for a Super Bowl, the hunger is returning.

So get yourself a Decaf Metcalf and enjoy this game. Should be another wild one between these teams.

Fun Fact: With a victory, Pete Carroll will notch his 100th win as head coach of the Seahawks.
Sleeper: Josh Gordon, WR, Seahawks

Monday Night: Giants (2-10) at Eagles (5-7) -9.5 46.0

Embed from Getty Images
Eli Manning is back.

Daniel Jones is week-to-week with a high ankle sprain, so Eli will make his swan song as the signal caller for the Giants over perhaps the remainder of the season.

The Eagles continue to refuse the gifts handed to them by the bewilderingly underperforming Cowboys.

This game is not really one where you want your fantasy playoff hopes relying on. It is true that Alshon Jeffery awoke last week, but all the Eagles are volatile starts apart from Miles Sanders.

On the Giants, you're looking at Saquon Barkley to receive more passes from Manning on check-downs and such.

Still, Monday night has its well-known magic when your fantasy playoff life depends on it. There's nothing like overtaking an opponent when you are down to your last hope in the 4th quarter on Monday night in the fantasy playoffs.

Good luck in this final game of Week 14.

Fun Fact: The Eagles are 9-1 versus the Giants since 2014. The Eagles are also 8-1 against the Giants on Monday night. The Giants last beat the Eagles on Monday night in 1972.
Sleeper: Dallas Goedert, TE, Eagles

In the Booth on Sunday

Embed from Getty Images
Jim Nantz

CBS Early

Ravens at Bills: Ian Eagle, Dan Fouts
Broncos at Texans: Kevin Harlan, Rich Gannon
Colts at Buccaneers: Spero Dedes, Adam Archuleta
Dolphins at Jets: Tom McCarthy, Jay Feely
Bengals at Browns: Beth Mowins, Tiki Barber

FOX Early

49ers at Saints: Kevin Burkhardt, Charles Davis
Redskins at Packers: Kenny Albert, Ronde Barber
Lions at Vikings: Thom Brennaman, Chris Spielman
Panthers at Falcons: Chris Myers, Daryl Johnston

CBS Late

Chiefs at Patriots: Jim Nantz, Tony Romo
Titans at Raiders: Greg Gumbel, Trent Green
Steelers at Cardinals: Andrew Catalon, James Lofton

FOX Late

Chargers at Jaguars: Dick Stockton, Mark Schlereth

Check out the rest of our 2019 Fantasy Football content from our great team of writers.

You may also like

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

F6P Badges Banner

Follow us on social media


A Six Pack of Fantasy Sports

Copyright © 2024 Fantasy Six Pack.