2019 Fantasy Football Week 4 Trends

by Noah Spurlock
Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Depth Chart

Welcome to the 2019 Fantasy Football Week 4 Trends Article!

In this article, I’ll be focusing on statistics such as snap counts, targets, or pass attempts in an effort to help you win your league.

These statistics are a critical part of potentially buying low or selling high on a player, so here’s my take on what went down this week.

This week, we’ll be taking a look at the action that went on in Week 4 of the season.

2019 Fantasy Football Week 4 Trends

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1. The Rams are Not the Same

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We're 25% of the way through the season, meaning we've seen a fair amount of football. At this point, the way someone is playing is probably the way they'll be playing all season.

The Los Angeles Rams' offense, particularly Jared Goff, have not had the greatest start to the season. Playing from behind all afternoon, Goff's stats made him look good. He threw an absurd 68 passes against the Bucs, throwing 517 yards, two touchdowns, and three picks. Those three interceptions were all early, though, and put the Rams in a hole.

It appears that the NFL has figured out Goff, at least for now. Teams attack Rams with the same defensive formation, and they have yet to punch back.

The Buccaneers do not have a very good defense. So, it's entirely justifiable to be worried. I wouldn't recommend starting Goff for the time being.

2. The Bears and Eagles Have Spectacular Run Defenses

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Another thing we start to do around this time is really analyze defenses. We've had enough time to decide which defenses can be considered a tough fantasy matchup.

One thing we know for sure is that no running back is safe against Chicago or Philadelphia. Dalvin Cook, one of the league's premier backs, averaged just 2.5 YPC against the Bears. Aaron Jones averaged just 1.6 YPC.

Both of these teams have invested a lot into their defensive line. And, especially in Philadelphia's case, are leading a lot of games. This means that the opposition will have to abandon the run in an attempt to claw back into the game.

It's hard to recommend anyone against these defenses, but there are a few exceptions to the rule. Guys like Dalvin Cook, Christian McCaffery, or Le'Veon Bell are the focal points of their respective offenses. They'll put up respectable numbers simply because of their usage rates. The non-elites, though? I don't recommend them.

3. Chris Carson is Still the Guy

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After fumbling twice last week, many people believed the Seahawks would look to get other running backs more work this week against Arizona. However, this was not the case.

Carson was the guy on Sunday, rushing 22 times for 104 yards and adding four catches for 41 yards. The only other running back to carry the ball was CJ Prosise who, unfortunately, stole a goal-line touchdown.

Despite getting off to a slow start this year, Carson is a solid running back. He had a strong game today and rushed for 1,000 yards last year. We know OC Brian Schottenheimer tries way too hard to establish the run, which is a good thing for Carson fantasy owners. He will continue to receive enough carries to keep a solid fantasy floor. He's a solid buy-low candidate.

4. Odell Beckham Jr. is Not Himself

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"I felt like they sent me here to die," said Odell Beckham Jr. regarding his trade from the New York Giants to the Cleveland Browns, excited about getting a chance in Cleveland.

Well, OBJ, don't get too excited. Both the Browns and the Giants are 2-2, and Odell is statistically off to arguably the worst start of his career.

What's happening to Odell is not uncommon. Many first-year WRs, whether that be on a new team or in the league, struggle to produce. It's tough to gain chemistry with the quarterback and learn the system.

Odell won't go down from here, especially with easier match-ups and high scoring affairs on the horizon. Nonetheless, it's a situation to monitor.

5. Austin Hooper is Here to Stay

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Up to this season, it's been a career of "what if?" for Austin Hooper. He's shown flashes, but he's never quite been able to live up to the hype.

Finally, when it feels like nobody is left on the bandwagon, Hooper has finally become a TE1. In four games this season, Hooper has recorded 28 receptions for 307 yards and two touchdowns. This puts him on a 112/1028/8 pace.

While it will be tough for him to meet, this, 80 receptions for 800 yards and five touchdowns is entirely attainable. A statline like this definitely puts him in top-10 TE conversation.

Looking ahead, Hooper's matchups don't get any tougher. He plays the Texans, Cardinals, Rams and Seahawks before heading on a bye. If you have him on your bench, start him or get rid of him.

Check out the rest of our 2019 Fantasy Football content from our great team of writers.

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1 comment

2019 Fantasy Football Week 5 Waiver Wire - Fantasy Six Pack October 1, 2019 - 8:00 am

[…] Anyone looking for production and target trends after an interesting week should check out Noah Spurlock’s Week 4 Trends piece. […]


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