This right here is the 2020-21 Fantasy Basketball Busts article. With this being one of the most important articles in basketball coming into your draft day I will try and help you guys out the best I can.
Now to start things off busts can totally ruin your draft and season, especially if you spend a high draft pick on one of these guys. Going through this article you will see some names you won't be expecting to be on here but there is reason why they should be on here.
More than likely a few names that you will see everywhere else just because they are too hard not to put in this place. So buckle in for a wild ride and welcome all to the 2020-21 Fantasy Basketball Busts article.
2020-21 Fantasy Basketball Busts
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Point Guards
Chris Paul, Phoenix Suns (Yahoo ADP: 35)
CP3 and Book making it easy for Ayton 🔥 pic.twitter.com/UwLfCI8RIR
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) December 17, 2020
This might be controversial so bare with me. Now that he is with Phoenix Suns I just don't see him being able to score as much. Deandre Ayton is going to want the ball more now in his sophomore season, and Devin Booker is clearly the number one option. Chris Paul should still be able to provide solid numbers but not enough to warrant his ADP of 35 right now.
Last year he averaged 17.6 points, 5 rebounds, and only 6.7 assists per game. He also gave you a 48/36/90 shooting line.
Now that he is with a whole lot more talent and not to mention another year older I'm expecting his minutes to decrease a little bit. I also don't think he will be able to put up 17 points a game with this talent around him. With his 6.7 assists per game last year it makes it that much harder to draft him this high, that is usually his bread and butter. I would let someone else in your leagues take a chance on this guy.
John Wall, Houston Rockets (Yahoo ADP: 61)
Patrick Williams not letting John Wall go past him pic.twitter.com/K8m72GXseB
— Gustavo (@iamvega1982) December 12, 2020
John Wall has found a new home in Houston Rockets, which I find as a weird move for both teams. John Wall is a ball-dominant player just like James Harden, and he also loves to shoot the ball like James Harden. Another weird thing is that they both like to assist the ball. Someone's stats are going to have to give and I expect it to be John Wall for sure.
John Wall hasn't played since 2018 where he averaged 20.7 points and 8.7 assists. He has missed the last two years because of heel surgery and a ruptured Achilles. Luck is not in his favor lately.
I expect him to be slower than he once was and more than likely his stats will suffer. I would avoid drafting this guy in every league you play in. He doesn't seem like a safe pick at all for where he is being drafted.
Shooting Guards
Buddy Hield, Sacramento Kings (Yahoo ADP: 57.5)
The Kings have been in talks with teams about trading away Buddy Hield and want draft compensation in return for Hield. Per @IanBegley h/t @TheNBACentral pic.twitter.com/izDx9SOI64
— NBA Retweet (@RTNBA) December 4, 2020
Last year Buddy Hield averaged 19.2 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 3 assists with not much talent around him. His slashing line was pedestrian with a 42/39/84. I always thought big things from this guy since college and hasn't really panned out.
He was known for just scoring, especially in fantasy. Now that he has competition for buckets and starting time(Tyrese Haliburton) we could see a decrease in numbers from Buddy Hield.
I would avoid drafting him because Tyrese Haliburton can easily into his minutes considering they used a top pick on Haliburton. Let someone else take a chance on Hield. The Kings have even been in contact with teams about trading Hield.
Eric Bledsoe, New Orleans Pelicans (Yahoo ADP: 79)
The 2020-21 projected starting lineup for the New Orleans Pelicans
PG - Lonzo Ball
SG - Eric Bledsoe
SF - Brandon Ingram
PF - Zion Williamson
C - Steven Adams pic.twitter.com/7pEK7BgkwD— Fadeaway World HQ (@FadeawayWorldHQ) December 14, 2020
Now belonging to the New Orleans Pelicans he is going to have some competition for shots on this team. He was a third option in Milwaukee and he will be a shaky third option here in New Orleans.
He was able to average 14.9 points, 5.4 assists, and 4.6 rebounds for Milwaukee and now that he has to compete with J.J Redick I can totally expect his numbers to come down even more. Avoid him in the middle rounds because these are some of the most important rounds of your draft.
Tyler Herro, Miami Heat (Yahoo ADP: 80)
Tyler Herro was ranked over
Demar DeRozan
D’angelo Russell
John Wall
Buddy hield
Blake Griffin
Dennis Schroder
TJ warren
Ricky Rubio
Kevin Love
Og AnunobyI like Herro, but he’s easily become one of the most overrated players in the league pic.twitter.com/lnXPfzZrjC
— Fredo🗽 (@goknickstape) December 8, 2020
Yes I get it he is universally loved and he was absolutely stunning in the playoff bubble. However, the bubble and somewhat back to normal games are two totally different entities. It will be interesting to see what he can do in his sophomore season.
Most people expect big things from him, but I don't expect that at all from him. He will put up the numbers he did last year (13.5 points, 4.1, rebounds, and an assist), with maybe a slight uptick in scoring.
The thing is I don't think the Heat even need him to improve drastically, they just need him to be a solid shooter off the bench. This is exactly what he is so don't expect a whole lot in fantasy. Also I would like to put out that I don't see his rebounds or assists going up too much if at all.
I know you may love the guy but I would avoid drafting him in fantasy this year.
Small Forwards
Gordon Hayward, Charlotte Hornets (Yahoo ADP: 51)
Gordon Hayward has suffered an avulsion fracture of his fifth finger on his right hand pic.twitter.com/GdFHn69BvK
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) December 16, 2020
This is nothing against Gordon Hayward but I just can't trust a guy who can seem to never stay healthy. With an ADP of 51 this is just too high for a guy that hasn't played much lately. Plus he just fractured his finger in preseason.
He will also have some competition on the team for buckets, with new rookie LaMelo Ball also there it might not be looking great for Gordon Hayward.
Danilo Gallinari, Atlanta Hawks (Yahoo ADP: 85)
Danilo Gallinari will come off the bench for the Atlanta Hawks and back up John Collins, per Travis Schlenk
(Credit: @SpookyyBI) pic.twitter.com/DQBgFccAku
— NBA Central (@TheNBACentral) November 25, 2020
Last year Danilo Gallinari averaged 18.7 points, and 5.2 rebounds while also adding 1.9 assists while shooting 43/40/89. Danilo Gallinari is a very gifted scorer and is very good at shooting the three-ball as evident by his 40 percent from behind the arc.
Unfortunately, he is going to have quite a lot of competition for buckets on this team. He will have to split minutes with either John Collins at PF or Deandre Hunter and Cam Reddish at SF. All three of these guys are high draft picks so I expect Danilo Gallinari's numbers to suffer a little bit along with his playing time.
Power Forwards
John Collins, Atlanta Hawks (Yahoo ADP: 24)
What do you think, Hawks Nation? Should we extend John Collins’ contract? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/5tf1RGTrTd
— Hawks Nation (@HawksNationCP) December 15, 2020
Again John Collins is a terrific player, unfortunately, the Atlanta Hawks went signing crazy and brought in a lot of weapons that can take away from the opportunities for John Collins.
Last year John Collins averaged 21 and 10 which is great for fantasy. I expect these numbers to come down now that Danilo Gallinari and Clint Capela are now there. With his ADP of 24 I would highly suggest going with another option during these early rounds. John Collins might be a guy who burns you hard this year.
LaMarcus Aldridge, San Antonio Spurs (Yahoo ADP: 52)
Joel Embiid says last year was painful for Sixers. Not being able to play together most of the time because of injuries. He wanted to come back and get this season going even during pandemic https://t.co/hyPnvG40JN
— John Clark (@JClarkNBCS) December 10, 2020
I absolutely hate putting Joel Embiid here, but is he really worth where he is being drafted? He constantly has injuries. Not to mention the 76ers just signed a couple of shooters.
Dwight Howard was also signed to back up their star Center. This should eat into some of his minutes which could decrease his numbers across the board. The thought is they got Dwight Howard to lighten the load during the regular season. I'm assuming this is so Embiid can be fully healthy and prepared for the playoffs.
It's hard to not draft a guy who just averaged 23 points with 11 rebounds per game. Compared to the year before though his numbers are on the decline. He also only plays 29 minutes a game. That is sketchy to me for a guy going late first-round or early second.
I'm not saying to avoid him completely because he is still going to be a beast. I just highly suggest not drafting him where his ADP is at. If he falls to early-round third or even late third, I would snatch him up instantly.
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