2020 Fantasy Baseball: ’19 wOBA Splits

by Jacob Dunne
2022 Fantasy Baseball Third Base Preview

Welcome to the 2020 Fantasy Baseball: '19 wOBA Splits article!

Fantasy Baseball can sometimes be a tale of two halves. What a player does in the first half could look a lot different in the second.

Should fantasy owners be placing a ton of value on last year's second-half performance?

In this article, we take a deeper look into five polarizing players who started 2019 cold but ended hot and vice versa. We tell you which players to trust heading into the 2020 Fantasy Baseball season.

Let's dive in.

2020 Fantasy Baseball: '19 wOBA Splits

Free five-minute mock drafts against industry experts and custom analysis for your team with the FantasyPros Draft Wizard.

Jose Ramirez, 3B, Cleveland Indians

Embed from Getty Images
Ramirez is the poster child for players who started cold but finished hot in 2019. In the first half, Ramirez had a putrid .282 wOBA but caught fire in the second half recording a .441 wOBA (+.159).

He was consistent on both sides of the plate recording a .326 wOBA against left-handed pitching and .338 wOBA against right-handed pitching for the season.

Here's a look at his first-half stats compared to his second-half stats:

1st Half317735.218.308.344.652
2nd Half1651648.327.365.7391.105

Not only did Ramirez double his home run total in half the at-bats, but he also recorded three more doubles.

Considering his age (27) and less than two years removed from hitting 39 home runs and 105 RBI with 34 swipes, Ramirez is closer to the stud we witnessed in the second half than the first half. Ramirez's current ADP is at 17, but he deserves a look in the 13-16 range.

Jorge Soler, OF, Kansas City Royals

Embed from Getty Images
Soler went from a moderate .334 wOBA in the first half to an EXCELLENT .434 wOBA in the second half (+.100).

Soler's home run and RBI totals stayed consistent in the first and second half. It was his batting average, walks, and on-base percentage that skyrocketed in the second half.

1st Half338235928.240.307
2nd Half251255845.299.411

For the first time in his career, Soler saw 500-plus at-bats in a single season switching off between outfield and designated hitter. He recorded 48 home runs and 117 RBI with a .265 batting average.

Soler is being vastly overlooked at his current ADP of 86. Even if the gaudy walks, batting average, and on-base percentage don't completely carry over from the 2019 second half, you can count on consistent home runs and RBI.

He's a near-lock to hit 35-40 home runs and knock in 90-100 RBI. That production deserves a look between picks 45-50.

Ramon Laureano, OF, Oakland Athletics

Embed from Getty Images
Laureano went from a .327 wOBA in the first half to a .441 wOBA in the second half (+.114).

Despite a below-average wOBA in the first half, Laureano still hit 16 home runs and 47 RBI while stealing 10 bases in 325 at-bats. Despite those promising stats, his batting average (.265) and OBP (.315) were porous.

1st Half3251647.265.315.468.782
2nd Half109820.358.411.6791.090

A leg injury kept Laureano out for the whole month of July, but he returned in style following the All-Star Break. In 109 second-half at-bats, Laureano hit eight home runs and 20 RBI while recording nine walks, a .358 batting average, .411 OBP, and 11 doubles.

Laureano's current ADP stands at 79, which is a little too high. His lack of walks and extra-base hits are concerning. He is somewhere in the middle of what we saw in the first and second half. Don't look his way until the 90s.

Rhys Hoskins, 1B, Philadelphia Phillies

Embed from Getty Images
Hoskins went from a superb .389 wOBA in the first half to a dreadful .293 wOBA in the second half (-.096).

Coming off a breakout 2018 season where he hit 34 home runs and 96 RBI with a .246 batting average, Hoskins had a ton of hype surrounding him going into the 2019 season. He did not deliver.

1st Half31520592068.263.401.530.931
2nd Half2559261348.180.318.361.679

Awful. He was slightly underperforming in the first half but completely fell off the cliff in the second half. The table above shows a considerable regression in all major categories. You can see why his wOBA took a nosedive in the second half.

Hoskins' current ADP is hovering around 115. That's too high. He may not be as bad as his 2019 second half suggests, but he's closer to the second half version than the 2018 and 2019 first-half version. Don't look his way until picks 160-170.

Josh Bell, 1B, Pittsburgh Pirates

Embed from Getty Images
Bell shocked the fantasy world to begin the 2019 season posting a .408 wOBA in the first half, but stumbled in the second half with a .326 wOBA (-.082).

In 338 first half at-bats, Bell hit 27 home runs, 84 RBI, 30 doubles, and took 42 walks with a .302 batting average and .376 OBP. His first-half breakout earned him his first selection to the MLB All-Star Game. The second half was a different story.

His numbers across the board suffered only hitting 10 home runs and 32 RBI in 225 at-bats. He had a .233 batting average and only manged seven doubles before missing the final few weeks of the season with a groin injury.

1st Half338278430342.302.376
2nd Half18910327032.233.351

Bell is closer to the player we saw in the first half. Despite the slow second half, he took 32 walks and had a similar OBP (.351). At age 27, Bell has the power and patience to remain a highly productive first baseman in 2020.

Bell's ADP is a bargain at 93. If you need a first baseman or a power-hitter between picks 75-80, don't be afraid to look his way.

Check out the rest of the 2020 Fantasy Baseball coverage to help win your leagues.

You may also like

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

F6P Badges Banner

Follow us on social media


A Six Pack of Fantasy Sports

Copyright © 2024 Fantasy Six Pack.