2020 Fantasy Football Draft Kit

2020 Fantasy Football ADP Risers-Fallers


Welcome to the 2020 Fantasy Football ADP Risers-Fallers watch post. Everyone’s draft is probably going to start the same way: Christian McCaffrey and then Saquon Barkley or Ezekiel Elliott.

After that, the next three picks are usually some mix of Alvin Kamara, Dalvin Cook and Michael Thomas – according to their average draft position (ADP).

Using NFBC ADP data, we will keep you up to date on the players that are climbing up draft boards and falling out of favor with fantasy owners.

Our first look at ADP compares May’s 12-team leagues to June’s ADP.

I will be splitting into rounds 1-3, 4-6, 7-9, and 10-12. Then I will highlight some players from each tier of rounds that are rising up and falling down draft boards.

2020 Fantasy Football ADP Risers-Fallers

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Rounds 1-3 Rising Players

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James Conner, Pittsburgh Steelers, RB – ADP 35.73 (+5.62)

After only playing 10 games last year with an A/C joint sprain in his shoulder and a quad strain in his leg. James Conner finished at RB32 with seven total touchdowns(four rushing & three receiving), and only 464 yards rushing. The bright side is he’s involved in the passing game if he’s on the field. Also collecting 34 receptions on 38 targets for 251 receiving yards.

After his burst onto the scene in 2018 during Leveon Bell’s holdout when he finished the year at RB6. People expected even more from Conner in 2019. In our 2020 Rankings, he listed at RB22 and on FantasyPros.com his rank is RB20. In May’s mock drafts his ADP was 40th, and in June his ADP has risen an average of five spots.

Despite being the number one running back in Pittsburgh he’s being drafted after players like Melvin Gordon and Clyde Edwards-Helaire with a crowded backfield. If you get a number one option with the 35th pick in your draft you’re off to a good start.

Allen Robinson, Chicago Bears, WR – ADP 32.05 (+3.22)

I know what your thinking, who wants to draft a wide receiver from the Bears? But believe it or not, Allen Robinson finished as WR7 last year with an abysmal offense. He had seven touchdowns with 1,147 yards on 98 receptions and 154 targets. This guy is the clear cut number one wideout in Chicago and will continue to be even with Nick Foles running the show.

In his May his ADP was 35th but since then he’s moved up about 3-4 spots, and his June’s ADP is now 31st. If Nick Foles starts for the Bears I expect Robinson to have an even better season than last year. This will make him more valuable than a third-round pick, and if Trubisky starts again this year you’re going to have those weeks of inconsistency like last year. But overall he should finish as a top-10 wideout this year.

I wouldn’t want to reach on him in the second round if there are wideouts on a better offense available, but if you can scoop him up in the early third-round he could be the missing piece to your quest for a championship.

Rounds 4-6 Rising Players

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Marquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens, WR – ADP 71.98 (+9.74)

After week one against the Dolphins last year, Marquise Brown was the hottest waiver wire target the following week. He simmered down throughout the year finishing at WR46 with seven touchdowns and 584 receiving yards on 46 receptions with 71 targets. The Ravens did not add much to the wide receiving core in the offseason so Brown is set to be the lock-in for WR1 for the team.

Baltimore’s offense doesn’t feature much of the passing game, but they know who needs to touch the ball to win football games. All it’s going to take is one missed tackle by the defense and Brown could take it to the house. With this run-heavy offense and his speed, I see a lot of end-around calls going his way.

His May ADP was about pick 79, and now in June his ADP has risen to pick 71. Putting him at the end of round six even though he’s the WR1 for the team. He’s a candidate for a break-out season this year now that he’s going to carry the weight of wide receiver number one. There might be weeks of inconsistency, but he might help you win more weeks than lose them.

Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns, RB – ADP 57.23 (+8.52)

After Kareem Hunt came back from an eight-game suspension for violating the NFL’s conduct policy. He played his first game against the Buffalo Bills in week 10 and made little impact on the ground. In the passing game though he finished with seven receptions for 44 yards. So he shows the potential to be the passing back in Cleveland.

In eight games he finished with three total touchdowns, 179 yards rushing, and 285 receiving yards on 37 receptions. His May ADP was at 65 overall and now his June’s ADP is at 59. He has all the talent of an RB1 in an offense, so he might have to do it through the air. It’s not only me who sees the potential as a pass-catching back for the upcoming season, and I expect him to climb some more spots in the next month.

DJ Chark, Jacksonville Jaguars, WR – ADP 57.54 (+8.32)

DJ Chark finished last year at WR17 with eight touchdowns and 1,008 yards on 73 receptions. He amassed 118 targets which are pretty good stats for being on a run-heavy offense. The team drafted Leviska Shenault Jr. in the second round of the draft to pair opposite of Chark. It could take targets away from Chark, but at least he has chemistry built with Gardner Minshew.

He’s currently WR23 on our 2020 Rankings and in May his ADP is hovering around 66. Now in June his ADP is at 60 moving up six picks from last month. I expect him to gain even more chemistry with Minshew this year, and if the defense is bad he’s guaranteed more volume. More volume means the potential for more points. He could make a solid WR2 for your team this year.

Rounds 4-6 Falling Players

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Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills, RB – ADP 35.89 (-9.86)

He only finished as RB29 with four rushing touchdowns and 775 rushing yards and had 29 receptions on 41 targets. He was fighting for carries against future Hall of Famer Frank Gore so that could explain that. He’s primed to be the number one RB on the roster this year and in May his ADP was at 36.

Now in June his ADP is at 45 which has him falling nine spots. The bill offensive line isn’t the greatest so that could be the reason for the drop. He should be a part of this passing offense so that gives him hope to finish inside the top 20 for running backs. It’s hard to see him fall in draft boards now that the team plans to use him as a workhorse for Josh Allen. We will see where he’s at in the next month.

Others Falling 

Rounds 7-9 Rising Players

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Alexander Mattison, Minnesota Vikings, RB – ADP 94.67 (+25.25)

Mattison had 100 carries for 462 rushing yards and one touchdown with 10 receptions for 82 yards. After hearing about Dalvin Cook’s holdout into the 2020 season he’s been flying up people drafts. In May his ADP was at 119 and now in June, he’s sitting at 91.

If the hold out continues I expect Mattison to jump even higher on people’s draft boards. He would be in line for an RB1 workload for the Vikings. We haven’t seen a whole lot from him behind Cook, but he could see a lot more time this year if the team can’t come to terms with the team.

Others Rising

Rounds 7-9 Falling Players

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Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints, QB – ADP 98.13 (-12.73)

After missing five games last year with a thumb injury Drew Brees finished as QB20 with 27 passing touchdowns and 2,979 passing yards. Other than the fact he missed five games I think drew Brees would have finished as a top 10 QB. They might opt to go with a more balanced approach and run more. That’s the risk you take I guess with an aging quarterback.

His ADP for May was at 84 and now in June, it sits at 94. If he slips anymore in the coming month he’s certainly going to be on my radar. He could be a steal in the late rounds as your starting quarterback for the 2020 season.

Others falling

Rounds 10-12 Rising Players

Most of these picks are usually the guys your using late-round fliers on so I won’t go into great detail about guys that could be busts. Instead, I’ll just list three players that rose up and fell down draft boards in June compared to May.
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Rounds 10-12 Falling Players

Visit the F6P Fantasy Football page for more advice to get you prepared for the 2020 season.

About Mike LaPlant

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