2020 Fantasy Football Draft Kit

2020 Fantasy Football Late Round Targets


Welcome to the 2020 Fantasy Football Late Round Targets draft guide. Also known as the “who’s who of who cares”.

Many people might assume that the most important part of fantasy football is to nail the start of your drafts. Those people are wrong. Short of an injury, most first-round picks (even the bad ones) tend to return solid value. Whereas late-round sleeper picks who hit can create production that far exceeds their cost.

The simple truth, you can’t win your league in the first round. You must win it in the late rounds.

All ADPs mentioned can be found here.

And as always, to see our staff’s opinion on every payer you can check out the F6P rankings here.

2020 Fantasy Football Late Round Targets

Complete a free five-minute mock draft against industry experts and custom analysis for your team with the FantasyPros Draft Wizard.

8-10 Team Leagues

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Henry Ruggs, WR, Las Vegas Raiders, ADP 140

Henry Ruggs is faster than Tyreek Hill. Back in 2016 with Alex Smith at the helm, Tyreek Hill scored nine TDs with 860 scrimmage yards in an offense that is notoriously hard to get reps in as a rookie.

Ruggs steps in as the default WR2 on a team that is very similarly built team to the 2016 Chiefs. There is an established, although not particularly stellar, receiver in Tyrell Williams, a target sponge tight end in Darren Waller, and a solid slot receiver in Hunter Renfrow. And as much as we hate to depend on Derek Carr, he is at least on par with, if not better than Alex Smith.

I’m not claiming Ruggs will be on par with Tyreek Hill in just a few years. But a solid top 35 performance is a reasonable expectation. He has WR2 upside if he can become the clear-cut top target on his team, so Ruggs is worthy of your consideration.

Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings, ADP 145

Justin Jefferson may have had the most ideal landing spot of all the rookie wide receivers. He finds himself on a team with a capable QB, competent coaches, and an offensive void that matches his skill set.

With Steffon Diggs leaving behind an average of 12 Half-PPR points per game, Jefferson can be expected to outperform his current price of WR56. Like Ruggs, the immediate upside and reasonable floor here are both very high.

Anthony Miller, WR, Chicago Bears, ADP 149

Weeks 12-16 of the 2019 season, Anthony Miller was the WR18 in Half-PPR scoring. He averaged 12.8 points per game which was higher than:

Miller managed to accomplish this with a healthy Allen Robinson in the lineup and Mitch Trubisky as the starter. As the 55th wide receiver currently off the board, Miller is being drafted slightly ahead of his floor from last year in which he finished 58th overall at the position.

If da Bears take no steps backward from the progress they made last season, we can expect Anthony Miller to far exceed his current draft cost.

12-14 Team Leagues

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Boston Scott, RB, Philadelphia Eagles, ADP 166

Did you know Boston Scott scored more rushing touchdowns in fewer games than Miles Sanders? Over the last month of the season, Scott’s snap percentage never dropped below 25% including an average of 47.5% of snaps.

Opportunity eventually translates into points. And even at 33-40% of the possible snaps for Philadelphia, there could be more than enough volume to justify his very low price-tag of RB52. With the top three Eagles RBs scoring a total of 385 points last season, his possible target share could realistically lead to 128-154 Half-PPR points.

So assuming everybody remains healthy, he could be a low-end RB3 or high-end RB4. If Miles Sanders were to get hurt, Scott could rise even higher.

Either way with an ADP just behind the New Orleans Saints defense, Scott seems quite worthy of his cost.

Drew Lock, QB, Denver Broncos, ADP 167

The offseason seems to have drastically transformed the Broncos offense. Now instead of the tepid high hopes vibe of last season, the Broncos are starting to feel some high expectations.

With a group of receivers that are among the best in the league, all eyes are now on Drew Lock. Last year, against Houston in particular, Lock flashed some true brilliance.

In five games, Lock averaged 204 yards 1.4 TDs and 0.6 INTs. That would have good for 3,264 yards, 22.4 TDs, and 9.6 INTs. Which, depending on your scoring settings, would have put him right around QB23 for the season.

With new offensive weapons and a reasonable expectation of progress, it’s safe to say Lock is being drafted at his floor.

Blake Jarwin, TE, Dallas Cowboys, ADP 172

This year’s popular sleeper pick, Jarwin finds himself in an intriguing position.

With vacated targets all over the field, the Cowboys have plenty of opportunities to support a tight end. The only real concern working against Jarwin is the presence of CeeDee Lamb.

However, with very different skill sets, both pass-catchers should be able to distinguish unique roles. And with an average of five targets per game vacated from Witten’s departure, Jarwin should be able to return decent value relative to the competition at his position.

16 Team Leagues

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Allen Lazard, WR, Green Bay Packers, ADP 181

For some strange reason, the Packers picked a third-string RB and a backup QB with their first two picks of the draft.

Whatever their plans may be, Lazard is in a three-way competition for the role of WR2 in Green Bay. With both a catch rate(67.3%) and average yards per catch (13.6) that exceeded Davante Adams‘ totals, Lazard feels underrated.

Last year Lazard finished as the WR68, which sounds bad. But considering he didn’t catch a single pass until Week 6, that doesn’t strike me as all that bad. In games he played, he averaged 7.75 points per game. Over a 16 game season that would have lead to 124 points and a finish just ahead of Marquise Brown.

As the 63rd wide receiver off of the board, Lazard has more than enough potential to be worthy of drafting.

Denzel Mims, WR, New York Jets, ADP 198

Denzel Mims’s only competition for targets is Jamison Crowder and Breshad Perriman. And while the Jets offense isn’t great, with a healthy Sam Darnold it’s not the worst either.

But as I said earlier, volume is key. Mims looks likely to inherit the majority if not the entirety of the 96 targets left behind by Robby Anderson. And with an extremely impressive combine performance, Mims seems capable of producing at a high level.

Finding a player with genuine 100 target potential just barely inside the 200 spot is very rare. And as we saw with Terry McLaurin last year, you don’t have to like the offense to bank on fantasy points.

Darrynton Evans, RB, Tennessee Titans ADP 233

Evans is a pure handcuff and will see all of zero touches while Henry is healthy. But he’ll get damn near all of the touches should anything happen to Henry.

Evans proved to be a very capable rusher at Appalachian State. Stepping into the backup role on a run-focused team behind a capable offensive line, Evans should have no problem producing when called upon.

He’s also got the added benefit of being drafted right between Dan Bailey (K16) and the Philadelphia Eagles (DST16) so he’s essentially free to anybody who wants him. Evans should be drafted with very low expectations, but he earns my vote for the top handcuff in fantasy heading into the season.

Visit the F6P Fantasy Football page for more advice, including all 32 Fantasy Football Team Previews to get you prepared for the 2020 season

About Bobby Shepherd

Bobby has played fantasy football since he was first tall enough to reach a draft board. He eats sleeps and breathes stats and is always excited to share his findings.

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