2020 Fantasy Football Week 5 Defense Stream-O-Matic

by Tyler Thompson
2020 fantasy football week 5 defense stream-o-matic

The Stream-O-Matic is BACK.

This wild and wacky chart that I've been putting out since September 2016 is ready to roll after a few weeks of NFL data and a little more personal time to spare for this author. I was surprised by how many emails and Twitter DMs I received asking if this was dead and gone. I mean, truly surprised - I didn't think that many people found this article that useful.

Nonetheless, I appreciate your readership and hope that this can continue to be an underrated tool used to select that next big defensive streaming option.

My top three waver options for the week:

  1. Saints: Everything is shaping up to be a Saints blowout victory over the Chargers this week. We got heavy favorites at home in the Superdome with Michael Thomas potentially coming back. The Chargers just lost their star running back and have a rookie quarterback that is good for a turnover or two (despite playing well). Beignets for everyone!
  2. Cardinals: I mean, they're playing the Jets, who have still not fired Adam Gase. I feel like now that Bill O'Brien finally got the boot, fringe coaches like Gase, Dan Quinn, and Matt Patricia will start dropping like flies. Or is that wishful thinking? I like to think that my thinking is common thinking. Anyway, Gase sucks and Sam Darnold is out, so... stop thinking. Start doing.
  3. Cowboys: 16, 13, 9, 9. Those are the point totals for the Giants offense in the first four weeks. Also, they've scored just three total touchdowns this year as a team. If the Cowboys weren't the worst fantasy defense in the league, they would be higher on the Stream-O. I've got them as a safe top ten option this week with plenty of upside.

On to the chart!

2020 Fantasy Football Week 5 Defense Stream-O-Matic

Manage all your fantasy teams in every league in just one place. Sign up to use the Fantasy Pros Playbook.

Scoring

I use a traditional rotisserie scoring style commonly used in fantasy baseball season-long leagues to give point totals to each team.

Categories

The categories for the chart are listed below along with links to websites that I use to find this data.

  • Own%: Ownership percentages based on 12-team ESPN leagues gives us an idea of who is available. This doesn’t factor into the standings.
  • Location: Generally speaking, defenses play better at home than on the road. Thus, a five-point advantage is given to all home teams.
  • Wind: The only weather element that has shown a direct correlation with point totals is winds in excess of 15 MPH. Another five-point bonus is awarded to teams playing in such windy conditions.
  • Vegas: Using Vegas odds, the spread and over/under generates a projected game score that the bettors go against. This game score portrays what the game flow could look like and, therefore, which fantasy football defenses are in a good position to succeed.
  • oSAC%: To gauge how good (or bad) an opposing offensive line might be, look at the sack percentage for that team’s offense. Not only are some offensive lines bad, but some quarterbacks don’t show the ability to avoid the sack.
  • oINT%: The opponent’s interception percentage obviously helps in streaming a defense. Turnover percentage is not used here because fumbles can be a little fluky and turnover percentage uses both fumbles and interceptions.
  • FPPG: I use ESPN defensive scoring rankings to determine a ranking of the fantasy football defenses.
  • DVOA: Probably the most popular tool for evaluating defenses, the DVOA efficiency ratings are utilized to give a strong baseline to the rankings.

2020 Fantasy Football Week 5 Defense Stream-O-Matic Chart

OverallDefenseOwn%OppLocationWindVegasoSAC%oINT%FPPGDVOA
145.0Steelers95%PHI502822293130
123.0Buccaneers93%CHI002712233031
121.0Patriots84%DEN502625282710
114.049ers99%MIA50246262627
113.0Ravens100%CIN50292062924
110.0Rams93%WAS003024142418
109.0Colts97%CLE002013123232
106.0Saints66%LAC502117172125
98.0Seahawks62%MIN501328301012
98.0Cardinals53%NYJ002521221614
94.0Chiefs34%LV5023912828
88.0Cowboys21%NYG5022272419
87.0Bears82%TB50143201926
87.0Washington8%LAR50911112229
86.0Broncos76%NE00815271521
86.0Jets23%ARI501010251323
78.0Texans9%JAX5019232146
75.0Browns16%IND50162191716
70.0Bengals8%BAL0032913817
69.0Titans12%BUF50171831115
67.0Dolphins1%SF0015261592
67.0Eagles21%PIT0011842519
60.0Jaguars4%HOU005301861
60.0Giants1%DAL004791822
59.0Falcons3%CAR5012161628
54.0Chargers43%NO0065102013
54.0Vikings34%SEA002198520
52.0Bills89%TEN0018451411
45.0Panthers3%ATL007147125
30.0Packers10%Bye----------237
11.0Lions2%Bye----------74
10.0Raiders1%KC0011233

Optimum Score: 164

Minimum Score: 2

Early Week 6 Stream-O-Matic Rankings

I will produce early weekly rankings where I approximate the Vegas odds (proceed with caution). This may help you pick between multiple defenses if one of the defenses also has a good matchup the following week. I'll include as many defenses as I think are necessary, which will fluctuate week by week.

  1. Ravens (at PHI) - 124
  2. Washington (at NYG) - 121
  3. Colts (vs. CIN) - 120
  4. Giants (vs. WAS) - 105
  5. Steelers (vs. CLE) - 105
  6. Chargers (vs. NYJ) - 104
  7. 49ers (vs. LAR) - 101
  8. Titans (vs. HOU) - 99
  9. Eagles (vs. BAL) - 98
  10. Rams (at SF) - 96
  11. Broncos (vs. MIA) - 92
  12. Bears (at CAR) - 90
  13. Chiefs (at BUF) - 90

Teams with Stream-O-Matic scores in the upper quartile of the league for Week 5 and Week 6 include the 49ers, Colts, Ravens, and Steelers.


Check out the rest of our 2020 Fantasy Football content from our outstanding team of writers.

You may also like

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

F6P Badges Banner

Follow us on social media

f6p-logo-footer

A Six Pack of Fantasy Sports

Copyright © 2024 Fantasy Six Pack.