Daily Fantasy Sports

2020 Honda Classic Tiers



The golf season is now fully underway and this week we have the 2020 Honda Classic. Below I rank the golfers in seven tiers.

I refigured the model to account for the field and this course – PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.

Leave a comment below if you want to discuss a specific golfer. You can hit me up on twitter too @DFSx42.

2020 Honda Classic Tiers

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The “But In a GPP…” Tier

Matt Every
Peter Malnati
Grayson Murray
Robert Streb
Michael Gligic
Jimmy Walker
Beau Hossler
Hank Lebioda
Jamie Lovemark
Si Woo Kim
Roger Sloan
Zac Blair
Lucas Bjerregaard
Charl Schwartzel
Sebastian Cappelen
C.T. Pan
Vincent Whaley
Sean O’Hair
Padraig Harrington
Doug Ghim
Mackenzie Hughes
Camilo Villegas
Chris Baker
Brandon Hagy
Vijay Singh
Arjun Atwal
Chris Stroud
Patton Kizzire
Davis Love III
Jim Herman
Seung-yul Noh
Greg Chalmers
Justin Bertsch
Satoshi Kodaira
Martin Trainer
Bo Van Pelt
Hayden Buckley

There’s a decent chance some of these guys escape from the persona non grata list. In fact, there are several names that really surprise me to show up here so tomorrow I’m going to pull some more data and go over things manually.

Having said that, I still wouldn’t likely play any of these guys this week even if they get bumped up a tier or two with fresh data and perspective.

The Double Bogey Tier

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Joseph Bramlett
Ted Potter, Jr.
Dylan Frittelli
Brice Garnett
Keith Mitchell
David Hearn
Richy Werenski
Wyndham Clark
Patrick Rodgers
Brian Gay
Tyler McCumber
Chris Kirk
Chase Seiffert
Aaron Wise
Mark Anderson
Wes Roach
Scott Brown
John Huh
Tyler Duncan
Sam Burns
Luke Donald
Michael Thompson
Josh Teater
Ryo Ishikawa
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
Bo Hoag
Kramer Hickok
Robby Shelton

A step above the other guys but still nobody I wouldn’t worry about not including in my player pool.

The Bogey Tier

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Xinjun Zhang
D.J. Trahan
Matt Wallace
Jhonattan Vegas
Rory Sabbatini
Tim Wilkinson
Maverick McNealy
Scott Stallings
Denny McCarthy
Hudson Swafford
Cameron Davis
Ryan Armour
Henrik Norlander
Kevin Tway
Austin Cook
Scott Harrington
Danny Lee
Fabian Gomez
Rob Oppenheim
Tom Lewis
Matt Jones
Mark Hubbard
Matthew Wolff

If my rankings were gospel then this is where you’d start to first find some guys expected to make the cut.

The Par Tier

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Keegan Bradley
Kevin Streelman
Harry Higgs
Matthew NeSmith
Brendan Steele
Bronson Burgoon
Ryan Palmer
Talor Gooch
Kyle Stanley
Sam Ryder
Zach Johnson
Adam Schenk
Sepp Straka
Adam Long
Lucas Glover
Cameron Percy
Kurt Kitayama
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
Jason Dufner
Lee Westwood
Stewart Cink
Erik van Rooyen

This one has a little of everything. The highly volatile KH Lee who never takes time off, the reliability of Lucas Glover, the girth of Lee Westwood and the frustration of rostering Keegan Bradley.

KH Lee is one of my favorite plays each week and finds his way into a lot of lineups as salary relief.

The Birdie Tier

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Bud Cauley
Louis Oosthuizen
Russell Henley
Nick Watney
Brian Stuard
Viktor Hovland
Cameron Tringale
Doc Redman
J.T. Poston
Vaughn Taylor
Ian Poulter
Luke List
Chesson Hadley

Seeing Hadley this high up in my rankings honestly gives me pause to consider that I may be doing this wrong. I’m not joking, will 100% be doing a Chesson Hadley diagnostic and try to figure out how on earth this happened.

Check back in later for an update.

The Eagle Tier

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Rickie Fowler
Emiliano Grillo
Daniel Berger
Harold Varner III
Harris English
Shane Lowry
Byeong Hun An
Billy Horschel
Brian Harman
Brooks Koepka
Justin Rose
Tom Hoge

It’s not often you see names like Koepka, Rose, & Fowler alongside the likes of HVIII and Daniel In-N-Out. This is what happens when the strength of the field dramatically drops. After a big tournament, some people opt to take a break.

The Champion Tier

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Gary Woodland
Tommy Fleetwood
Russell Knox
Sungjae Im
Joaquin Niemann
Jim Furyk
Corey Conners

What I find amazing about this is that my model has clearly begun steering towards course fit. What’s surprising about that is that it was never my goal. I built something agnostic and personally believe course fit is overblown.

Do I think Russell Knox is a better golfer than Justin Rose? Obviously not. But my model seems to believe Russel Knox is better situated to succeed this weekend at least.

I’m going to dive under the hood later before lock and try to figure out if I should reduce the dependency of “course fit” and focus more on overall talent or not so check back in for an update.

Edit: sorry it seems that the peculiar nature of this course is why the model produced an output focused more on course compatibility.  I’m still not high on some of the guys it liked but it’s my new research project going forward.

Good luck everyone! Feel free to come over to Yahoo and challenge me to a H2H where I can be found in the h2h lobby under the account name “Adam”

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About DFSx42

DFSx42 is a tech consultant who built his own models for DFS. He's a cash game specialist that primarily plays on Yahoo as "Adam" where you can see his H2Hs for every sport and every slate. Recently finished 5th overall in the Yahoo Cup, a season long DFS league with over 100k competitors. Yahoo Cup Standings

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