Welcome to the 2021-22 Fantasy Hockey Week 19 Stock Watch.
Every week we’ll provide an overview of some players whose stock is trending up or down. For the players on the rise, I’m hoping there is a possibility they are available to you on the waiver wire. Accordingly, I will identify players who are at, or below, 50 percent ownership in Yahoo leagues.
For the players whose stock has fallen, I’ll pay less attention to ownership as it's likely they are rostered and you may be wondering if you should drop or trade them.
Welcome to the party, pal.
All statistics from DobberHockey unless otherwise stated. This article does not include Wednesday night's games.
2021-22 Fantasy Hockey Week 19 Stock Watch
Yegor Sharangovich, LW, New Jersey Devils (22% rostered)
The New Jersey Devils' future has been on full display lately. Their youthful top line of Yegor Sharangovich, Jack Hughes, and Dawson Mercer is producing beyond their years. For Sharangovich, he's also producing beyond his pedigree.
Sharangovich puts the boys up by 2! pic.twitter.com/voP9qgzDPI
— New Jersey Devils (@NJDevils) March 1, 2022
The 2018 fifth-round pick has been playing like a first-rounder the last few weeks. He has 11 points in his last eight games with 18 shots. Sharangovich is averaging 15:35 a night with 1:03 on the man advantage. However, his ice time totals have exceeded both those marks in three of his last five games.
Sharangovich's powerplay deployment is a little puzzling, as he only gets time on the second unit. Nathan Bastian has been given the first unit role alongside Nico Hischier, Jack Hughes, and (former stock rising alum) Damon Severson.
Even with the poor powerplay deployment, he's been gangbusters. Keep an eye on Sharangovich. He won't sustain his production rate from the last eight games, but even a fraction of that output would keep his stock on the rise.
Noah Dobson, D, New York Islanders (50% rostered)
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By the time this article goes live, Noah Dobson's ownership might be a modicum over my (poorly enforced) 50% guideline. But he's worth mentioning even if that's the case.
Dobson continues to entrench himself as the future (or maybe present) 1A defenceman he was drafted to be in 2018. His ownership has been up and down throughout the season, but I think it's on the rise for good this time.
Dobson has averaged 20:54 time on ice this year and has exceeded that total in his last six games. He's also averaging over 2:30 a night on the powerplay. Dobson is on the top pairing at even strength and he's running the top powerplay unit. Over the last three games, Dobson has been on the ice for nearly 70% of all Islanders' powerplay time. His CF% relative to his teammates is 6.2 (Hockey Reference), meaning when Dobson is on the ice the Islanders' CF% increases relative to his teammates.
He has eight points, 23 shots, and 15 blocks in his last nine games. Take a look for Dobson on your waiver wire. He likely won't be available for much longer.
Tanner Jeannot, RW, Nashville Predators (50% rostered)
Much like last week when I wrote about Mason Marchment, it's hard to get excited about Tanner Jeannot when you look at his deployment. He's a third-line guy who gets minimal powerplay time. At least Marchment is on the offensive powerhouse Panthers. Jeannot plays for a middling Nashville Predators team currently fighting for a wildcard spot in the Western Conference.
Despite all that, Jeannot is the type of player who in a year or two will be a high fantasy draft pick in some leagues. Especially banger leagues. Jeannot currently sits third in the NHL in penalty minutes, fifth in hits, and is tied for 57th in goals. Now, 57th doesn't sound impressive, but the other names at 57 are guys like Jonathan Huberdeau, Cale Makar, Mark Scheifele, and Bryan Rust. Jeannot has more goals than John Tavares, Elias Pettersson, Patrick Kane, and Sidney Crosby.
Check out this hit from Jeannot's WHL days:
If ya don't know, now Jeannot ? https://t.co/Bs1nu1ZKAL
— Nashville Predators (@PredsNHL) April 12, 2021
Ding dong. So Jeannot significantly increases your chances of locking up penalty minutes and hits categories while also contributing offensively in a meaningful way. Gold, baby. Gold.
Case in point: In his last four games Jeannot has four points, seven penalty minutes, eight shots, 19 hits, and four blocks. That's a cat filler if I've ever seen one. Expect his stock to ascend for the remaining of this year and up 2022-23 fantasy draft boards.
Alex Iafallo, LW, Los Angeles Kings (20% rostered)
Admittedly, this is a weird one that I don't have an explanation for. Alex Iafallo is on a cold streak even though his linemates are on hot streaks.
NHL Video Highlight - Adrian Kempe scores against the Seattle Kraken to make it 1-0. pic.twitter.com/7ierf5uBAM
— Seattle Kraken Gamebot (@KrakenGameBot) January 16, 2022
Iafallo has one point in his last eight games. His linemates, Adrian Kempe and Anze Kopitar both have nine points over that same span. In recent games, they've played together almost exclusively on the top line. All three are on the top powerplay unit as well. It seems to me, that wherever Kopitar and Kempe go, Iafallo goes as well. But the points don't follow.
Throughout the season Kempe and Kopitar have been a dynamic duo, playing over 250 minutes together without Iafallo. With Iafallo in the mix, the trio has played just over 230 minutes together. It makes sense that Kempe and Kopitar would have strong chemistry given their extended time together. Maybe when Iafallo joins the party he throws off their mojo? The numbers don't bear that out.
Kempe and Kopitar have a CF% of 53.88 together. When Iafallo is thrown in the mix that number increases to 59.86. Nearly every metric increases with Iafallo on the line. One of the few that decreases is expected goals-for, which goes down by 1.5 goals. [All line stats courtesy of Natural Stat Trick.]
I suppose that means that when Iafallo is on the top line, play is directed towards the opponent's net more, but the trio takes a hit in shot quality. As a result, they score less often even though they are driving play more. That's a rudimentary interpretation. I'll leave it to Kings' fans to comment on whether it's remotely correct or not.
One thing is for sure, though. Iafallo's cold streak has his stock on a slight decline. He's been a viable streamer for most of the season. Kempe has been a steady contributor for many owners and a nice little surprise for those who picked him up early in the year. A few months ago, I thought Iafallo might fit that mold as well. Now I'm not so sure.
Matt Grzelcyk, D, Boston Bruins (21% rostered)
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Matt Grzelcyk has a great hockey name. Think of all the sweet nicknames born from a name like that. I'd call him the Grizz Reaper. Or maybe Baloo (Jungle Book fans?). I guess he plays for the Bruins so it has to be grizzly bear-related. Papa Bear would be a strong option. Oooh what about Kodiak? Hell yeah. Knowing hockey players his nickname is probably something terrible like Matty or Grizzers or something weak. Missed opportunity.
Anywho, Baloo averaged 2:44 on the Bruin's powerplay last year and scored at a rate that would equate to 45 points throughout a full season. That led some to speculate he might be in line to quarterback the B's top powerplay unit this year. He was picked in the later rounds as a flier in almost every league in which I play.
Papa Bear got off to a slow start and was used sporadically on the powerplay to start the season. Some thought he'd found his stride in December and January when he scored 13 points in 16 games. He also dug his big ol' paw into the powerplay honey pot, seeing over two minutes on the man advantage in five of those games.
Unfortunately, Grizzly Adams hasn't been able to keep up that level of production. He has two points in his last 13 games. Kodiak does see some powerplay time, including over three minutes on February 24th. But it's unreliable. In five of his last eight-game, he's seen 48 seconds or less, including two games where he saw no time at all. Oh, bother.
Meanwhile, Charlie McAvoy is picking away at Yogi's picnic basket. He has 34 points in his last 51 games with six points coming in his last four outings. McAvoy is averaging over three minutes a night on the powerplay and has established himself as the first unit quarterback.
Grzelcyk likely won't see the powerplay deployment that makes him a viable fantasy asset anytime soon. I guess is time for him to nestle into a nice warm den and hibernate. His stock is down.
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