Welcome to the 2021-22 NFL DFS Divisional Round DraftKings Picks!
Welcome back to another beautiful DFS article this week ladies and gentlemen! If you read my article from last week and took my advice, there is a 100% chance that you made money. Well, maybe not 100% chance, but you definitely had the formula to win more than you lost.
We nailed almost every single play including highlighting Devin Singletary and Zay Jones, both value plays that helped someone win a million dollars. Sadly, it wasn't me or you, but it helped you win some head to heads and increase your ROI which is the goal.
Just like last week, this week's article will mostly be the same thing. I'm going to highlight some of my favorite plays on the slate, regardless of the position or salary. These are all guys that I will personally be playing in my H2H's and they are guys that I consider to be must-plays.
Good luck this weekend in DFS and hopefully I can help you make some money! If you like money, make sure to follow me on Twitter @BetOnTheGame!
2021-22 NFL DFS Divisional Round DraftKings Picks
Josh Allen, $7,600
It's really hard not to straight-up play Allen at QB and figure out who to put around him. He might be the most expensive. But he is surely the safest and with the highest upside. Last week, he gutted an elite Patriots defense for seven touchdowns in a perfect offensive game day.
He did that on his way to a season-high 41.92 fantasy points, his second 40-point game of the season. It also marked his 13th game of 20 or more fantasy points and his sixth game over 30 fantasy points. There is no QB on the slate that can produce those levels of numbers, not even Mahomes.
Allen also gives you something that no other QB on this slate offers you, rushing upside. In four consecutive games, he's rushed for 60 or more yards. And in 11 games this season he's rushed for 40 or more yards.
Josh Allen rushing this season | QBs:
🏈 92.2 rushing grade (1st)
🏈 834 rushing yards (1st)
🏈 36 missed tackles forced (1st) pic.twitter.com/lytqITA8ie
— PFF (@PFF) January 20, 2022
With the highest game total on the slate paired with the fact that they have a 26 team total and a three-point underdog position, Allen and the Bills are primed for an explosion game.
Back when the Chiefs and Bills squared off in Week 5, Allen tossed 315 yards and three touchdowns in a 38-20 victory. We know these two QB's can trade big plays in their explosive offenses. Vegas is telling you that's what they expect.
I'm playing Allen and filling in the pieces around him.
Leonard Fournette, $5,700
Lenny ➡️ Playoff Lenny ➡️ Lombardi Lenny@_fournette turned it up in last season's playoffs. Does he have an encore in him?
— NFL (@NFL) January 20, 2022
If Fournette plays this weekend, he's not only a slate breaker, he may be the best RB on the slate regardless of the price. On the season, the veteran back has been one of the most consistent guys in the NFL at the position.
Fournette ranked third at the RB position in receptions and managed to rack up 180 carries on the ground as well, an elite workload. He takes that and parlayed it into 18.7 fantasy points per game on DraftKings and during his six games, he's scored 13.5 or more in each game.
Fournette also managed to score 13.5 or more in 12 games on the season as well. His double-digit carry volume per game mixed with the fact that he has three or more receptions in every game this season is propelling him to a top value on the slate.
With the Buccaneers boasting a 26 team total and being listed as 3-point favorites, Vegas is projecting the Bucs to be run-heavy this weekend meaning tons of points for Fournette.
Davante Adams, $8,500
I talked about getting Allen in your lineup at all costs. Well, this applies to Adams as well. There isn't a secondary in the entire playoffs or even the NFL that rosters such a horrendous CB quite like Josh Norman. On Twitter, I've been dragging Norman through the mud, take a look.
Josh Norman this season:
• 41 receptions allowed on 60 targets
• 576 yards and 6 touchdowns allowed
• 125.4 passer rating when targeted
• Worst man coverage grade and 5th worst overall coverage grade
— Kyle Williams ✪ (@betonthegame) January 20, 2022
According to PFF, Adams holds a 99% matchup advantage over Norman this weekend. Honestly, that still might be too low. Norman is one of the worst players in the NFL and the 49ers secondary is easily the worst in the playoffs ranking 22nd.
Adams in this easy matchup should cook. Regardless of the situation all he does is produce. He and Cooper Kupp are the only WR's to not have a single week of less than double-digit fantasy points at the WR position. He ranked top-3 in targets yet again and should see plenty come game time.
Julio Jones, $4,700
You may look at this and just say to yourself "gross". Hold on, wait a minute, Jones is a VALUE at this price point, trust me.
The group of Julio Jones, AJ Brown, and Derrick Henry were on the field together this season for 120 total snaps and looked scary when they did.
The last time Derrick Henry, AJ Brown, and Julio Jones were on the field at the same time…was back in week 7
They played 120 snaps together and 7 yards/play when they did. #Titans
— Dianna Russini (@diannaESPN) January 20, 2022
One of those times came in Week 2 where Julio went off in a performance that the stats didn't tell the whole story. He had six receptions on eight targets for 128 yards and did that while having a touchdown called back. Flip that touchdown and he goes off for nearly 30 fantasy points.
Believe it or not, according to PFF, Jones was also the 11th best WR in the NFL at beating zone, which the Bengals will be playing a ton off. He's projected to have the 6th best CB matchup among WR's during the NFL slate as well, per PFF.
The Bengals' defense isn't great. And with Henry back to open up the secondary, Jones should see plenty of zone and single coverage. He's a value on this slate.
Allen Lazard, $4,400
Most TD catches in the NFL over the final five regular season games:
1. Davante Adams: 6
T-2. Allen Lazard: 5
I think the Packers have found the WR2 everyone has wanted.
— Matt Schneidman (@mattschneidman) January 11, 2022
I touched on why Davante Adams is going to feast. Yet his counterpart, Allen Lazard, should feast as well. The primary focus will be on Adams, leaving Lazard in plenty of 1-on-1 situations this weekend.
With the 49ers boasting the worst secondary in the playoffs with Norman back there, Lazard should enjoy some mismatches. But it's not just the matchup that I like, it's his workload.
On Thursday, Marquez Valdes-Scantling was downgraded to doubtful and seems likely to miss their matchup. That means extended snaps and targets for Lazard who has seen six or more targets in four of his last six.
He's flipped that into 13.8 or more points in four of his last five games. At such a cheap price matched with a high team total and great matchup, Lazard makes a ton of sense to play.