Welcome to the 2021-22 NFL DFS Week 17 DraftKings Picks!
Happy New Year!
Looking back, it was a strange, weird, wacky, up-and-down type of year. COVID came and went, but is now back in the fold trying to ruin sports. We saw some awesome moments in sports. We saw some legends passed and some new legends were born.
2021 was really a magical year if you want to tell the truth. It's another milestone on the long journey that we call life. It's a beautiful thing really but the best part is, we saw yet another NFL season.
Best of luck to everyone in 2022, and good luck this week on DraftKings!
2021-22 NFL DFS Week 17 DraftKings Picks
Click here for Wisdom of the Crowd NFL DFS projections
Matthew Stafford, $7,100
I'm running back to the well again, even after a poor performance in Week 16. In this spot against the Ravens, Stafford is a near must-play. So far this season, the Ravens are allowing a league-high 280.5 yards per game through the air. They also allow the 20th most points in the NFL per game.
In this matchup in a must-win for both games, Stafford should throw 35+ times and should throw at least one touchdown which he's done in every single game this season. His baseline for success is tremendous and the floor is fantastic.
I love the matchup and with a 46.5 over/under, Vegas likes this game as well.
Jalen Hurts, $6,600
Hurts saw his best game as a pro just two weeks ago against the Washington Football team, the same franchise he will be squaring off with on Sunday. Take a look at how it's summed up in a tweet I posted.
Jalen Hurts had his best day as a pro against the Washington Football team. That was just 2 weeks ago.
• 20/26 - 296 yds - 1 td - 29.64 DK
He’s now priced at $6,600, 10th highest QB on the slate. He’s got insane floor + upside with his rushing.
— Kyle Williams ✪ (@betonthegame) December 29, 2021
He's run seven or more times in every game outside of last weekend, which means his rushing floor is phenomenal. The passing is just the gravy in this situation and considering that the Football Team ranks 32nd against the pass, Hurts is in for a great one.
I love him in this matchup and at his 10th highest price rating on this slate, he is comically mispriced.
Trey Lance, $4,800
This is only if Jimmy Garoppolo is out. The starting QB is dealing with a fracture and tear in his throwing thumb, his status remains up in the air. If he does miss, Lance is an autoplay and by far the best play on the slate.
In two games this season where he has played 50 or more percent of the snaps, here's how he's performed.
- 20.38 points
- 15.58 points
His rushing upside has propelled that feature forward. With one of the worst rushing defenses on tap in the Texans, Lance should feast.
Rushing yards allowed
This is what the #Texans have allowed on the ground this season. This is a Trey Lance tweet.
— Kyle Williams ✪ (@betonthegame) December 29, 2021
David Montgomery, $6,500
Montgomery enters this game off a smoking hot performance against the Seahawks in which he managed to score 23.6 DraftKings points. What if I told you that isn't even the impressive part? His workload is what is.
Since returning from a multi-week injury in Week 11, Montgomery has averaged 16.8 carries, 5 receptions, and 0.33 touchdowns per game. His workload has just been elite ranking in the top-five in touches among running backs over that time span.
Now, the veteran RB squares up against the 26th ranked rushing defense in the Giants. They also rank 8th worst allowing 26.4 DraftKings points per game to RB's. The matchup is a cupcake for an RB with a high workload.
Ronald Jones, $6,300
Reminder: Ronald Jones plays the Jets next week….👀 pic.twitter.com/lCVn0uLaXd
— Troy King (@TKingMode) December 27, 2021
We saw Jones take over for Fournette last weekend and look very good doing so. The veteran back managed to rack up 81 total yards on his way to 16.1 DraftKings points. If we are being honest, it should've been more. But thanks to a 55-yard touchdown from Ke'Shaughn Vaughn, Jones was robbed.
We don't focus on that, we move forward and continue to project. What he can project and predict in this one is that Jones sees 20+ carries like last week against a miserable Jets team that ranks dead last against the RB position. They are allowing 35.0 points per game to the position, five points higher than any other team.
With a 29.25 implied team total as 13-point favorites, Jones should see tons of opportunity in this one as the Bucs should run the ball plenty in the second half leading by multiple scores.
Sony Michel, $5,800
Darrell Henderson was added to the injured reserve list and will miss the final few games of the season. That means Sony Michel is the lead back and has the usage to do so. Take a look at his rushing numbers and targets combined.
- 31 opportunities
- 20 opportunities
- 21 opportunities
- 28 opportunities
He's seeing an elite level usage over the past four weeks even with Henderson active in a few of them. With a 25 implied team total in a must-win game, the Rams may rely on Michel to lead the way.
Cooper Kupp, $9,500
We talked about Matthew Stafford up above as our top-QB play. Would stacking him with the current WR1 in fantasy ever be a bad thing? No, especially when the matchup is against a secondary as bad as the Ravens.
Jaylen Waddle, $6,700
If you watched Monday night football, you saw this rookie explode in prime time during the Dolphins' win over the Saints. In that game, Waddle caught 10 of his 12 passes for 92 yards and a touchdown. Truly sensational work from the young star.
Now, Waddle slots in against the Titans defense who can't stop a nose bleed. They rank 26th in passing yards allowed per game and are the 16th best scoring defense in the NFL. Just last week, they allowed the 49ers to throw for 309 yards in a neutral game script.
With the Dolphins needing a win to remain in the playoffs, Tau will look to pass to his WR that has seen four or more receptions in every game he's played this season.
Odell Beckham Jr, $5,700
Back to the well with yet another Rams player. First Stafford, then Michel, then Kupp, and now OBJ? You must be sick of hearing about them by now. Well, if you like money, you play these guys and you don't look back.
Since joining the Rams, Beckham has only one game that he hasn't scored double-digit fantasy points. He's also flexed the upside of 19 points across two of his games with the Rams. That upside is produced by the fact that he has been a touchdown magnet.
— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) December 26, 2021
With the Ravens having nothing to stop any Rams WR and the likelihood they sell out to stop Kupp, OBJ should be left often open for down field big plays.
Laquon Treadwell, $4,000
Since Urban Meyer got fired and since the Jaguars lost Tavon Austin, Treadwell has been fantastic. Across his last four games, he's scored double-digit in three of the four, with the fourth being a 9.4 point game.
Now, with James Robinson out of the lineup, he will be tasked with even more than his 6.6 targets per game across his last five. The shifty WR should look to take advantage of the New England secondary that was roasted last weekend against the Bills.
With the likely chance the Jaguars are playing catchup, Treadwell should be busy.
Mark Andrews, $7,400
He's priced as the top tight end this weekend, and with good reason. Andrews has been unstoppable no matter the QB over the past few weeks, and now, the Ravens get Huntley back after a Covid absence.
Most PPR Points per Game in Dec
28.6 - Cooper Kupp
24.9 - Mark Andrews
24.7 - Josh Allen
23.3 - George Kittle
23.2 - Tee Higgins
22.6 - Justin Jefferson
22.5 - Justin Herbert
22.4 - Joe Burrow
22.4 - Amon-Ra St. Brown
21.2 - Patrick Mahomes
20.5 - Kyler Murray
19.5 - Tom Brady
— Chris Nass (@NassNFL) December 30, 2021
Since December struck, he's been nothing short of amazing. Scoring the second-most PPR points among all players including QB's is something that is a slate breaker.
In a great spot with his QB back, Andrews makes perfect sense as a run-back option to your Rams stacks.
Cole Kmet, $3,400
I talked about the young riser last week in my article, and he continues to catch my eye yet again this week against the Giants. No matter the QB, Kmet has seemed to get some level of production. Last week, he saw five targets and received 8.9 DraftKings points, perfect for his price tag.
Now, he squares up against the 21st scoring defense and 18th passing defense, excellent for him. With Kmet seeing five or more targets in every game since Week 6, he should be plenty busy regardless of the QB in this game.
His price point should help you get up to other high-priced studs in this spot.
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