Hey, thanks for stopping by to see my 2021-22 NFL DFS Wild Card Weekend Yahoo Picks - Sunday!
The NFL Super Wildcard weekend starts off with two games on Saturday with the Bengals vs Raiders and Bills vs Patriots. You can see my thoughts on that slate in the article published earlier this week.
Our matchups on Sunday are the Bucs vs the Eagles, 49ers vs Cowboys, and Chiefs vs Steelers. With an extra game on Sunday that gives us a lot more flexibility and variety for our lineups, be it cash or tournament plays.
I want to do a quick run-through of the slate and give my overall thoughts before we get into specific plays. Reciever, as usual, gives us the most options to get different. Running back on this slate is fairly thin. Leonard Fournette may not play, Ezekiel Elliott is not the Zeke of old, and the Eagles backs face a tough Bucs defense (though Miles Sanders might be an interesting contrarian play). Najee Harris is the one RB I'm really willing to pay up for but even he has had his ups and downs recently.
Instead of RB, pay up elsewhere, be it WR or TE, heck even paying up a little at DST is ok in slates like these. Another option to set you apart is to use a tight end in the flex spot and have a two TE build. Paying up for a premium tight end (or two) is attainable with this slate given all the salary-saving options out there.
Just like the Saturday games, the weather could play a factor in these games, or at least the Tampa/Philadelphia game. It will be a factor, but so far it doesn't look like the weather will affect the games too much with one or two exceptions.
2021-22 NFL DFS Wild Card Weekend Yahoo Picks - Sunday
Tom Brady $37
One does not simply ignore Tom Brady. If you're a LOTR fan, congrats you get the reference. If not, watch the movies, they're super long but pretty good. Kinda like Tom's career. It might seem crazy to pay up for a guy whose receivers are dropping like flies. However, I've seen him do well with a lot less. He's the GOAT for a reason.
Dak Prescott $32
After a late-season slump, Dak has caught fire the last three weeks. He has scored no less than 23 fantasy points and over 31 points twice in that span. The 49ers are middle of the pack against QB's, and Dak has arguably the best set of weapons to throw to in the playoffs.
Elijah Mitchell $20
Mitchell is going to get work. Dallas is not a friendly matchup as they are top five against fantasy running backs. However, if like me, you think that the 49ers have sneaky potential and can upset the Cowboys, they will have to use one of their best weapons to do it. He's just $20, so you could fit him in as your RB2 and pay up for Leonard Fournette (if he plays) or Najee Harris as your RB1.
Darrel Williams $17
The same thing can be said for Darrell Williams. Both Mitchell and Williams are great volume-with-upside plays that allow you to pay up for high-end players of your choice. Pittsburgh is not as fierce a matchup as it might seem at first glance. In fact, by the end of the 2021-2022 regular season, the Steelers featured the worst rushing defense in the NFL, allowing 146.1 rushing yards a game. Clyde Edwards-Helaire is out against Pittsburgh, paving the way for Williams to have a huge game.
Deebo Samuel $36
He's been so good all year. It's why he's so expensive. But especially if you're playing 50/50's or double-ups, in my humble opinion you HAVE to play Deebo. Fit him in somehow. In tournaments, I can see where you would get off of him just to get different. Samuel is just such a solid player it's hard to get off of him. The nice thing is from the roster projections I'm seeing he'll be in just under 19% of lineups. With slates as small as this that's not as bad as it might seem.
Diontae Johnson $21
Big Ben loves to target Diontae. Johnson has had less than ten targets only four times all season. He's recorded at least five receptions in all but one game. There are few wideouts who have been heavily involved as consistently as Diontae in the NFL this year. The Chiefs are heavily favored, and if Pittsburgh falls behind, you can bet on Diontae getting a boatload of targets.
Cedrick Wilson $16
Wilson is one of my favorites, if not my outright favorite, plays on the slate. He's been on fire since Gallup went down, most notably a 119 yard, two TD game against Philly last week. At this price point, you could stack him with another Dallas option like Dalton Schultz (more on him in a minute) and use the extra money to pay up elsewhere.
Byron Pringle ($13) and Mecole Hardman ($15) are both in play for me with or without Tyreek in the lineup. Hill has been banged up and may not be at full strength on Sunday night. Both had good games with him in and out of the lineup against the Broncos last week. If you decide to stack Mahomes they provide you with a more unique lineup than a Hill/Kelce stack does. Rotowire projects them to have a fairly low roster percentage. which can be critical in this small of a slate. We don't want to get too cute, but going a little off the beaten path could and will pay dividends.
Rob Gronkowski $30
Mike Evans is going to be matched up with the Eagles' top corner Darius Slay. Evans will get the work he deserves, but I'm going to be rostering Gronk more than Evans. Per FantasyData, the Eagles allow the most points to TE based on Yahoo scoring. Tampa's pass-catching options have taken a big hit, with Antonio Brown gone and Chirs Godwin and Cyril Grayson both out. If it ends up raining as the forecast says, it will limit downfield passing, but Gronk should get along just fine.
Dalton Schultz $18
Yet another Cowboy who's come alive recently. Schultz has scored 15 or more points in three of the last four weeks. Even in his down week, he scored 8.4 Yahoo points and his price was only $14 that week so it didn't kill you. A Dak Prescott double stack with Schultz and Wilson would give you plenty of scoring potential for a cheap price if you want to get off of Lamb and Cooper.
Tampa's offense and defense seem to be heading in opposite directions in terms of health. Lavonte David and Jason Pierre-Paul are back for the Bucs just in time. The weather is looking a little wet and rainy, which doesn't hurt the Eagles preference to run the ball. However, if Philly is forced to throw, weather and game script could lead to more turnovers, sacks, and big plays by the defense.
That's gonna do it for the 2021-22 NFL DFS Wild Card Weekend Yahoo Picks - Sunday slate! Do enjoy making those lineups, getting different, getting weird. Mix in good plays and plays with high upside/low ownership. Try new contests or new strategies. Have fun with it! Enjoy the Wild Card round!