Before we kick off the 2021-22 Fantasy Basketball Week 12 Drop List let's take a look back at last week's article to see what we got right and where we went wrong.
So last week we had a shorter list because the NBA was being ravaged by Covid-19. We tried to pick out a couple of players that had been underperforming and that we thought would continue to underperform. Unfortunately, we missed both guys.
Kyle Kuzma had maybe his best week all season last week and Terry Rozier used a barrage of three-pointers to fuel a resurgence into fantasy relevance. Both Rozier and Kuzma look to be pretty safe guys to keep on your team going forward.
Looking Back at Last Week
Last week rostered 90.3% ESPN with a Player Rater 15 of -1.99
This week rostered 91.3% ESPN with a Player Rater 15 of 3.63
Last week rostered 77.3% ESPN with a Player Rater 15 of -2.45
This week rostered 81.8% ESPN with a Player Rater 15 of 8.33
2021-21 Fantasy Basketball Week 12 Drop List
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Dennis Schroder, PG, Boston Celtics (Rostered 73.4% ESPN)
Player Rater 15: -1.16
Dennis Schroder is currently producing negative value in five of the eight categories used in standard ESPN category leagues. The categories where he is providing positive value are free-to-throw percentage, assists, and points. This makes sense these are the categories that Dennis has always provided his most value at. The issue is that he isn't providing value in any of the other categories.
For him to be roster able he needs to be providing some value in two of the following categories: three-pointers, made rebounds, or steals. Unless Schroeder can bounce back in a couple of those categories he isn't worth rostering in a categories league.
Marvin Bagley, PF, Sacramento Kings (40.2%)
Player Rater 15: -0.96
Recently Marvin Bagley has gotten the opportunity to break into the Kings rotation and show that he belongs. He has gotten over 20 minutes in five of the King's last six games. The issue is that Bagley just hasn't produced much.
He doesn't have a single stand-out category, either positive or negative. He is just thoroughly mediocre with four positive and four negative value categories, none of which provide more than 1.00 or less than -1.00 points of value. Bagley won't sink your team in any category, but he doesn't provide your team with much either.
With Bagley just recently breaking into the rotation and not doing much with the opportunity I don't see any reason why he should be rostered in over 40% of leagues on ESPN.
Al Horford, C/PF, Boston Celtics (82.5%)
Player Rater 15: -0.25
One win and you start seeing all the articles trending that the Celtics already have the right core to win….. maybe get a competent 5th starter that actually fits with the team instead of playing an old al horford at the 4 when he’s a 5 at this point
— CelticPride?? (@Patrickgreen18) January 5, 2022
Al Horford might be finally hitting a wall at age 35. According to the player-rater 15 Horford only produced minor positive value in the free throw percentage, rebounds, and assists categories. In the other five categories, he produced a slightly negative value.
For most of his career, Horford has been a guy who produces above replacement level in most of if not all categories. Unfortunately, it seems that he has finally hit a point physically where he just can't keep up that production and is instead producing slightly below replacement level across most categories.
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