As we embark on the journey that is the 2021 College Football DFS DraftKings Picks for Week 13, please be advised if you're a beginner, that there is no secret formula to selecting the perfect lineup.
Experts of the Daily Fantasy Sports scene know how difficult it is to get that perfect lineup. Beginners, this is your warning. There are many different variables that come into play when setting your DFS lineup that could alter your outcome.
There are obvious things like injuries that can derail your lineup. Or the not-so-obvious like game script or a guy just doesn't have it that day.
However, there's no greater feeling as a weekly DFS player than rolling out that perfect lineup.
Without further ado, let's dive into the 2021 College Football DFS Week 13 DraftKings picks for Saturday's 13 game slate!
2021 College Football DFS Week 13 DraftKings Picks
When it comes to DFS, the quarterback position is one that you must get correct due to the high cost associated with the position. Lay an egg at quarterback and you'll find yourself trying to dig out of a hole with the rest of your lineup.
Updated Heisman odds after Week 12 ??@CJ7STROUD is the Heisman frontrunner after a 6-TD performance against MSU.
2️⃣ Bryce Young
3️⃣ Matt Corral
Who are you putting your ? on? pic.twitter.com/bH1wsfj9Mu
— 247Sports (@247Sports) November 22, 2021
However, both are very expensive. Young is listed at $9,700 and Stroud is the most expensive player for the Saturday slate at $10,000.
Another factor to take into consideration, at least for justifying passing on Stroud, is the Michigan defense has the ninth-best pass efficiency in the country. They also sport two of the best pass rushers in the country in Aidan Hutchinson and David Ojabo. I think this is a week you can pass on the higher-priced signal callers and take a shot on a value play at the position.
Anthony Brown - Oregon Ducks - $7,700
Anthony Brown and the Oregon Ducks got hit upside the head with the lead pipe and were promptly eliminated from the College Football Playoffs last week at the hands of the Utah Utes.
Brown, in particular, struggled. He completed just 17 of 35 attempts for 231 yards, a touchdown and ran for only 8 yards on 9 attempts. The dual-threat signal-caller is much more dangerous on the ground than what he showed last week.
— 732 Studios ? (@732_studios) September 4, 2021
Brown and the Ducks will take on an Oregon State defense that is ho-hum in defensive pass efficiency, currently slated 51st in the country. This is a perfect opportunity for a bounce back.
Jordan Travis - Florida State Seminoles - $6,900
While the season totals for Florida State quarterback Jordan Travis certainly aren't gaudy (1337 yards, 14 TDs), he does have the added dimension of using his legs (428 yards, 6 TDs). The Seminoles are also taking on a Florida Gators team that is average against the pass (44th nationally) and have fired every coach under the sun, including head coach Dan Mullen.
Florida State is also trending up in a big way. After an 0-4 start, including a loss to Jacksonville State, the 'Noles have won five of seven. Travis has been especially sharp in the last two games, completing 38 of 60 attempts for 525 yards and three touchdowns. He has also added another two scores on the ground in that stretch.
Florida, meanwhile, is trending the other direction, losing five of seven with their only two wins coming against annual powerhouses Vanderbilt and Samford. The offensive juggernaut Samford was able to put up 52 points against the Gators.
Jordan Travis has value pick steal written all over him this week.
Aidan O'Connell - Purdue Boilermakers - $6,500
143 completions, 180 attempts, 1,582 passing yards, 12 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Those are Purdue signal-caller Aidan O'Connell's statistics over his last four games. This week he gets the nation's 79th rated pass defense in the Indiana Hoosiers. It's a recipe for a monster outing for O'Connell.
Quite frankly, I'm surprised he is listed for just $6,500 this week. This also gives you the perfect opportunity to stack one of the best wide receivers in the country in David Bell. The O'Connell to Bell connection should be in full force this week in West Lafayette.
Although he is only averaging 19.3 DraftKings points per game, that is due to his slow start this season. His highest output through four games was 15.4. His last three DraftKings outputs have been 31.2 at Northwestern, 34.6 at Ohio State, and 35.1 against Michigan State.
O'Connell should continue his hot streak this week, against a porous pass defense.
If you take my advice and limit your salary at the quarterback position with high upside, low dollar plays, you can take a stud at each of the skill positions. The running back position is a spot where you can make some serious headway in DFS. I'm going to give you multiple options here, from top dollar plays to top value plays.
TreVeyon Henderson - Ohio State Buckeyes - $8,300
The Ohio State coaching staff has tried to ease true freshman TreVeyon Henderson along this season. In blowouts, they've limited his touches. In tight games, he's been the bell cow. However, even if his usage is lower in the event that The Game is lopsided on Saturday, Henderson still has the potential to rip off a big one.
He is a home run hitter. In his first collegiate game, against the Minnesota Golden Gophers, Henderson only had three touches. One of those touches went 70 yards to the house.
Ohio State's 5-star back TreVeyon Henderson smoked the Gophers on this 70 yard touchdown play pic.twitter.com/sSmRlskHyO
— College Football HQ (@NCAAFootballHQ) September 3, 2021
On the season Henderson has accounted for 1,329 total yards and 17 total touchdowns on just 168 touches. Odds are, he'll make an impact on Saturday, and a big one.
Abram Smith - Baylor Bears - $7,200
Although he's not much of a receiving threat out of the backfield with only 11 catches for 79 yards on the season, Abram Smith has turned into the featured back for a pretty high-powered Baylor Bears offense. Smith is also in a bit of a drought as he hasn't found the endzone the past three games.
I would expect that to change this week as they will be facing off against the 51st rush defense of the Texas Tech Red Raiders while also having the potential of missing their starting quarterback Gerry Bohanon.
Despite his touchdown drought, Smith still has 11 scores on the season. He also has failed to have less than 18 carries over Baylor's past five games meaning the usage will be there.
Zamir White - Georgia Bulldogs - $6,900
White is the lead dog here as he out carries Cook by 40 attempts so White's ceiling is higher. Georgia is also facing off against a Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets team that sports the 101st rated rush defense.
Not only does White lead the team in attempts, but he also paces the Bulldogs in rushing yards at 657 and rushing touchdowns with 10. Playing a team that has a poor of a rush defense as the Yellow Jackets, and you have a chance for a big day from White.
Chase Brown - Illinois Fighting Illini - $5,800
So a couple of things here. The Illinois Fighting Illini, despite their win in Happy Valley against Penn State, are not very good. Their running back, Chase Brown, also doesn't have super gaudy stats with only 893 yards and four touchdowns. However, Illinois is hosting the hapless Northwestern Wildcats this Saturday who are currently ranked 118th out of 130 teams against the run.
Brown is also the unquestioned lead back for the Fighting Illini. He's out-carried the number two guy by 56 carries this season. Brown is a definite boom or bust play, but taking into consideration the horrible Wildcat rush defense, Brown's volume, and his DraftKings price, he's worth the risk.
Evan Hull - Northwestern Wildcats - $5,500
The final running back to spotlight is Evan Hull from Northwestern. The Wildcats, of course, travel to Champaign to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini this weekend. Illinois is nearly as bad as Northwestern at defending the run as the rank 70th in the country in rush defense.
Hull has been a really solid DraftKings option this season as he has averaged 18.5 DraftKings points per game. As Northwestern's lead running back, he has 908 yards and 6 touchdowns on the season. Hull is also a solid receiving threat out of the backfield as he is the team's third-leading receiver with 31 catches, 249 yards, and 2 scores. This means even in a lopsided game, Hull will still be able to put up some solid points as a receiving back.
Jameson Williams - Alabama Crimson Tide - $8,600
It's hard to not select the guy who is likely the Biletnikoff favorite. Jameson Williams has also had back-to-back games with three touchdowns. On the season he has hauled in 59 catches for 1,218 yards and 13 touchdowns. Alabama will also be taking on the 95th ranked pass efficiency defense in the country on Saturday.
Williams can also do things like this:
— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) November 20, 2021
He has the most touchdown catches of 75 yards or longer this season with four. Williams is a big play waiting to happen and he gets a ton of targets. He's definitely on the pricy side so if you've gone cheap throughout the rest of your lineup, this is a good spot to spend some salary on.
Garrett Wilson - Ohio State Buckeyes - $7,400
Take your pick on an Ohio State wide receiver for this weekend. The Buckeyes have the number one offense in all of college football and it has a lot to do with their three horses at wideout. Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the team in receptions (69) and yards (1,132) but is third in touchdowns (6).
Chris Olave leads the team in touchdowns (13) but is third in both receptions (58) and yards (848).
Garrett Wilson is second in all categories (60, 939, and 11). The reason I'm rolling with Wilson over the other two is that he's cheaper than both Olave and JSN and averages more DraftKings points per game.
David Bell - Purdue Boilermakers - $7,300
If you're rolling with Aiden O'Connell at quarterback or in the Superflex, David Bell is a no-brainer. Bell was nominated as a Biletnikoff finalist and has an insane stat line for the season: 87 catches, 1,207 yards, and five touchdowns. This is an easy stack opportunity because O'Connell is going to throw it to Bell. Purdue's second-leading receiver trails Bell by 36 catches and nearly 600 yards.
As noted above, Purdue is also playing a putrid pass defense. Take this opportunity to stack and reap the rewards.
Parker Washington - Penn State Nittany Lions - $4,100
The number two wideout on Penn State's roster is worth a look for $4,100. Jahan Dotson is the clear-cut go-to guy but hey, you can't have a full lineup of studs and Washington is probably the cheapest clear-cut number two option on DraftKings for Saturday. Parker Washington has the potential to put up a really good stat line. The only thing he has lacked this season is touchdowns.
He's had some solid games. Over the last two weeks, he's had 10 catches for 164 yards and a touchdown. Against Ohio State a few weeks ago, he hauled in nine catches for 108 yards.
Washington is a good, cheap, low-risk, high-reward play this week.
2021 College Football DFS Week 13 Longshot Special
Jeremy Ruckert - Ohio State Buckeyes - $3,500
Nothing Ohio State tight end Jeremy Ruckert has done this season has made this pick anything but head-scratching. For the year Ruckert has just 23 catches for 284 yards and three touchdowns. All good for fourth on the Buckeyes.
However, he has shown over the course of his career to be a major red zone threat. If salary is tight as you get down to your flex and Superflex position, Ruckert might be worth a gamble. He will likely be touchdown-dependent, but for $3,500, I think he's worth the risk.
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