2021 Fantasy Football Draft Kit

2021 Dynasty Football Player Profile: D’Andre Swift

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Welcome everyone to the 2021 Dynasty Football Profile series. We are going to be rolling out a series of posts on players entering their second year in the NFL. For this week, I will be writing 2021 Dynasty Football Player Profile: D’Andre Swift.

The hype is dying down for D’Andre Swift, and I couldn’t love it anymore. All it took was the coach saying he is a “complimentary back” for people to start to shy away. Now the Lions might sign Todd Gurley? This has soured people. Why? He can’t stay healthy, so this shouldn’t be scaring anyone away from Swift.

If you think Jamaal Williams is going to actually be the lead back, I’m sorry for you. I’m here to guide you in the right direction when it comes to D’Andre Swift. That is, to draft him.

So without further ado, welcome to the 2021 Dynasty Football Player Profile: D’Andre Swift.

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2021 Dynasty Football Player Profile: D’Andre Swift

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Pre-Draft/Draft Capital

Hailing from the Georgia Bulldogs, D’Andre Swift had a productive college career. He was able to compete for carries with Nick Chubb and Sony Michel on the roster. In fact, as a freshman, he led all three of these running backs in receptions and yards. In 2018 and 2019 he ran for over 1,000 yards in both seasons while leading all of the team’s running backs in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns.

As you can see, Swift can run the ball, and he has great hands. His 8.7 percent college target share is good enough to be in the 69th percentile. He was also in the 78th percentile in Yards Per Carry in college. These metrics are what we love about Swift. Oh, and the fact that he ran a 4.48 40.

D’Andre Swift was the 2nd running back taken in a stacked 2020 draft (Clyde Edwards-Helaire was the first back taken). He was picked by the Detroit Lions with the third pick in the second round. Coming in at 5’10”, 212 pounds, and at the age of 21, Swift is the prototypical starting running back.

*Thank you Playerprofiler.com for the stats. You guys are great at what you do”

Rookie Season

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In 2020, Swift ran for 521 yards (114 attempts) and had eight touchdowns while only playing in 13 games (four started). He clearly was the receiving back as he caught 46 balls (57 targets) for 357 yards. He also added two touchdowns through the air. In his last four games, Swift had a snap percentage higher than 50 percent and averaged 15 Fantasy Points Per Game. He also had eight games where he had five or more targets and four or more catches in 2020. This was good enough to land him as the RB18 in PPR. He was 16th in FPPG with 14.6.

D’Andre Swift had a snap share percentage (49.1) and opportunity share percentage (48.3) below 50 percent and he still ended up as the RB18. This is because he was 11th in receiving yards among backs (357), 12th in catches (46), and 10th in total touchdowns (10). If you give him a full season with those stats (not even him starting) he ends up as RB8. This is what we love to see.

Let’s keep this 2021 Dynasty Football Player Profile: D’Andre Swift going, and go over some of the offseason changes the Lions went through.

Offseason Changes

There were a ton of changes in Detroit this year. They no longer have Matthew Stafford, as they now have Jared Goff at the helm. It should be very interesting to see the difference. Kenny Golladay (Giants), Marvin Jones (Jaguars), Kerryon Johnson (Eagles) are all gone. In comes Tyrell Williams, Jamaal Williams, and possibly Todd Gurley.

The Lions also have a new coach who wants to break knees. This is completely speculative, but I think they might be a run-heavy offense. There is evidence to support this since they drafted Penei Sewell (Oregon) instead of a wideout in the first round. They also resigned key offensive lineman.

It’s looking like it can be the D’Andre Swift show. This brings us to his 2021 role.

2021 Role

D’Andre Swift is currently being drafted as the RB10 in dynasty startups according to Fantasy Pros. This is about where I would expect him to be. I do think there is a case of picking him over Nick Chubb (RB7) because of his receiving ability.

In 2021, I do not think Swift will get a full workload (unfortunate), but he won’t need to have a full workload to do damage in PPR. This is evident by his 2020 season. He should see most, if not all of the receiving work. He only has Hockenson to really steal targets away from him. I do see him as an Alvin Kamara-type player, there’s just one question: Will he get that many targets? I don’t see a reason why he cannot.

If D’Andre Swift can put up Alvin Kamara numbers, he can be a steal in dynasty, and redraft leagues. Do not be afraid to draft him in leagues this year, you will regret missing out on him. He is just that talented.

Issues

First off, I want to say the Detroit Lions are going to be bad this year, just like they were last year. D’Andre Swift is going to be rolling with a negative game script for 2021, and to be honest, most of his career. This would bother me if it wasn’t D’Andre Swift. He does most of his damage in the air anyway, so they are just going to pepper him with targets.

Secondly, they signed Jamaal Williams, and then the coach said he is a prototypical starting running back (Yuck!). Does he hate D’Andre Swift or something? Because they are looking to sign Todd Gurley too. What is happening? These signings shouldn’t be that much of a hurdle for the more talented D’Andre Swift. Do not worry about Gurley and Williams when thinking about drafting Swift.

Lastly, with the lack of weapons in the receiving group, D’Andre Swift can see a stacked box more often than not. These are the only issues I have with drafting Swift, and they aren’t even that alarming. I don’t know why everyone is freakout out over it.

2022 and Beyond

I can see a similar type of career as Alvin Kamara. Will he ever run for 1,000 yards? Who knows, but he will be one of the most targeted running backs in the receiving game. He will also be near the top of the touchdown list, as he has a knack for the endzone. If, and this is a big if, he is given a full workload, we are looking at a perennial RB1. I’m even willing to say, with a full workload, he can be a top-five running back year in and year out.

More than likely though he will not get a full workload. This means you are looking at a borderline RB1 or a high-end RB2. This doesn’t mean you shouldn’t draft him, because he is still getting a lot of work on the ground and he is going to be the only one doing anything through the air.

Drat him around the RB8-10 range, some of your league mates might even let him fall further down. If this happens, trade for the pick, or hope he falls. Do something because you will want him on your Fantasy Football Team.

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Well everyone that should do it for the 2021 Dynasty Football Player Profile: D’Andre Swift. I hope you enjoyed it or learned a little bit. Hopefully, I steered you towards drafting him. If not, watch the guy who drafted him win it all. I’ll be back next week for Bengals‘ Wide Receiver Tee Higgins.


Check out the rest of our 2021 Fantasy Football content from our great team of writers!

About Mike Bonni

Just want to make my mark in the fantasy sports writing game. Help me out. Follow me on twitter where you will see my articles and others from the site. Twitter: @Ike2121

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