With the 2021 Dynasty Football season upon us, here at Fantasy Six Pack we're going to be assessing and evaluating the dynasty prospects of some of the best second-year players. Today, we're going to be evaluating the 2021 Dynasty Football Profile: CeeDee Lamb.
CeeDee Lamb finished as the third-best rookie wide receiver, but does that really tell us what we need to know?
CeeDee Lamb, like most of the Cowboys' offensive players, had two different seasons. There was the season with Dak Prescott and the season without him. To accurately evaluate the 2021 Dynasty Football Profile: CeeDee Lamb, the best thing we can do is look at his games with Prescott.
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2021 Dynasty Football Profile: CeeDee Lamb
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The 2020 Dallas Cowboys season was all over the place. Before week five, the offense was absolute fire. They weren't winning games, but that's not a fantasy football owner's concern. For what we do care about, all the Cowboys' stars were absolute must-starts. This is especially true for CeeDee Lamb. With the offense getting back to full health, CeeDee Lamb's dynasty value is also on the climb.
Dak Prescott was racking up yardage at a historical pace. All three of the Cowboys' receivers were on pace for 1,000-yard seasons. However, Dak went down with a season-ending injury in Week Five and it all went downhill from there. But in those five weeks, we were able to experience and witness the superstar talent CeeDee Lamb possesses.
After Dak went down, the offensive line continued to experience massive turnover at several key spots. Suffice to say, after Week Five there was no consistency to their offense. Signed to be a veteran backup, Andy Dalton was unable to steady the ship. His lack of mobility behind some truly awful offensive line play left him vulnerable and the offense handicapped.
Fortunately for those of us depending on some of the Dallas stars, all of those issues seem to be water under the bridge. Dak is healthy and expected to fully partake in OTA's and training camp. The offensive line looks healthy and poised for a bounceback season. The Cowboys' offense is going to take off like a rocket as long as they maintain good health. Trust me, you're going to want to be along for the ride.
CeeDee Lamb's dynasty value is not cheap. He's currently ranked as the ninth-best wide receiver on the Fantasy Pros consensus dynasty rankings. In a recent dynasty start-up draft here at Fantasy Six Pack, CeeDee Lamb came off the board with the 27th pick to our very own John LaPresto. Lamb was the eighth wide receiver selected. This falls right in line with his current dynasty ranking at Fantasy Pros.
CeeDee Lamb finished last season as the WR20 with an 11.3 Fantasy Points Per Game average. But this doesn't truly paint an accurate picture of what we should expect from CeeDee Lamb moving forward. He played 11 of his 16 games in a broken offense with sub-standard quarterback play.
Over the first five games with Dak Prescott, Lamb was the WR12 with a 14.2 PPG. Five games is a small sample size so we need to be cautious about taking too much from that. There's still information we can gather between Lamb's first five games with Dak. Lamb caught 29 of his 40 targets from Prescott. This resulted in 433 yards and two touchdowns.
CeeDee Lamb averaged 5.8 receptions, eight targets, and 86.6 yards per game in those first five games. This is compared to four catches, 6.4 targets, and 45.6 yards per game with Dalton and company behind center. If we extrapolate his five games with Prescott at quarterback over a 16-game season, Lamb would have finished with 92 catches, 1,385 yards, and roughly six touchdowns. Such a season would've seen Lamb score 220.5 points.
This would have put him just ten Fantasy Points behind Justin Jefferson and a WR8 finish. Using a small sample size is never ideal, but in Lamb's case, it's all we have. It is reassuring to see the sample size backing up his current ranking. We've seen him play at a WR1 level and that was as a rookie.
CeeDee Lamb through 1st 5 games last year w/Dak healthy: 29/433/2. Justin Jefferson through 1st 5 games last year: 19/371/1. Was CeeDee Lamb Justin Jefferson before Justin Jefferson was Justin Jefferson? Think about it...
— Rob (@RobFFAddict) May 11, 2021
His current dynasty ranking as the WR9 falls roughly in line with his five-game pace with Dak Prescott. Remember, Lamb is just 22 years old. He might be undervalued based on his age and displayed upside. Valuing Lamb as a Top-10 wide receiver is an accurate assumption.
In any PPR league, Lamb is even more valuable. Despite being a rookie, he was dangerous in the slot. Lamb profiles as a receiver who has 100-catch potential in his future. He is an excellent route runner and knows how to get open. He also plays for a head coach who tends to be very pass-heavy, which will only help increase his seasonal target totals.
CeeDee Lamb: 877 receiving yards from the slot this season
Most by a rookie since 2006 ⭐ ???? pic.twitter.com/7FFB0WCIRw
— PFF (@PFF) February 25, 2021
Youth and Consistency
A player's age is one of the most important factors to consider when valuing a player's worth. This is because once a player is acquired, they are keepable for as long as you want them. This makes the young superstars even more valuable because of how long you can bank on them helping you achieve fantasy football greatness.
CeeDee Lamb checks off all the boxes. He's only 22 years old and fantasy managers can feel comfortable getting 6-10 years of a really solid return from their investment in Lamb. But one of the other things that need to be considered is organizational consistency and the player's role moving forward.
this was completely absurd
CeeDee Lamb recorded the 2nd-most catches for a 21-yr old in NFL history... and did it with backup QBs almost all yearpic.twitter.com/HVYfEK7aOn
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) February 20, 2021
CeeDee Lamb is tied to the Dallas Cowboys offense for the next four years, assuming the Cowboys pick up his fifth-year option. This brings us through the 2024 season before he officially becomes a free agent. Also signed through 2024 is Dak Prescott. This is great news for all Lamb dynasty owners.
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In 2021, Lamb will continue to share the spotlight with Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup. Both are talented receivers in their own right. But whereas Cooper is under contract through 2024, Michael Gallup is a free agent after this season.
Gallup had 105 targets in 2020. In 2022, those targets are likely to be up for grabs. This only increases Lamb's value because it's possible his role and target share could increase in the not-so-distant future.
Amari Cooper will also be 27 years when the 2021 season officially kicks off. This means he'll be 28 by the start of the 2022 season. That's not to say Cooper won't be effective. But it could mean CeeDee Lamb becomes the top pass-catching option as early as the 2022 season.
In those first five games, Cooper significantly out-targeted Lamb, but it was CeeDee Lamb who was out-scoring Cooper in Fantasy Points. Regardless, we're at worst looking at a 1A and 1B scenario.
CeeDee Lamb is absolutely one of those players we can feel confident building our dynasty team around. Because of Amari Cooper's presence on the Cowboys, Lamb might get pegged as the No. 2 in their offense, but this shouldn't be the case. CeeDee Lamb is a budding superstar when only factoring in his skills and talents. But when we also consider the quarterback he's tied to, CeeDee
Lamb has the potential to be "the" WR1 in PPR-scoring leagues sometime in his career. That speaks to his talent and the kind of value we should be associating with this young superstar.
We should never deem a player "untradeable". Every player has a certain value. That said, Lamb's value is through the roof and he's going to be one of those guys who are borderline impossible to acquire.
CeeDee Lamb has the makings of the "perfect" dynasty prospect. He's young, he's super talented, and he's tied to an MVP caliber quarterback on an explosive offense. What's even better, is his role is going to only expand. And it could happen as soon as next season. The sky is the limit.
Check out the rest of our 2021 Fantasy Football content from our great team of writers!