Dynasty Baseball

2021 Dynasty Player of the Week: Tyler Glasnow

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Welcome back to the 2021 Dynasty Baseball Player of the Week series, as this week I break down Tamp Bay Rays pitcher Tyler Glasnow; I covered Phillies infielder Alec Bohm last week.

This week I am writing from a local high school where I am proctoring the SATs. This got me thinking about how big a deal the SAT’s were hyped up to us as kids. This one test measures the rest of our life, a lot like how a top player in a sport gets a shot, and if it doesn’t work out immediately, he gets named a “bust.” Our dynasty player of the week can put into the category as a former “bust.”

Tyler Glasnow is ranked #92 overall and #24 SP in our latest dynasty rankings.

2021 Dynasty Baseball Player of the Week: Tyler Glasnow

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Pirate Life For Me

Glasnow was drafted in the 5th round of the loaded 2011 MLB draft. He was a pitcher out of William S. Hart in Santa Clarita, California. The Pirates had quite a draft with their first choice overall Gerrit Cole and 2nd rounder Josh bell.

Glasnow was looked at as a project, but the Pirates loved what they saw in him, so much so that the Pirates paid Glasnow more money($600k) than anyone picked after the 65th pick overall.

Dominant

Glasnow was in the Pirates farm system from 2012 through 2016, and there is one word to describe his time there. That word is dominant; his average era through the 5 years is 2.02, absolutely filthy stuff coming from our guy Tyler. He also held a stellar 11.5 K/9 in his years in the minors. This performance lead to Glasnow being ranked baseball’s 8th ranked prospect.

There are only two red marks on Glasnow’s game. One was that he just had three pitches, a fastball, curveball, and a changeup. This leads many to ask the question: Can a three-pitch mix succeed in the big leagues for a substantial amount of time? The other was his command and how at times, he had trouble finding the strike zone.

The Call and the Fall

On July 6, 2016, 22-year-old Tyler Glasnow finally got the call to the big leagues to start against the Cardinals. The first batter Tyler faced, he issued a walk, not necessarily how you want to make your debut. However, after the walk, Glasnow went on to retire the next 9 batters and fanning 3 of them. Glasnow went on to pitch 5 1/3 innings, surrendering 4 runs. Not exactly the most fantastic debut, but for a 22-year-old, it was an encouraging start.

In Glasnow’s second start, he pitched three innings before having an injury to his shoulder. When Glasnow returned from injury, he was used exclusively out of the bullpen. He eventually took the bump as a starter one more time on September 25. He ended the season with an 0-2 record and a 4.34 ERA.

Glasnow won the fifth starter job in the spring training of 2017. It is evident that keeping pitch counts low was something that Glasnow needed to reach his ceiling in the majors. He would barely get out of the 5th inning because he was just throwing far too many pitches. Starting the season, the member of the Pirate’s starting rotation was a boost. Like before, something with Glasnow was just not clicking. He finished the year with the big club and held a 2-7, 7.69 ERA stat line.

In 2018 Glasnow was used exclusively out of the bullpen for the Pirates. He pitched 59 innings while walking 34 batters and having an ERA of 4.34. Then on July 31, 2018, something was about to change the course of Tyler Glasnow’s career.

Ray of Sunshine

It was clear that Glasnow needed a change of scenery, and boy did he get one. He was traded at the trade deadline to the Tampa Bay Rays and Austin Meadows and Shane Baz in exchange for Chris Archer. As a side note, this could easily be looked at as one of the absolute worst deals in MLB history in a few years.

Glasnow started in all of the 11 games that he appeared in for the Rays. Tyler saw some excellent outings and some sub-par outings as well. He ended the season with a record of 1-5 and an ERA of 4.20. Some would say these are the same numbers as his showing with the Pirates from the bullpen. However, one number really sticks out; in his 55.2 innings, he walked only 19 batters. That is almost cutting his walks in half for an almost exact same number of innings.

In his first entire season with the Rays, Glasnow was dazzling when he was able to pitch. Tyler only pitched 60 innings in 2019, but he was excellent in all of them. He went 6-1 with an ERA of 1.78 and showed just nasty stuff all season. He held a stellar xFIP of 2.94 and had a strikeout percentage of pf 33%. Glasnow found himself on and off of the DL throughout the season. Although Glasnow didn’t see as much time as Rays faithful would have liked, there was an excitement in the air about what an entire season of Glasnow would look like.

2020

Glasnow was ready to roll in the 2020 season. He was healthy and hoped to show the Rays he was prepared to take the next step in becoming an upper-echelon pitcher. Unfortunately, again Glasnow could only pitch 57 1/3 innings, thankfully…? this time, it was not because of injuries but a nationwide pandemic.

Glasnow was effective in his innings, although not as effective as 2019. He finished the year with a 4.08 ERA and compared to the league average of 4.44, that is pretty good. His strike-out percentage jumped to 38%. His xFIP went in a positive direction as well and ended the season with an xFIP of 2.75. He used his fastball a little less and used his curveball a little bit more. Being limited with only three pitches, Glasnow needed to mix up his pitches a little bit more.

 

2021 and Dynasty Verdict

Like these kids taking the SATs, we mustn’t look at one single test or stint in the big leagues and define a student or a player. Things can change with time and with different opportunities.

This will be my strongest decision yet when it comes to the 2021 Dynasty players of the week. Tyler Glasnow can be and will be Dynasty Fantasy low-end SP1 high-end SP2 this season and seasons moving forward. He will be in the same breaths as guys like Walker Buehler, Luis Castillo, and Aaron Nola.


Glasnow will dominate will strikeouts and hopefully keep his ERA in the threes. The biggest concern with Glasnow is his availability. He has only seen 100 innings once in his 7 years of Major league service. Fantasy managers need to see more innings out of Glasnow before they are ready to buy-in. I am prepared to buy in but only at a reasonable price. Guys around him in our rankings are Brandon Lowe, Max Kepler, and Giancarlo Stanton. I would have no issue dealing with any of those guys and a sweetener in a deal for Glasnow.


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