Fantasy Baseball

2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 10 NFBC FAAB Run

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The injuries just keep piling up this year. We all knew it would happen. With the short season last year, it was pretty much a given that this season would be a grind like no other. And so the Story continues, as now owners have lost Rockies’ shortstop Trevor to an elbow injury.  In this edition of the 2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 10 NFBC FAAB run, we will focus on a few injury replacements, one star rookie you may consider going all-in on, and, of course, an opportunity for some saves.

As my team in The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational welcomes back J.T. Realmuto and Cody Bellinger, it must also say a permanent goodbye to Noah Syndergaard. The discomfort he felt in his elbow will shut him down for six weeks. This means he will not touch a baseball until after the All-Star Break at best. With ramp-up time, it will probably be September before he is usable on your fantasy team. In NFBC formats, it is time to cut bait.

2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 10 NFBC FAAB Run

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Alek Manoah, P, Toronto Blue Jays (unowned)

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Well, this is gonna get expensive.

Manoah came into this season with only seventeen innings of professional ball under his belt.  This caused him to remain quite low on most national prospect lists. He, therefore, did not carry much fanfare into this season.

After three dominant starts for Triple-A Buffalo, the script had flipped on the former first-round pick.  There were high levels of excitement as he was called up to make his debut in Yankee Stadium on Thursday. Adding to the drama of the situation, the game was rained out and the rookie was iced for another day.

Well, nothing seemed to phase him and he simply dominated one of the best lineups in the American League. He held the Yankees to two hits, two walks, and no runs while striking out seven across six innings, earning a Win for his efforts. Manoah showed every bit the profile of a frontline starter. He limited hard contact to a 15 percent clip while striking batters out at 31 percent. The hype certainly matched the results.

The Blue Jays have been fishing for a fifth starter all year. With the poor, injury-riddled start to the season that hard-throwing top prospect Nate Pearson has had, there seems to be an open window for Manoah to stick. It also helps that Ross Stripling is the only starter in the Blue Jays rotation who throws from the right side.

It appears, for now, that Manoah has earned at least one more start against the Marlins next week. We can surmise that if he comes close to the results of his first outing, the spot will become his to lose.

It is likely going to cost you 60 percent of your FAAB budget or more to acquire Manoah. But he should provide four-category relief to pitching needy teams who are willing to pay the price. This isn’t going to be a Daniel Lynch situation.

If you are hurting for starting pitching, or like me finally cutting bait with Syndergaard, Manoah will offer the upside you are looking for, but for how long? There is a real possibility of an eventual shutdown based on the minuscule number of career innings, so I won’t be the guy paying the price.  However, this is a true ace in the making who may end this season as the second-best rookie starting pitcher behind Trevor Rogers.

Deivi Garcia, P, New York Yankees (51% owned)

I should stop the pitching recommendations at Manoah. But of course, we do not all have the hundreds of FAAb dollars it may require to acquire him. Deivi Garcia offers just as much reason for excitement, and likewise has a job at his disposal, should he be able to hold on to it. All this, while at a less prohibitive price.

Garcia drew quite a bit of fanfare in his debut as a 21-year-old, even earning a start in the playoffs. He came into this season with an opportunity to win a rotation spot, only to lose out to Domingo German in the playoffs. Despite struggling in the minors this year,  Garcia received the call when it was revealed that Corey Kluber would be out for an extended period of time, perhaps the season.

Despite a lackluster outing against the lowly Tigers last night, Garcia should be given an opportunity to correct himself and continue to compete to hold down the last rotation spot. His recent struggles should suppress his FAAB cost.  However, the pedigree and 22 percent strikeout rate may be appealing to fantasy teams. I would feel comfortable bidding about 15 percent of my remaining FAAB budget, but only if you don’t have the funds for Manoah.

Jake Odorizzi, P, Houston Astros (44% owned)

I was quite excited when the Astros signed Odorizzi late this offseason. I felt the Win equity alone was enough to offer significant fantasy value. Then he was shelved with a forearm injury, which was red flag enough for me to send him to the waiver wire everywhere I owned him.

Surprisingly, he has now returned and looked quite good in his start yesterday. He yielded just three hits and one walk while striking out three over five-plus innings in a no-decision against the Padres. Showing such control against a formidable opponent is an encouraging sign, and he looked to have little concern regarding the return from injury.



Odorizzi will not carry your team for you. His ERA, WHIP, and strikeout rate have been nothing north of league average throughout his career. But there is always value trotting out a starting pitcher who is supported by a top-five offense in the league. I would bid slightly more than five percent of my remaining FAAB, then pick my spots when he will make my lineup.

Lucas Sims, P, Cincinnati Reds (61% owned)

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The Reds bullpen is very uncomfortable and not a situation I want to be involved in. However, Sims has now earned saves in two consecutive games. Despite the frightening ERA, the 1.11 WHIP is palatable. But it is the 35 percent strikeout rate and 2.94 ERA which perk my ears up. I would look at him the same as Michael Fulmer. Take a flier and stash him on your bench. You can plug him in with crossed fingers when your starting pitching matchups aren’t perfect.

Brad Miller, UT, Philadelphia Phillies (12% owned)

Miller just does a little bit of everything and does it all well. The 31-year-old is batting a sneaky .303 with five home runs and 3 stolen bases. With Bryce Harper on the IL, Miller has been the left-handed balance the Phillies lineup needs.

In the week since Harper has been out, Miller has scored five runs and also driven in five. Perhaps his most valuable trait to NFBC fantasy players is flexibility. Already eligible at third base and outfield, Miller already has several games played at first and second base. He should gain additional eligibility there within a few weeks.

Danny Santana, 1B, Boston Red Sox (63% owned)

We last saw Santana as a dominant fantasy force for the Rangers in 2019, when he somehow wrapped a .283 average around a 20-20 season. He was limited to only 18 at-bats last year and was slow to start his first season with the Red Sox due to a foot infection.

Franchy Cordero has been a bust this season. He was sent to Pawtucket to make room for Santana, who wasted no time with the opportunity. He went deep twice and stole a base in his first two games.

In typical Santana fashion, the 30-year-old has gone 1 for 8 over the next four games. His career .257 average is much more representative of what we should expect, on the high end.

The Red Sox are loaded with similar utility players. Marwin Gonzalez and Kiki Hernandez offer a similar profile. Santana will have to be productive to find the lineup regularly. But he has been electric in the past and is certainly worthy of a bench stash.

Somehow, the NFBC only lists him as a first baseman. This should help raise his value as he will gain outfield eligibility as well in short time.

Jorge Alfaro, C, Miami Marlins (68% owned)

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Alfaro’s calling card for fantasy owners is his 100th percentile sprint speed among catchers. He can steal a few bases and offers enough pop to offer 15/5 upside the rest of the way. The Marlins have also used him sparingly in the outfield this week, so it shows his bat is important to their lineup now that he has returned. In this year of injuries, catchers are often the most vulnerable. Alfaro offers a great stashing option, especially considering the NFBC requires two at the position.

There are a few holdovers from previous articles who still hold value in the 2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 10 NFBC FAAB Run. This includes Merril Kelly (49% owned) who has a nice two-step against the Mets and Brewers next week after a solid start last week.

Vince Velasquez (29% owned) has not given up more than one earned run in five straight starts. The schedule is not too kind to him coming up. I would only pay a few bucks and stash on your bench while we see if it is real.  Taylor Ward (29% owned) is the main beneficiary of at-bats in the absence of Mike Trout and has not disappointed, with now four home runs and a recent five-RBI game.

Meanwhile, Kris Bubic (39% owned) won at Minnesota after my recommendation last week. He struck out five while allowing just one earned run in that contest. He will face the same Twins again this week.

 


For any questions or additional options, you can reach me on Twitter @jtrela20. Otherwise, check me out streaming LIVE every Wednesday at 9 pm on the Stack Attack Fantasy Podcast, now part of the Fantasy Six Pack YouTube network of podcasts. BE SURE TO WATCH THIS WEEK AS WE HAVE A SCOTT FISH BOWL 11 SPOT TO GIVE AWAY!!!


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About Jeff Trela

Jeff has been succeeding in fantasy sports for nearly 30 years. As a baseball and football expert, he focuses on DFS, NFBC, redraft, and dynasty formats. His talents can be seen in #TGFBI and #SFB11 this year. He also hosts the Stack Attack Fantasy Podcast every Wednesday at 9:00 pm EST on the Fantasy Six Pack YouTube Channel.

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