Fantasy Baseball

2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 5 Hitting Planner (May 3 – May 9)

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Time for the 2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 5 Hitting Planner!

We are now over a month into the Fantasy Baseball season!

Some players are starting to hit the 100 AB mark, which means we are starting to get more reliable data on how some hitters are performing. It also means we may finally see some actual stats normalize with the expected stats.

Look out, but Ozzie Albies may finally be breaking out of that early-season slump. I bought low on him a week or so ago and looks like it may have been timed right. There are some other interesting buy-low options still out there. As a Fantasy Baseball player, always be on the lookout for a great deal.

Also, I would like to address a mistake I made in last week’s hitting planner. I did predict the Braves to have a good offensive week, but I did not project Huascar Ynoa to be a stud.

As the evidence shows, I was called out on my glaring mistake. I am sorry that I did not project the pitcher to hit a bomb. I promise to do better.

If I miss out on the next stellar hitting performance from a pitcher, my time writing the hitting planner might be limited. With that being said, it is now time for the 2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 5 Hitting Planner.

2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 5 Hitting Planner

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Schedule

2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 5 Hitting Planner

Photo Credit: Baseball Monster

Offenses to Target

Atlanta Braves

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Team wRC+: 107

I double up on back-to-back weeks with the Atlanta Braves.

The Braves look like they have gotten the bats going and should be able to carry that into this week with a decent schedule coming their way.

They will play three in Washington against the Nationals pitching staff that ranks 21st in baseball with a 4.45 ERA. After that, they head back home for a weekend series with the Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies cannot seem to get out of their own way lately, and their team ERA is one of the reasons why. They have the 23rd best ERA in baseball with a 4.49 ERA.

It could be another good week for the Braves bats.

Notable Players

Ronald Acuna Jr.is still exceptionally good at baseball. However, the other Braves star, Freddie Freeman is heating up. He now has seven home runs on the season and a 145 wRC+.

I have been saying Ozzie Albies was going to have a big year and I have been saying he is getting close to breaking out of the slump. I know a 108 wRC+ does not jump out at anyone but look at where he was last week compared to this week. Last week he was slashing .155/.261/.328 and now he is up to .226/.302/.476. His expected stats have not lied to us, he is catching fire and could be going on an extended hot streak at the plate.

Marcell Ozuna has not been good this season, sitting with a 66 wRC+. Most of his metrics have not been promising either, which is definitely a concern. However, he hit two home runs in the series against the Cubs so he may finally be waking up.

Austin Riley everyone. It was a rough start, but the young third baseman has now seen his wRC+ climb to a 139. Add in that he is walking at a 25% rate and making consistent contact finally, and we may be seeing a player worthy of being rostered in fantasy lineups.

Before I finish, I will mention that Huascar Ynoa pitches twice next week, which means more opportunities for him to rake. Shohei Ohtani who?

Tampa Bay Rays

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Team wRC+: 103

The Tampa Bay Rays offense is starting to show some signs of life.

They travel west this week to take on two weak pitching staffs. They start with four against the worst ERA (5.13) in the majors, the Los Angeles Angels. Then they play a weekend set with the 18th (4.14) ranked pitching staff, the Oakland A’s.

I know traveling to the west coast can be difficult for some east coast teams, but the matchups could be beneficial to a good offensive week.

Notable Players

Randy Arozarena has been good so far in 2021 with a 126 wRC+ and .769 OPS. He is not hitting for much power right now, but he does provide value in average (.287) and OBP (.343) leagues.

Austin Meadows is providing solid value in OBP leagues (.337) and is providing solid power contributions (.217 ISO) which should lead to solid counting stats. If the rest of the Rays lineup starts heating up, it should only increase Meadows fantasy production.

Fantasy owners need to be playing Joey Wendle. .316/.345/.532 three home runs, sixteen runs, sixteen RBIs, and 152 wRC+ will be beneficial in all leagues.



I love Brandon Lowe, but it has not been the best start for him this season. I see a 92 wRC+ and .638 OPS and I understand why fantasy owners would be disappointed. However, I think the power surge is coming. He has a .345 SLG but a .471 xSLG so look for him to provide more production soon, maybe even this upcoming week.

OFFENSES TO AVOID

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Team wRC+: 99

The Diamondbacks have been slightly surprising as of late. When Ketel Marte went down, I was not sure how their offense would perform without him. However, they have managed to be better than expected but I do not see that happening this week.

The reason why is simple. I see two top ten pitching staffs in their way. The Diamondbacks are traveling for three against the Marlins (3.50 ERA) and for three against the New York Mets (3.05).

I find that worrisome.

Notable Players

I like Pavin Smith. He has been pretty impressive early in 2021. Check out the expected stats.

  • xBA- .305
  • xSLG- .544
  • xwOBA- .373

That is some encouraging statistics. I want to see what he does against some tough pitching this week.

David Peralta and Eduardo Escobar have been solid, both with an OPS in the .850 range. I want to see them do it against the tough pitching staff before fully trusting them in my redraft league.

Kole Calhoun is having a solid year with an .812 OPS and 121 wRC+.

After that, I would have a hard time trying to stream any Diamondbacks hitters this week with the tough pitching staffs in their way this week.

Kansas City Royals

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Team wRC+: 95

I know this may upset some people seeing as the Royals are currently playing well. I just do not like the matchups they have next week.

The Cleveland Indians and Chicago White Sox have two solid pitching staffs and I personally think the Royals are playing over their heads to start the season.

Am I wrong? Only time will tell.

Notable Players

Whit Merrifield looks good to start the season! Two-hit Whit has started .286/.330/.429 with three home runs, sixteen runs, and fifteen RBIs.

Carlos Santana has turned back the clock with an impressive 136 wRC+. We know that he can provide great value when hot, especially in OBP leagues.

Jorge Soler has been disappointing so far. A 102 wRC+ and a .705 OPS is not what fantasy owners are looking for out of the slugger. I do not see him turning it around this week.

The Michael A. Taylor high was fun while it lasted, as he is crashing back down to earth in a hurry. The 102 wRC+ and .698 OPS are not as nice as they once were.

Andrew Benintendi has not bounced back in Kansas City just yet. The 89 wRC+ and OPS under .650 are not encouraging, and we might be approaching the time to worry about his long-term value.

2021 FANTASY BASEBALL HITTING PLANNER WEEK 5 SLEEPER/WAIVER OPTION

Jarred Kelenic, OF, Seattle Mariners

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I know that he is not currently in the majors. I also know there is news that he may not be coming up anytime soon, but I am not sure that I buy that.

We are right around the time of the year where teams have earned that extra year of control and the top prospects start to see opportunities. With the minor league season being delayed, maybe teams will give the prospects a couple weeks in the minors this season before calling them up to the big leagues.

I know this is a unique selection for the weekly waiver option, but I really think it is time to start considering Kelenic as an option on our fantasy teams. If fantasy owners can afford to do so that is.

I think it is really important for fantasy players to attempt to stay ahead of the curve. If a roster spot is available, and maybe if one has an early lead in the standings, then I think Kelenic is absolutely a player that should be considered for a roster spot.

He was being considered as the top prospect in all of baseball alongside Wander Franco. When Kelenic gets to the majors, I think he hits the ground running and he has the talent to be an immediate fantasy stud.

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I think he will be up in the next few weeks, and if fantasy owners can afford to use a roster spot on him, I think Kelenic is worth the spot. If he performs close to what we think he can, he could end up being a league winner.


Check out the rest of our 2021 Fantasy Baseball content from our great team of writers.

About Trent Dickeson

Trent joined the Fantasy Six Pack crew in 2020 to provide fantasy baseball information and analysis. He has been an avid fantasy baseball player for several years now and uses his knowledge of advanced metrics to predict fantasy baseball performances.

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