Fantasy Baseball

2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 7 Hitting Planner (May 17 – May 23)

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Welcome to the 2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 7 Hitting Planner!

Pretty big news in the Fantasy Baseball world as Jarred Kelenic made his pro debut this Thursday! I mentioned him in previous hitting planners as someone to pick up in redraft leagues.

I hope everyone picked him up when I suggested because if one waited until this week to pick him up, well I am sure it was met with plenty of competition. If Fantasy Baseball players use FAAB, then it may have cost a decent bit to pick up Kelenic.

If fantasy players can sniff out when a prospect is getting close to debuting, then grabbing them a week or so early, if there is roster space, can help keep cost low.

There are multiple benefits for being the guy who gets to Kelenic or whatever prospect first. When a top prospect gets the official call, everyone will be dying to grab them. Some may be willing to overpay for said prospect.

However, some prospects can become league winners. If Kelenic plays up to his potential this season, he could easily be a top 20-30 OF in Fantasy Baseball. If Fantasy Baseball players get that off waivers, that can be a league winner.

Even if Kelenic struggles, he can easily be dropped in redraft leagues!

Yes, the random veteran on a hot streak can help win a week or two but timing the top prospect correctly can provide much more value.

Congratulations and good luck to everyone who grabbed Kelenic! Hopefully, he provides immediate value and leads to fantasy success!

Now, it is time for the 2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 7 Hitting Planner!

2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 5 Hitting Planner

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Schedule

2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 7 Hitting Planner

Credit: Baseball Monster

Offenses To Target

San Diego Padres

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Team wRC+: 92

I find it a little shocking to find the Padres offense has been below average so far in 2021. Thankfully, the Padres pitching staff has carried them and carried them well as they currently have the best team ERA in baseball.

I do like the Padres offense to get going this week. They will take on the Colorado Rockies for three games and then follow that up with a three-game weekend series with the Seattle Mariners.

The Rockies are currently 29th in team ERA at 5.09 and the Mariners are 20th at 4.35.

Notable Players

Maybe Fernando Tatis is back from the IL soon, but he probably misses all of next week.

Manny Machado has started slow with a .714 OPS, but I would not worry too much. His xBA and xSLG suggest he should break through soon, and he is in the top six percent of the league in average exit velocity. Buy low if the opportunity presents itself.

Eric Hosmer has an interesting line, hitting .305/.370/.443. He is not hitting for a lot of power, but he is finding a way to bring values in other areas. I imagine he has another solid week with the weekly matchup.

Wil Myers is not hitting for solid power (.160 ISO) and he already has four stolen bases, I would imagine he could be in for a strong week as well.

Jake Cronenworth was an interesting name coming into 2021, a lot were not sure if he would replicate 2020 or if he would even have a spot with Ha-Seong Kim being signed in the offseason. However, it appears he has put some of those concerns to rest with a 113 wRC+. The wOBA sits at .333 and the xwOBA is .328 so it appears Cronenworth is who he is at this point.

St Louis Cardinals

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Team wRC+: 94

The Cardinals offense has started to show more signs of life but still sit below average on the season. I think they may push closer to a team wRC+ of 100 in the next week when they take on the Pirates and the Cubs.

The Pirates 4.44 ERA is good for 22nd in baseball while the Cubs are only one better with a 4.39 ERA.

I know the Cardinals only have five games next week, but there is a great opportunity for this offense to rake.

Notable Players

Nolan Arenado has heated up, hitting .284/.342/.500 and the wRC+ is up to 127. The six home runs are helping quiet the crowd that thought he may struggle away from Coors.

Paul Goldschmidt currently has a .706 OPS and a 98 wRC+. His xwOBA (.330) is slightly higher than his wOBA (.304) so there is a chance he turns it around, but it really is not that significant so there is a chance that Goldschmidt’s best years are behind him.

Paul DeJong
has a weird line with a .177/.277/.371 and an 85 wRC+. However, he is hitting for great power which is keeping him fantasy relevant despite the low average.

Dylan Carlson has been everything we could have wanted and more. Hitting .285/.364/.438 with three home runs, twenty-three runs, seventeen RBIs, and a 123 wRC+.

Tyler O’Neill does not have the best average (.231) or OBP (.260), but he has seven home runs, so he is worth a look in deeper leagues.

Offense to Avoid

Texas Rangers

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Team wRC+: 103

I continue to work backward by now telling everyone to avoid an offense that has been good so far in 2021. However, I have my reasons.

Those reasons are the New York Yankees and the Houston Astros. Two teams with rather good pitching staffs that could finally slow down the Rangers offense.

The Yankees are currently 3rd with a 3.08 ERA and the Astros bring a 3.81 ERA good for 13th.

Notable Players

Joey Gallo has been Joey Gallo lite so far this year. Low average and a lot of strikeouts. He only has six home runs so far, but the biggest issue has been only three doubles. His SLG and ISO numbers are not as great as they usually are.

Adolis Garcia has been a nice surprise in 2020, hitting .288/.328/.568 with nine home runs. However, I do think this incredible run ends eventually and it could be this next week.

Nick Solak and Nate Lowe were popular sleepers in this year’s drafts. Many expected them to break out in 2021 and both currently have seven home runs. I hope they can keep it up, but they face a tough test this next week with the matchups.

Charlie Culberson has been a great story this season as well, with his .785 OPS and a 119 wRC+, but he has been a backup, super-utility, type player for his entire career so I imagine those numbers come down eventually.

Minnesota Twins

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Team wRC+: 109

I think it might be time to start worrying about the Twins as they are currently 12-23 at the time of writing. Their offense has been fine so far, and a lot of their issues can be placed on their pitching staff.

However, I am worried that this team eventually starts feeling the pressure of the early season struggles, and it could get worse with their schedule next week.

They take on the 5th best team ERA (3.27) in the Chicago White Sox before taking on the Cleveland Indians which comes in 7th in team ERA (3.38). Next week could be a real make-or-break week for the Twins.

Notable Players

Hopefully, Byron Buxton returns soon as he was arguably the AL MVP before he got hurt with nine home runs, 1.180 OPS, and a 228 wRC+. Please get healthy Buxton, we (I) want to see a fully healthy season.

Nelson Cruz has not slowed down just yet. He currently has nine home runs and an OPS at .900 and I fully believe this man will be able to hit 40-45 home runs a season for several more years.

Josh Donaldson has been fine with an .832 OPS, but it has been more doubles power (6) than it has been home run power (3).

Jorge Polanco has been a little disappointing for those who took a late-round flyer on him. A .725 OPS and only three home runs is not the best, and I myself am wondering if he will turn it around for those of us in deeper leagues. However, his average has slowly started to tick up so maybe he will turn it around?

2021 FANTASY BASEBALL HITTING PLANNER WEEK 7 SLEEPER/WAIVER OPTION

Gavin Lux, 2B, Los Angeles Dodgers

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I know that Lux started slow, but I am seeing a kid with a lot of talent looking like he is figuring it out.

In May, Lux is hitting .316/.350/.421 with one home run, four runs, and six RBIs. He still is not hitting for a lot of power, but he is starting to make harder contact and is slowly seeing more success. I think the power numbers eventually start coming around.

I think his current .586 OPS and 63 wRC+ are scaring some away because of the slow start, but I think it is time to get back on the Lux train. It looks like a lot of people bailed early as he is rostered in 40.7% of ESPN leagues, and 54% of CBS leagues.

If Lux is available, he may be worth a look as he looks like he is starting to figure things out. Plus, with the Dodgers offense, there should be plenty of opportunities for some solid counting stats.

Minor League Stash

A new section here on the 2021 Fantasy Baseball Week 7 Hitting Planner! I liked writing about Kelenic a few weeks ago and how he could help win redraft leagues that I felt like trying to find specific minor leagues that could be close that can benefit a Fantasy Baseball team this season.

I will try to switch it up from a week-to-week basis so I do not keep writing about the same prospect each week, but I will try to keep up with who I have mentioned until they are called up.

Vidal Brujan, 2B/SS, Tampa Bay Rays

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This week, I want to highlight Vidal Brujan. I know he is not the Rays prospect that most would imagine would find his name here, but there are already a lot of people stashing Wander Franco. I think most people are overlooking Brujan who has a shot to beat Franco to the major leagues.

In fact, some think Brujan could find himself in the majors by June. I would not be surprised to see either Franco or Brujan in a few weeks make the majors, but I think Brujan is going to be more available in redraft leagues.

It is a small sample of only seven games, but Brujan currently has a 244 wRC+ in AAA. That looks like a guy who is about to be ready for a call-up.

Brujan sports elite speed, with the potential to easily steal 20+ bags and we all know how stolen bases can be so valuable to our fantasy leagues. He is no slouch with the bat though, as he could come up and hit .260-.280 in a hurry and he is slowly starting to show more and more power at the plate.

 


Plus, Brujan plays at a thin position at second base, which could make him even more valuable. If there is a roster spot available on one’s team, take a look at stashing Brujan if the word gets out that he could be called up soon.


Check out the rest of our 2021 Fantasy Baseball content from our great team of writers.

About Trent Dickeson

Trent joined the Fantasy Six Pack crew in 2020 to provide fantasy baseball information and analysis. He has been an avid fantasy baseball player for several years now and uses his knowledge of advanced metrics to predict fantasy baseball performances.

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