Welcome back for all the best intel on the 2021 Fantasy Football: Carson Wentz Trade Impact! We're going to dive into my thoughts on how this impacts Wentz's Fantasy Value, his Potential NFL impact on his new team, as well as the impact it leaves on the Eagles and Colts Offenses.
While this trade isn't as earth-shattering as the Matthew Stafford trade to the Los Angeles Rams for Jared Goff, it's been a long time coming and something that quite frankly needed to happen for both parties.
Click here to read Keith's breakdown of the impact of the Stafford deal.
The trade breaks down to the Colts sending a 2021 3rd Round Pick and a 2022 2nd (which can become a 1st) in exchange for Carson Wentz.
And with the trade of Carson Wentz, there will now not be a single QB drafted in the first round from 2009-2016 that is still with his original team.
0 out of 22 total.
— Field Yates (@FieldYates) February 18, 2021
Also, check out the F6P Draft Team's most recent NFL Mock Draft!
2021 Fantasy Football: Carson Wentz Trade Impact
Carson Wentz
Fantasy Value
To me, this is an incredible move for Wentz. He gets to reunite with Coach Frank Reich, someone who he was very comfortable with, in Philly. Then he also gets to play behind one of the best offensive lines in the NFL. He'll be enjoying the benefit of a top-rated defense. Oh, and he has offensive weapons.
Essentially, everything that the Eagles failed to give Wentz, the Colts have. And they still have their 2021 first-round pick they can use to add a weapon or continue to build around Wentz.
At a minimum, this puts him in the Top 15 for Fantasy QBs in my opinion. You can't tell me he's worse than Phillip Rivers played last year. Sure Wentz struggled, but I have faith he can get back on it.
Since being drafted 2nd overall in the 2016 NFL Draft by the Philadelphia #Eagles, this is how Carson Wentz stacks up against NFL QBs with 700+ pass attempts according to ANY/A
data via @pfref @Stathead #NFL #FantasyFootball #Colts pic.twitter.com/XMVN0k2H1w
— Keith Lott (@WeTlkFntsySprts) February 18, 2021
NFL Impact
This puts the Colts right back in playoff contention in my opinion. There will probably be a smoothing out period where things don't look great, but before long this team should gel and really get after it.
If Wentz is able to regain his MVP caliber level like that of his 2017 Season, there's a chance this team could really make a deep run in the playoffs. But it will be a tough road with Tennessee in the division, along with Kansas City, Buffalo, and Baltimore (to name a few) ready and waiting in the Playoffs.
The Colts Offense
Overview
There's a lot of time yet in this offseason for the Colts to make a splash in Free Agency or in the NFL Draft to build even more around Wentz. What they do in the Draft, and whatever they manage in Free Agency will greatly impact the overall outlook of this offense. But here's what we can dive into for now.
Wide Receivers and Tight Ends
I'm already seeing on Twitter so many "experts" dropping the line of "Well your Pittman, Campbell, T.Y. shares just dropped dramatically". Like this guy isn't even in Indy yet can we take a chill pill? "Well, he doesn't like to throw to his Wide Receivers" Well look at who he was throwing to? A washed Alshon (for the past couple of seasons at least), J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, a rookie in Reagor, Travis Fulgham (That was a fun run) and a couple of late-round dart throws.
Give the guy a chance. I'm not selling yet and that's because with this narrative out there it's likely you won't get a fair return. However, buying now might not hurt.
When it comes to tight ends who knows who's even going to be on the roster. Right now Jack Doyle, Moe Allie-Cox, and Trey Burton don't excite me. But maybe they look to add Jonnu Smith or Bobby Tonyan in Free Agency?
Jonathan Taylor and Nyheim Hines
Embed from Getty Images
Personally, I don't see much of a value shift with Taylor. However, I do think Hines loses a little pop here. Hines was able to reap the benefits of Rivers check down habits and I'm not sure Wentz will be as prone to doing so. However, Reich loves Hines, so there's a chance he remains involved.
The Eagles
Overview
What a mess it's become in Philly. People calling for Howie Roseman's job, Jeff Lurie to sell the team, needless to say, it's been quite an interesting offseason already in Philly. And we still have Free Agency and the NFL Draft to go.
In all honesty, I think they got fair compensation here. It would've been cool to get a 1st this year, but a third and a pick that'll likely be a first next year is something.
I've become pretty disinterested in this offense (sorry Miles Sanders) with Jalen Hurts at the helm. Especially if they continue to neglect adding weapons or building onto the offensive line.
Jalen Hurts
Embed from Getty Images
Hurts should be a Top 10 QB now that he's free of Carson Wentz right? Sure. That is, of course, if they don't bring in a new QB via the Draft. Which, honestly I'm not so sure they won't do.
The Eagles had the 21st pick in last year's NFL Draft and passed on Hurts then, to select Jalen Reagor. They then added Hurts in the second, citing that their reasoning was "his value was too good not to take him there". So he wasn't worth a first, but he was worth a mid to late second? Interesting.
That doesn't mean the Eagles were planning to move on from Wentz at the start of the 2020 season. And after what was one of his best seasons, throwing for over 4,000 yards, 27 TDs, and 7 INTs, why would they?
Then after Wentz has one of his worst seasons, they happen to have a quarterback, and they abandon Wentz entirely in the middle of the season, full well knowing he has little to nothing to work with.
That move tells me that they have ZERO loyalty to their players, and why should Hurts be any different? He played okay as a starter. He wasn't great by any stretch.
If I had any Hurts shares I'd be selling.
Philly currently has the sixth pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. I doubt there's a single first-round quarterback they value lower than that pick outside of maybe Mac Jones.
Y'all do y'all, but like a shark, I'm out.
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