Fantasy Football

2021 Fantasy Football Week 2 Defense Stream-O-Matic

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Welcome to the 2021 Fantasy Football Week 2 Defense Stream-O-Matic!

Last week, the Carolina Panthers defense dominated the New York Jets offense, as was expected, sacking rookie QB six times! The Minnesota Vikings did not exceed expectations but did not hurt you if you choose them are your team to stream against the Cincinnati Bengals. They got to Joe Burrow five times.

I had mentioned the Jacksonville Jaguars defense last week going up against the Houston Texans – that didn’t work out! That was a pretty desperate play to start the NFL season anyway. Would have been more beneficial as a DFS punt play but let’s just forget about that game.

Below are the results from Week 1 – not great, not terrible considering it was the first week of a brand new season!

Arizona Cardinals Chandler Jones recorded five sacks and two forced fumbles against Ryan Tannehill and the Tennesee Titans offensive line!

The Baltimore Ravens go up against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 2, on a short week after their offensive line got manhandled by the Las Vegas Raiders on Monday Night Football. The Indianapolis Colts just got torched by the Seattle Seahawks duo of Russell Wilson and Tyler Lockett. Now they have to try and stop Matthew Stafford, Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp!

It’s matchups like these that you must at least consider streaming a defense – even in Week 2.

Thankfully, this early in the season, most rosters will not feature multiple defenses so you should have some pretty good options available to you.

I hope this experiment can be helpful when deciding between tough options. Good luck!

2021 Fantasy Football Week 2 Defense Stream-O-Matic

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Scoring

I use a traditional rotisserie scoring style commonly used in fantasy baseball season-long leagues to give point totals to each team.

Categories

The categories for the chart are listed below along with links to websites that I use to find this data.

  • Rost%: Roster percentage based on Yahoo Fantasy Football leagues. This gives us an idea of who is available. This doesn’t factor into the standings.
  • Location (Home): Generally speaking, defenses play better at home than on the road. A five-point bonus is given to all home teams.
  • Vegas (Opp Implied): Using Vegas odds, the spread and over/under generates an implied points total for each team. This game score portrays what the game flow could look like and, therefore, which Fantasy Football defenses are in a good position to succeed.
  • Pressure (Prss%): Thanks to Pro Football Reference, we have access to advanced passing statistics. We are focused on pressure percentages here which includes QB hurries, hits and sacks.
  • DVOA: Probably the most popular tool for evaluating defenses, the DVOA efficiency ratings are utilized to give a strong baseline to the rankings.
  • Proj: I used Yahoo Week 2 projections for this column. It is added as a bonus and not scored like roto for all the other columns.

2021 Fantasy Football Week 2 Defense Stream-O-Matic Chart

ScoreTeamRost% OppHomeDEF DVOAOpp OFF DVOAPrss%Opp ImpliedProj
116Patriots85%@NYJ0172832309
108Saints47%@CAR0321528267
106Cardinals36%vsMIN5311629196
106Dolphins27%vsBUF5232731146
105Bucs98%vsATL593025279
100Seahawks11%vsTEN5193124156
98Browns82%vsHOU5517273212
97Rams99%@IND0221926237
88Broncos92%@JAX0132910279
88Steelers96%vsLV528212248
85Giants6%@WAS0102422227
84Packers29%vsDET542511309
81Bears22%vsCIN511230258
81Raiders1%@PIT024261984
80Jets1%vsNE5121823157
79Bills81%@MIA0251412217
76Washington97%vsNYG521111299
73Panthers30%vsNO53077177
6949ers96%@PHI020914197
67Bengals1%@CHI014228176
65Eagles6%vsSF52931396
64Chargers29%vsDAL52689106
62Jaguars6%vsDEN518616116
60Vikings27%@ARI015132075
58Lions0%@GB03321733
53Ravens84%vsKC51641855
51Texans1%@CLE02712120
46Chiefs66%@BAL02234116
46Cowboys3%@LAC01120654
37Colts51%vsLAR5825116
34Titans4%@SEA0751534
20Falcons1%@TB0610310

max score with home-field five-point bonus but without projection bonus is 133

median score – 77

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

Embed from Getty Images

Nobody knows exactly what was going on with Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers offense in Week 1, but the Saints held them to just three points! The defense recorded two sacks and picked off Rodgers twice while also recovering a fumble.

The Saints forced the Packers to bench Rodgers and let Jordan Love play!

The Panthers offense (outside of Christian McCaffrey) struggled against the New York Jets last week, only scoring 19 points. The Jets generated pressure on 33.3% of Sam Darnold‘s dropbacks.

Arizona Cardinals vs Minnesota Vikings

Embed from Getty Images
The Cardinals defense just destroyed the Titans offensive line and recorded six sacks, two fumble recoveries and an interception. They held Ryan Tannehill, Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown and Julio Jones to just 13 points.

The Vikings offense is built very similarly to the Titans in that they have one of the best running backs in the game in Dalvin Cook and two star receivers in Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen. However, their offensive line must be even worse because the Cincinnati Bengals just generated 18 pressures (34%) against Kirk Cousins.

Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins can help the defense by getting out to an early lead and forcing the Vikings to play catch-up, allowing for more sack and interception opportunities.

The Cardinals get Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 3!

New York Giants at Washington Football Team

This is going to be one of those ugly Thursday Night Football games. Should be low-scoring, very boring, with limited offense. Washington’s defense is the better option here, despite what Stream-O says, but the Giants are just 5% rostered while the Football Team is 97% rostered.

Without Ryan Fitzpatrick, Washington’s offense is not as threatening. Taylor Heinicke has played well in a reserve role in the last 12 months but he is not an NFL-caliber quarterback.

Look for the Giants to be aggressive again on Thursday Night. They blitzed Teddy Bridgewater 18 times last week.

Way Too Early Week 3 Rankings

For now, we are looking at just DVOA data from Football Outsiders and pressures allowed. We are adding in the five-point bonus for home teams as well.

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max score for next week is currently 101
median score is currently 53.5

  1. Washington @ BUF – 79
  2. Broncos vs NYJ – 78
  3. Bills vs WAS – 76
  4. Texans vs CAR – 75
  5. Steelers vs CIN – 75
  6. Panthers @ HOU – 74
  7. 49ers vs GB – 74
  8. Saints @ NE – 73
  9. Cardinals @ JAX – 70
  10. Giants vs ATL – 70

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About Keith Lott

I have one goal, to help you win your league. It does not matter if you are a fantasy rookie or a veteran. Everyone has questions, and I have opinions. Lot(t)s of them!

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