2021 Fantasy Football Week 5 Blurbview

by Richard Savill
Football Week 5 Blurbview

One of the more complicated aspects of fantasy football and sports betting in general is the variable known as the gamescript.

This slippery metric is where writers of your favorite Start-Sit columns make their determinations. Our own Dylan Clemons does the F6P Start-Sit and you can read his weekly selections here.

All fantasy advisory websites attempt to extrapolate from numerous factors to forecast a gamescript. We need to best reckon which players are in the good ones and which players are not.

Where big money is the name of the game in Vegas, the Over-Under handicappers there have an obvious important job in this department. Money talks. The F6P DST Stream-o-matic realizes this and incorporates the Vegas line as part of the formula.

That's two shameless plugs already for F6P content. Well-deserved I think. I could include more where determining gamescript has primary importance. The Blurbview does too.

I wish I had room to delve deeper into fantasy gamescript factoring, but I will revisit the subject later in future articles.

The nature of this weekly preview, as you know, deliberates everything on the basis of informational speed. The Blurbview acknowledges the fantasy acumen of the readership.

Sometimes the most important messages in life can fit on a post-it note. Some of the best light-hearted humor does too.

On to the Week 5 Blurbs. Buckle up.

Alert: 9:30 AM ET start for the Jets v Falcons game in London. 6:30 AM PT - set your coffee maker timer!


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2021 Fantasy Football Week 5 Blurbview

2021 Fantasy Football Week 5 Blurbview

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Byes: none

Games to Watch 2021 Fantasy Football Week 5 Blurbview

A brief rundown of the games this weekend. You have your fantasy lineups set, now it's time to watch 'em play.

Early Sunday: Packers (3-1) at Bengals (3-1) +3.5 49.5

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Does Aaron Rodgers look like a guy in full focus or what? Since Week 1, the "in the zone" swagger continues, and he is taking no breaks until the team bye in Week 13.

Joe Burrow has QB list fantasy finishes of 18th, 25th, 16th and 11th so far this year. Some things are clicking better than others on the Bengals offense, but Burrow is making it work.

Injuries to Joe Mixon and Tee Higgins are slowing things down, but slogging through it to gain a 3-1 record is better than looking to those setbacks as excuses if matters were the reverse.

Samaje Perine will start if Mixon (questionable) cannot play.

Higgins (shoulder) should return for this game. However, his capped upside from the presence of Ja'Marr Chase is leaving the owners of Higgins seeing a visible downgrade from WR1/2 to WR2/3.

The concerns are valid. Burrow's chemistry with Chase heavily shows up every week. With Tyler Boyd continuing as a strong weekly fantasy option, the news boils down to just being happy Tee Higgins gets on the field. Take solace that balance ultimately comes along.

This is a start all fantasy game with one caution: although this is a good matchup for Bengals TE C.J. Uzomah, the return of Higgins may limit Uzomah's red zone chances. Hold off on streaming him this week.

Fun Fact: The Packers have only five previous visits to Cincinnati and came away with a win only once. Logan Wilson of the Bengals has the most interceptions (3) by a linebacker so far in 2021.
Sleeper: AJ Dillon, RB, Packers
Pick Poll: Packers 86%

Other Early Sunday Games in Brief...

Jets (1-3) vs Falcons (1-3) -3.5 45.0 (in London)

Not a morning person? Learn to love breakfast football. London games tend toward twisty scripts - mostly negative. That said, the chronic risk/reward fantasy environment of London can pay off for the daring. Corey Davis and Cordarrelle Patterson are the best options. Fade all RBs - except Patterson working that role. TE Kyle Pitts makes for a sneaky sleeper. With Calvin Ridley out, the Brits are gonna love hearing "Olamide Zaccheaus" on the stadium PA.
Pick Poll: Falcons 81%

2021 Fantasy Football Week 5 Blurbview

Dolphins (1-3) at Buccaneers (3-1) -10.5 48.0

Winning teams off emotional victories often lead to letdown the following week. But in fantasy we aren't trying to cover a point spread. Nonetheless, in a closer game than the line suggests helps your fantasy Dolphins. The Buccaneers allow the 2nd most FPs to WRs; therefore start DeVante Parker (GTD). Also consider Jaylen Waddle and Preston Williams in that order for the FLEX if available. Bench the Miami RBs as usual, but TE Mike Gesicki is a fine play. All your available fantasy Bucs are green for go.
Pick Poll: Buccaneers 98%

Titans (2-2) at Jaguars (0-4) +4.0 48.5

Recent turmoil with the Jaguars hasn't hurt James Robinson - his fantasy arrow is facing north. Still, the problems surrounding Urban Meyer gives one an unsettling feeling for the prospects of the other Jaguars. The fantasy viability of Laviska Shenault should be in breakout mode by now, but it's not. For the Titans, Julio Jones and A.J. Brown must start if available. Derrick Henry continues to prove that he is the best own in fantasy.
Pick Poll: Titans 93%

Eagles (1-3) at Panthers (3-1) -3.5 45.0

Last week I called Jalen Reagor a boom sleeper. Result? Bum sleeper. When I make an arms folded forecast like that, I act on it myself. Which I did. We're in this together. Anyhoo - about this game. Kenneth Gainwell refuses to stop making fantasy racket, but the Panthers are stingy to RBs. Maybe hold off on starting him this week. Sam Darnold will do the Christian McCaffrey (Q-D) job at the goal line until further notice.
Pick Poll: Panthers 85%
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Broncos (3-1) at Steelers (1-3) -1.0 39.5

The Broncos are fantasy poison right now to teams that face them. That said, they are a good yardstick for determining which players maintain a "matchup proof" status. Overall though, most fantasy starters have to temper zee eggs. Ben Roethlisberger doesn't mind - shootouts aren't his thing anymore. A 3-3 score at half-time shouldn't surprise.
Pick Poll: Broncos 51%

Patriots (1-3) at Texans (1-3) +9.0 39.5

Another game where fantasy staff are in short supply. On the bright side, we are a little closer to seeing the true receiver pecking order on the Patriots. Jakobi Meyers, Kendrick Bourne and Nelson Agholor all remain FLEX sleepers. My favorite of the three is Bourne. For me, he shows the best ability against elite coverage. In Houston, we have a problem. While Davis Mills remains quarterback, no Texans, not even Brandin Cooks, are startable.
Pick Poll: Patriots 92%

Lions (0-4) at Vikings (1-3) -7.5 49.5

Alexander Mattison, the Dalvin Cook (Q) doppleganger, leans toward starting. Now for the rest of this blurb, we'll briefly discuss D'Andre Swift. Calmly, if possible. It seems fair to ask how the committee with Jamaal Williams works. It's an obvious 1a and 1b backfield, but who is "a" and who is "b" here? Don't know. When Williams went to Detroit, fantasy red flags went up. It turned out worse. Swift owners, you'll just have to bear it a little longer.
Pick Poll: Vikings 92%

Saints (2-2) at Washington (2-2) +1.5 44.5

No offense meant at Jameis Winston, but Taysom Hill looks like a better team leader. Unfortunately, Hill is not the better quarterback. I'm sure the Saints rally around Winston as they would for anyone, but Jameis just doesn't have the X-factor as Hill does. As for this game, the Saints are a tough fantasy matchup against every skill position except receivers. Curtis Samuel will do fine in the FLEX position. Apart from Alvin Kamara, your Saints options remain limited.
Pick Poll: Saints 58%

Late Sunday: Browns (3-1) at Chargers (3-1) -2.0 47.0

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In terms of entertainment value, the Browns are among the most fun to watch. Now they face the Chargers who aren't that far behind.

Even if it was just Nick Chubb and Austin Ekeler as feature attractions that would be enough. But both teams offer far more.

Expect Mike Williams to reverse the severe downtick against the Raiders last Monday and put in at least reasonably decent fantasy numbers. Streaming Jared Cook again comes with high risk. We can say he has a solid floor now with upside, but in a matchup where it's bombs away - yeah, not so great.

That's the unfinished business for both these quarterbacks following their Week 4 games. Baker Mayfield could not connect deep with Odell Beckham. Justin Herbert missed a deep shot to Mike Williams. Time to fix that and get some fantasy closure, right?

Again though, this matchup all starts and ends with the running game. An important point to remember.

Fun Fact: The visiting Cleveland Browns to either the San Diego or LA Chargers have not won since 1991. Myles Garrett DE of the Browns leads the league in sacks with six. Justin Herbert has been sacked just seven times so far in 2021.
Sleeper:  Jalen Guyton, WR, Chargers
Pick Poll: Chargers 61%

Other Late Sunday Games in Brief...

2021 Fantasy Football Week 5 Blurbview

Bears (2-2) at Raiders (3-1)

Justin Fields is now the Bears starter (yay!) moving forward. More importantly in Bear news, Damien Williams will take over the backfield in the absence of David Montgomery. Montgomery avoided a season ending injury, but his status remains in doubt over the next month or so. For the Raiders, Peyton Barber has turf toe. So Josh Jacobs looks to own the backfield free and clear; apart from a Kenyan Drake spell now and then.
Pick Poll: Raiders 91%

Forty-Niners (2-2) at Cardinals (4-0) -5.5 49.5

Trey Lance looked good. Love that shiftiness in the pocket and his underneath passes look like darts. Granted, all this cool stuff came at a point in the game where the 49ers had only a slight hope in a low-percentage rally attempt. Deebo Samuel is on a fantasy tear right now. As long as he remains peppered with targets, your fantasy team will shine. As per usual in games with the Cardinals, all your fantasy workers should punch in for this game.
Pick Poll: Cardinals 89%

Giants (1-3) at Cowboys (3-1) -7.0 52.0

The requisite breakout of the rookie Kadarius Toney got the low applause in fantasy. Toney causes a problem for anyone owning receivers on the Giants - including Toney himself. We can put off this pecking order crisis for now. Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton won't return for this game. So no overload yet and Toney remains a solid play. John Ross lives, yeah that guy - he could get another boom on Sunday if you have the kahoonies. Meanwhile, start CeeDee Lamb confidently. Don't worry - the brief slump must end this week.
Pick Poll: Cowboys 95%

Feature Games

Sunday Night: Bills (3-1) at Chiefs (2-2) -2.5 56.5

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A rematch of the AFC Championship and both teams will approach it as such.

The Chiefs seem back on track after defeating the Eagles in their typical fashion, but you sense that the team have lapses where gaps open up and the opposition can beat them. Thus the Chiefs this season are prone to an embarrassing loss here and there.

For the Bills, this game is the first of five games remaining on their schedule where the opposition is .500 or better. All NFL games are tough to win, but when only 5 of 13 are contending at the moment - that's a smoother path.

All fantasy salt-worthy players start for you in this game. Notable fantasy riser Dawson Knox now has a solid TE floor and if you picked him up, you can continue starting him too.

Speaking of tight ends, Travis Kelce had his worst game of 2021 so far against the Eagles - expect a bounce back there.

Stefon Diggs continues to produce well for owners, but a proper breakout with scoring has yet to emerge. This game could be a needed tonic for his owners this week.

While guys like Cole Beasley and Mecole Hardman are on the good side of the boundary for FLEX play in this game, I think it best to remain with the main starters only. Fill that spot if need be with better sleeper options from other games this weekend.

Fun Fact: In the AFC Championship game, Darrel Williams had 13-52-1 rushing compared to 6-7-1 for Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Also, Cole Beasley had 7-88-0 to Stefon Diggs' 6-77-0 stat line in receiving.
Sleeper: Gabriel Davis, WR, Bills
Pick Poll: Chiefs 52%

Monday Night: Colts (1-3) at Ravens (3-1) -7.0 46.0

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If you said the Colts are a mediocre football team, you'd be right. Even statistically. There is however, one glaringly important statistic where the Colts are near the top. They allow the fewest rushing touchdowns. Considering the Ravens specialize in the ground game, this could prove an important factor.

Unfortunately for the Colts, the Ravens pass quite well when they have to. Did you see that unbelievable catch by Marquise Brown last week? Outstanding.

Mark Andrews awaits a turn to scoop his first touchdown. Beware of getting too hopeful, because the sleeper pick (below) is ready to vulture the production of Andrews. This matchup is a potential perfect storm for Watkins to have a great game.

Start everyone relevant for the Ravens, except the RBs. Sit everyone on the Colts, except Jonathan Taylor, Michael Pittman, and Mo Alie-Cox (sleeper too!).

Fun Fact: The Ravens and Colts have never met on Monday Night Football. Sorry folks, that's the best I could find on short notice.
Sleeper: Sammy Watkins, WR, Ravens
Pick Poll: Ravens 96%

In the Booth on Sunday

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NFLN London Game 9:30am ET

Jets v Falcons: Greg Gumbel, Adam Archuleta

CBS Early

Dolphins at Buccaneers: Jim Nantz, Tony Romo
Saints at Washington: Spero Dedes, Jay Feely
Patriots at Texans: Andrew Catalon, James Lofton
Titans at Jaguars: Tom McCarthy, Tiki Barber

FOX Early

Packers at Bengals: Kenny Albert, Jonathan Vilma
Eagles at Panthers: Joe Davis, Greg Olsen
Broncos at Steelers: Brandon Gaudin, Mark Schlereth
Lions at Vikings: Chris Myers, Daryl Johnson

CBS Late

Bears at Raiders: Ian Eagle, Charles Davis
Browns at Chargers: Kevin Harlan, Trent Green

FOX Late

Giants at Cowboys: Joe Buck, Troy Aikman
49ers at Cardinals: Kevin Kugler, Mark Sanchez

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Check out the rest of our 2021 Fantasy Football content from our great team of writers.

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2 comments

2021 Fantasy Football Week 5 Start-Sit - Fantasy Six Pack October 8, 2021 - 9:31 pm

[…] more lineup advice for Week 5? Check out the Week 5 Blurbview for the fastest rundown of the weekend action! Tons of stuff. The games, bet lines, pick ’em polls, in the booth, and […]

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2021 Fantasy Football Rest of Season Rankings - Fantasy Six Pack October 9, 2021 - 9:31 pm

[…] the games, players, vegas lines, advice, opinions, in the booth, and much more! So get a coffee and check the Week 5 Blurbview […]

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