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2021 Masters ThriveFantasy Prop Bets Picks For Round One

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As things slowly return to normal how they were before or at least resemble what they were before, the 2021 Masters brings us a chance to make ThriveFantasy Prop Bets Picks!

One thing missing from this Masters will be a Mr. Eldrick Woods. I’d put the over/under mentions of that fact this week somewhere between three and 103.

Woods is not the only PGA major mainstay not detailed here. I made the decision to avoid analysis on Brooks Koepka. As of submission time, he was still the dreaded “game-time decision”. He could exceed expectations, fall way below, or just straight out withdraw–either early or during the tournament. No thanks, I’ll skip that headache.

What I won’t be skipping however is our usual format. For those who read my regular ThriveFantasy picks during football season, it will follow the same format. I will provide three “over” picks and one “under” pick for round one of this year’s Masters.

That brings us to the reminder of what makes ThriveFantasy different.  You are not putting together a lineup. Instead, there are approximately a dozen prop bets about specific golfers of which you have to pick five. Those bets are then given points. If your bet is correct, you win those points. Follow?

Good. Pull out your club and take a swing at a handful of 2021 Masters ThriveFantasy Prop Bets Picks for round one that I like.

For those of you out in the Rockies, take advantage of this William Hill Colorado promo code before placing a bet on The Masters.

2021 Masters ThriveFantasy Prop Bets Picks

Click here for Masters DFS Value Picks

The Overs

Jon Rham: .5 Eagles (150 points) – OVER

My frequent readers know I like to go aggressive and you don’t get much higher than 150 points on a single prop bet on ThriveFantasy. But is it that aggressive?

First off, while Augusta is a tough course, it is the Masters, it’s not a US Open. The aforementioned Woods and Dustin Johnson for example have both had four eagles in a single Masters. So we know top players, which Rham is, can certainly do it. And we know Rham can do something special at Augusta….

Don’t misunderstand me, the odds of this happening are not high. But you have to take some chances. And if this OVER hits, we will be sitting pretty. We can be conservative elsewhere.

Justin Thomas: 3.5 Birdies (80 points) – OVER

And it starts with this pick. Thomas is having another strong season. If I need to convince you that Justin Thomas is good, fantasy golf might not be for you. But great golfers come in all forms. Some are absolute par-makers no matter how hard the hole. Others balance eagles and double-bogeys. And some like Thomas are birdie makers. Thomas has a 5.18 birdie average. How good is that? No one on the PGA is better.

This might be the easiest prop on the board. Take the points and move on.

Jason Day: 70.5 Strokes (100 points) – OVER

And it pains me to say it, but Jason Day has moved on, or rather out, of the elite tier of golfers. He still has plenty of talent. His top ten finish at Pebble Beach in February is a testament to his talent. But plenty of talented golfers can stumble at Augusta. Augusta is a 72-Par course. For this prop, we are basically presented with the question can Day score two under or better on Day 1?

I say no. Day’s scoring average is currently outside the top 50 and sits closer to 71 (70.648). Outside of Pebble Beach, we have to go back to November to find a tournament where Day averaged two under par or better.

Day has had some success at the Masters, so I can understand your hesitation. But the Australian is outside the top 50 overall world golf ranking and 84th on the FedEx Ranking for a reason. I’m taking the OVER.

The Under

Jordan Spieth 2.5 Bogies (85 pts) – UNDER

Anyone who has been following golf the last five years will surely remember Spieth’s epic collapse on the 12th hole of the 2016 Masters:


But I believe Spieth has finally put that behind him. He is playing some of the best golf this year that he has played in years. He’s coming in white-hot, having won the Valero Texas Open last week. But he also has an additional four top-ten finishes just since Groundhog’s Day. Spieth has always been a good putter, but it’s very comforting to see him 23rd in shots gained approaching the green.

I would like to see him a little higher, but he is a respectable 60th in first-round scoring average. And that is ahead of other popular Masters betting options like Paul Casey and Tony Finau.

Spieth is simply passing the eye test right now, so I’m happy to bet on him to go UNDER this bogey prop.

Good luck with your 2021 Master ThriveFantasy picks!


Click here for Masters DFS Value Picks

About Mark Strausberg

Despite his youthful appearance, Mark has aged hundreds and hundreds of years due to soul-sucking and crushing near misses over his decades of both playing and writing fantasy sports.

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