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2021 NFL DFS Week 13 DraftKings Picks

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Welcome to the 2021 NFL DFS Week 13 DraftKings Picks!

The holiday season is finally here! Can you believe this is the final month of 2021?

We are also closing in on the end of the NFL season. We are now hitting the Week 13 mark, leaving only five weeks of NFL DFS in the regular season.

It’s been an up and down year for me in the DFS space.

Cash has been great, tournaments have been bad. It happens, it’s truly an up and down type of game and a lot of the time just comes down to luck. Honestly, maybe this week is the week stuff breaks right.

I feel more confident in these DFS picks than usual! Even with four teams on bye weeks, there are so many plays. I had a hard time even narrowing it down for you guys to read.

But enough with the intro, let’s dive into this 2021 NFL DFS Week 13 DraftKings Picks!

2021 NFL DFS Week 13 DraftKings Picks

Click here for Wisdom of the Crowd NFL DFS projections

AwayHomeTotal
Bucs (-9.5)Falcons50.5
ChargersBengals (-3)49.5
WashingtonRaiders (-1.5)49.5
JaguarsRams (-13.5)48.0
Vikings (-7.5)Lions46.5
49ers (-3.5)Seahawks45.5
Eagles (-7)Jets45.0
Colts (-10)Texans44.5
Ravens (-4.5)Steelers44.0
Cardinals (-7.5)Bears43.0
GiantsDolphins (-6)39.5

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady, $7,200

The front-runner for MVP, Tom Brady is coming off a bad performance last Sunday against the Colts. Now, he and the Bucs travel home to play against the Falcons. Atlanta this season ranks 30th in points per game this season allowed at 25.8 per as well as ranking 14th in passing yards allowed.

You have to love the matchup for Brady with the numbers I just listed, especially the fact the Falcons are allowing 20.7 DraftKings points per game, 5th most in the NFL. Easy pickings for the future HOFer.

With that said, him being at home is no small feat. Take a look at his home/road splits on the season.

He’s a unit at home versus on the road. And in this easy matchup, I love Brady.

2021 Splits Table
Game Pass Pass Pass Pass Pass Pass
Split Value G Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int
League NFL 11 309 457 67.61 3403 30 9
Place Home 5 136 209 65.07 1584 20 3
Road 6 173 248 69.76 1819 10 6
Provided by Pro-Football-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/3/2021.

Joe Burrow, $6,300

If you’ve been watching this season, the Bengals and Burrow have been absurdly good out of nowhere. If you exclude both Weeks 9 and 10, Burrow has been dynamite the entire season. He’s had eight games of 17.5 or more Fantasy points and currently has thrown a touchdown in all but one game.

He also has thrown two or more touchdowns in 8-of-11 games on the season as well. Now, Burrow stays at home to take on a struggling Chargers team who are in a must-win situation. Los Angeles is allowing 29.0 PPG in their last four games as well as surrendering 884 passing yards.

They haven’t been able to stop the pass or just anyone on offense including teams like the Steelers who hung 40 on them. With the defense being so bad, Burrow and Herbert are going to have to trade points in a likely high-scoring game this weekend.

Tyrod Taylor, $5,300

Why is DraftKings continuing to price Taylor sub-6k? In every start outside of one, Taylor has scored over 16.3 Fantasy points. His dual-threat ability to run the ball and pass the ball with efficiency is propelling him to Fantasy stardom.

16 points may not seem crazy, but at $5,300, that is over 3x his salary which is right where you need to be. With that said, the matchup is excellent as well.

The Colts are allowing 244.7 passing yards allowed per game, 19th in the NFL. On top of that, they are allowing the 20th most point per game at 23.6 allowed. And if that wasn’t bad enough, they are coming fresh off allowing 36 points to the Buccaneers.

Running Back

Elijah Mitchell, $6,000

I love the bargain bin this week for the RB position. Mitchell is the number one name on that list. With Deebo Samuel out of the lineup, Mitchell should see another 20-30 touches on the ground and air combined.

His 70% opportunity share, which ranks 6th in the NFL over the past four weeks, is super impressive considering it may just rise higher. That’s just over the past four weeks as well. His most recent sample has him rushing an average of 27 times per game as well as seeing passing volume. 10 targets in three games.

On a team that runs the second most run plays per game, paired with no Deebo and an insane workload, we should see Mitchell feast this weekend against a Seahawks defense that ranks 23rd against the run this season.

James Conner, $5,900

Since Chase Edmonds went down, Conner has been a workhorse running back. In his past three games, Conner has 52 carries for 197 yards and has scored 5 touchdowns. He’s also caught 13 balls for 139 yards and a touchdown. His workload in that time span ranks top-5 in the NFL.

He’s seeing a 74% opportunity share. With a healthy 26.5 team total, paired with the fact that the Cardinals are 7-point favorites, we may see Conner run even more in this game. With that said, Conner also has a positive 40% run blocking advantage in this game.

I love the veteran RB with his workload and squaring up against the league’s 28th ranked run-stopping defense. At this price point, he’s a smash play.



Jamaal Williams, $5,400

No D’Andre Swift, no problem for Jamaal Williams. The veteran RB is no slouch. Last season, taking over as the lead back of the Packers, Williams was excellent. Take a look.

He should see plenty of opportunities this weekend against the 25th ranked run defense. And what may surprise you, the Lions actually hold a positive 54% run blocking advantage this weekend against the Vikings who will be without Danielle Hunter.

Wide Receiver

Keenan Allen, $7,500

We talked about how Burrow and the Bengals are in such a great spot on Sunday, well, so are the Chargers. With one of the highest team totals on the slate, the Chargers are projected to do well on offense.

His level of consistency is absolutely insane. In every game this season, Allen has scored double-digit Fantasy points. Also, since Week 8, he has yet to score under 15 points as well.

His target share in that span is what is keeping him so high. 11, 13, 11, 13, and 10 targets in his past few games.

With a nice floor, in a great game environment, Allen makes a ton of sense in a must-win situation for the Chargers.

DeAndre Hopkins, $6,200

Hopkins is coming off a three-week absence on top of a bye week. Hopkins and Kyler Murray are expected back and healthy. With that said, expect the return of one of the NFL’s elite.

In games this season where Hopkins was healthy, he’s performed like his old self scoring 26.3, 15.4, 20.7, 20.5, and 18.3.

Now, Hopkins and the Cardinals come in boosting a 27.5 team total paired as a 7-point favorite. With a high pace environment and Murray back, the superstar WR should feast.

Darnell Mooney, $5,600

We have seen a changing of the guard in the past few weeks. Mooney has ascended to the head of the WR room in Chicago. The third-year WR has scored 20 or more Fantasy points in all three of his starts since Week 9.

Mooney and the Bears come in fresh off a 10-day break as 7-point underdogs, which means tons of passing. That’s especially encouraging considering the fact that Mooney has seen 10 targets per game over his past three.

I love him as a run-back stack with Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins on the other side.

DeVante Parker, $3,900

We’ve seen flashes of excellence from Parker this season, but that’s only when he’s actually played. In Week 8, Parker had 16.5 DraftKings points but exited with an injury and hasn’t played since. Now, he’s back with the Dolphins back in the division race battling for a playoff spot.

That means that Parker and the Dolphins need to show out in a must-win against the New York Football Giants. This New York team has just been getting abused on the defensive side of the ball so the spot lines up nicely for his return. They rank 17th on pass defending and 27th in total yards as well as 16th in PPG.

At $3,900, Parker and his nine targets per game should work nicely for this game.

Tight End

Foster Moreau, $2,700

This is the only play that I’m recommending this week. With Darren Waller out, he is projected to see 35+ routes in this game along with 6+ targets as well.

In Week 7, without Waller, Moreau saw six targets which he flipped for 6-60-1, totaling 18 DraftKings points.

The spot also lines up nicely as well against the Washington Football Team. They rank 30th against the pass and rank 28th in points allowed per game. Carr comes in as the NFL passing leader and should look to continue that against such a poor secondary.




Wisdom of the Crowd NFL DFS projections

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