Daily Fantasy Sports

2021 NFL DFS Week 7 DraftKings Picks


Welcome to the 2021 NFL DFS Week 7 DraftKings Picks!

Daily fantasy sports is such a wild animal. Each week feels like a different game. A different ideal lineup. So many factors that sway the balance of power each and every week in DFS.

If you played last week, chances are you just didn’t win. Like myself and other sharp bettors, we got carried out. Guys like Rich Rhibar, Sal Vetri, Joe Holka, and other smart minds in the industry had some of their worst results in recent memory.

Just brutal, it seems like the chalk continues to get there and random guys you would never think to pair with them have been getting there. It has been a weird year. Better days ahead, hopefully.

This week, I’ve dig in a bit extra to try and bring you the most ideal plays at each position. In this article, there will be a bit of a switch-up, we will have shorter explanations with a more array of plays. Good luck this week and let’s dive in.

2021 NFL DFS Week 7 DraftKings Picks

Click here for Wisdom of the Crowd NFL DFS projection


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Patrick Mahomes, @ Titans, $8,400

If you watched on Sunday, you saw a pissed-off Chiefs team dominate the Washington Football Team defense. The Chiefs, led by Mahomes, scored 31 points in an easy victory to keep the playoff hopes alive. Now, they square off in what is likely a must-win for the Chiefs yet again.

Mahomes and company get the 28th ranked defense on Sunday in the Titans. This season, Mahomes is averaging 28.6 DraftKings points per game, best of any QB. Ideal point average considering that the Titans are allowing the 24th most points per game at 26.8 per game.

Mahomes is an easy play this week for me. The matchup is great against a Titans defense that let Josh Allen and the Bills run up a check for 30 points. We should see the Titans and Chiefs trade plenty of points in an air war. My projections have Mahomes scoring 27 points.

Jalen Hurts, @ Raiders, $6,900

Hurts is a guy that is hard to not get to on DraftKings this week. The Raiders and Eagles are in a sneaky good spot here. One of the top totals on the board this weekend and a lot of players will be gravitating towards games like the Chiefs/Titans and Cardinals/Texans.

I’ll be playing tons of Hurts in my lineup due to his high-end rushing upside paired with that passing that seems to be coming along. In games against the Cowboys and Chiefs, Hurts threw the ball for over 300 yards and two touchdowns in each. His passing is just gravy compared to the rushing.

On the season, Hurts is seeing a bit over nine carries a game. In recent weeks, he’s turning his carries into scores as well totaling four touchdowns in two weeks on the ground.

In every single game this season, the second-year QB has yet to score below 23.9 fantasy points on DraftKings. The Raiders rank 18th worst against the QB position and are allowing 24 points a game. It’s a sneaky good matchup for Hurts, play him at a depressed salary.

Matt Ryan, @ Dolphins, $5,700

You might see Matt Ryan and immediately say to yourself “eww”. Well, the matchup is unfortunately phenomenal for the veteran QB. The Dolphins come off an unimpressive defensive performance against the Jaguars in London last Sunday. They gave up 23 points but arguably should’ve been 30+.

With both Xavien Howard and Byron Jones likely trending towards sitting yet again, the matchup gets juicier for the Falcons. In their own right, Atlanta is no joke the past two weeks. The offense is humming as Ryan has led the team to 27 and 30 points respectively.

Now, with a terrible, likely worn down defense after traveling to and from London, the Dolphins are in trouble against Matt Ryan who now gets star WR Calvin Ridley back. Scoring those points without him is a major accomplishment and a point in the right direction.

With both of these defenses allowing 29.5 points per game, the game could go overlooked. Ryan could be a major sneaky play at his price point given his 29 point upside from just two weeks ago.

Running Backs

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Derrick Henry, vs Chiefs, $9,200

At this point, there isn’t much to say about Henry. The star back leads the NFL in yardage, touches, and touchdowns at the position. Unstoppable. He comes in fresh off a monstrous performance dropping (another) three touchdowns on an elite Bills rush defense.

Now, Henry gets a soft Chiefs defense that is allowing the second-most points per game in the entire NFL. According to Football Outsiders, the Chiefs rank 31st in DVOA and are allowing RB’s to average 5.2 yards per carry. Insanity.

Week 1 was the last time Henry failed to score 20 points and it’s been over three weeks since he scored less than 28 Fantasy points. His volume is enough to justify any price tag you give him making him cash viable at all times.

Play him in the highest game total of the week versus a garbage Kansas City Chiefs defense.

Darrell Henderson, vs Lions, $6,600

It’s a revenge game for Matthew Stafford and the Rams that come in versus a Lions team that statistically ranks dead last in almost everything in the NFL defensively. With an implied team total of 33 points, the Rams are projected to be leading for most of the game which means one thing – lots and lots of second-half handoffs.

That equates to likely 20 or more carries for Henderson this weekend versus the league’s 26th ranked defense versus the run and 27th ranked defense based on DVOA. Take a look at what RB’s are doing to this poor Lions defense.

The Lions can’t stop the run and the Rams are going to lead this game wire to wire. Henderson should see at least three targets as well, which he’s seen in three of five games this season, as well as seeing 20+ carries which he logged last game. It’s a smash spot at a cheap price point.

Chuba Hubbard, @ Giants, $6,100

We saw what Darrell Henderson did last week against this terrible unit on defense. The Rams running back racked up 107 total yards on 23 touches while also scoring two touchdowns – easy pickings.

Now, Hubbard and the Panthers come to town in desperation mode. The backup back will see plenty of work against this banged-up Giants defense that ranks 27th in rush DVOA. They also are allowing 29.5 points per game, 29th in the NFL.

Since Christian McCaffrey went down with his injury, the workload alone is enough to keep Hubbard in play. In two games, he’s seen 19 and 30 touches. Plenty of volume rushing and receiving keeps him in play at this price point.

James Conner, vs Texans, $5,600

It’s not the sexiest name but the Cardinals come in as 13 point favorites with an implied team total of 33 points. This should mean an early blowout and tons of opportunity for Conner.

Conner comes into this week averaging just shy of 15 carries per game over the past three weeks. He is also getting involved in the passing game seeing a bit less than two targets a game. The primary reason for such great upside is the touchdown and goal line work he sees.

James Conner has seen five touchdowns over the past three weeks. It’s not the sexiest play like I said, but on a short slate with a high implied team total versus the league’s 28th worst run defense, I’m taking a chance on the upside.

Wide Receivers

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Davante Adams, @ Washington, $8,900

This is the mother of all plays. The best wide receiver in the NFL takes on the league’s worst defense. A defense that is allowing a league-high in points per game and ranks dead last against the passing attack.

No matter the matchup, honestly, Adams is always in play. He leads the NFL in targets and is clearly the best player on the field at all times.

The Football Team doesn’t have any player that can cover him. He likely sees 12-15 targets in this game and scores a touchdown easily.

Cooper Kupp, vs Lions, $8,400

Kupp will be the most chalky wide receiver play on the entire slate Sunday. So far this season, he is the only WR in the NFL to see double-digit targets in every single game. Now, he squares off against one of the league’s worst defenses with a huge implied team total of 33.

On the season, Kupp has scored 26.8 or more Fantasy points in four games. He also has five touchdowns. With the team being favored so huge and Matthew Stafford expected to run up the score versus his former team, expect tons of targets to Kupp.

I’ll be playing Kupp in tons of tournament lineups and guaranteed to have him in cash this weekend.

Calvin Ridley, @ Dolphins, $6,600

We haven’t seen the elite wide receiver in over two weeks thanks to a personal matter and a bye week. We also haven’t seen the same Ridley from last year that was the WR2 in Fantasy without Julio Jones. This means we likely won’t see the highest amount of ownership due to those factors.

Do you know what we will see though? Tons and tons of targets for the third-year WR. In three of four games this season, he’s seen over 11 targets. He also has produced double-digit Fantasy points in three of four games as well. Can’t get much safer than that.

With Kyle Pitts breaking out and demanding coverage, as well as Russell Gage back and Matt Ryan rebounding, things are trending upward for Ridley and the Falcons offense.

We also have to mention the top-two corners for the Dolphins will likely be out and the team is coming off a London trip.

Sterling Shepard, vs Panthers,  $5,600

No Kadarius Toney, no Kenny Golladay, no John Ross. The Giants offense is looking banged up these days, meaning Shepard is in for a barrage of targets. So far on the season when healthy he has been an absolute machine.

He’s had six, nine, 10, and 14 targets – just last week. I expect Shepard to score around 16 DraftKings points this weekend in a great game environment.

Rashod Bateman, vs Bengals, $3,400

In his first week back from injury, Bateman looked like a clear star in the making. The rookie ran a route on 66% of Lamar Jackson‘s drop back’s while also logging four receptions on five targets in a blowout win.

The Ravens didn’t need to pass much but are in for a good game against a solid Bengals team. With Bateman slotting in for tons of snaps and Watkins remaining out, Bateman has the opportunity to see seven or eight targets on Sunday.

At this cheap of a price point, Bateman allows you to get some other high-priced studs in your lineups.

Tight Ends

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Travis Kelce, vs Titans, $7,600

No slate should ever be able to play without having our safety net in Travis Kelce. He’s a security blanket for DFS players as the TE position is just a crapshoot. Now we get our guy back.

We saw last week what a positive game script could do for the best tight end in football. He logged 8-of-11 for 99 yards, just one yard shy of the three-point DraftKings bonus. Lame. Now, we get the same type of game script.

The Chiefs come back home with a team total of 30 points and slot against a bottom-five unit in the NFL. You can’t ever get much safer than Kelce.

Dallas Goedert, vs Raiders, $4,600

Stack and stack often. I touched on just how great of a matchup this is for Jalen Hurts and company. It’s a sneaky good spot as I have the Eagles graded out to score around 27 points this weekend.

Goedert is freshly back from the covid list and Zach Ertz is no longer on the team which means tons of targets and especially tons in the red zone. Take a look at this tweet that sums up things perfectly.

Certified stud without Ertz in the lineup. At this price point and the lack of options at the TE position, Goedert is a great stacking option to pair with Hurts on Sunday.

Ricky Seals-Jones, @ Packers, $3,700

It’s no secret that Logan Thomas is on injured reserve and that RSJ has been in the winning lineups on DraftKings over the past few weeks. They simply won’t increase his salary off this point for some reason.

In two games without Thomas, Seals-Jones has played all but one offensive snap, run a route on 89% of Taylor Heinicke‘s drop backs and has earned an 18.7% target share. So why does he remain so cheap? Especially given the Washington Football Team are 9.5 point underdogs which means tons of passing volume.

This is one of the worst defenses in the NFL, 20th against the TE, with RSJ’s team as a huge dog at a cheap price point. Everything adds up for you to slot him in your lineup once again.

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