Betting

2021 NFL Week 1 Monday Night Football Prop Bets

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Welcome to the 2021 Fantasy Football Week 1 Monday Night Football Player Props!

I’ll be here to give out my player prop bets on Monday nights at Fantasy Six Pack for the 2021 season. If you love fantasy football and daily fantasy sports and haven’t been betting player props yet, then you’ve been missing out. They are the simplest to translate from your fantasy/dfs research and the easiest to take advantage of. 

The biggest thing, in my opinion, is that you get on them as early as possible so that you get the best number out there. Sometimes these numbers/lines will move within minutes of them being released. It’s also highly beneficial to have multiple books to shop around. 

The Baltimore Ravens will visit the Las Vegas Raiders in our first Monday Night Showdown of the year. The Ravens are currently four-point favorites on the road, with the total sitting at 50 points. However, the total is the third-highest on the board, so Vegas doesn’t expect much defense in this one.

Before even taking a regular season snap, Baltimore has already been decimated by injuries. They had a very costly practice on Thursday when they lost both Gus Edwards and Marcus Peters to torn ACLs on back-to-back plays! This all came after losing JK Dobbins, Justice Hill, and Miles Boykin to season-ending injuries. Rookie wide receiver, Rashod Bateman, will also start the season on injured reserve due to a groin injury. 

In their second season at Allegiant Stadium, the Raiders open the 2021 season at home and will look to build on their 8-8 record (2nd in AFC West). After a promising 6-3 start last year, they lost five of their final sevens games, missing the playoffs. 

Las Vegas made a couple of interesting moves this off-season. First, they added Kenyan Drake, which surprised a lot of people, including myself. The Raiders also made a few key additions on the defensive side of the ball through both free agency (Yannick Ngakoue & KJ Wright) and the draft (Travis Moehrig). 

They also added John Brown, who has already been released. That tells me they like what they saw from their second-year wideouts in Henry Ruggs and Bryan Edwards. If this offense improves upon last year, it will rely on these two taking a big leap forward.

Josh Jacobs is currently questionable with a toe injury, so be sure to keep an eye on his status throughout the weekend. 

We should be in for an exciting one for our first Monday Night game of the year!

All of my bets will be 1 unit unless noted otherwise (“Risk” 1u on underdogs, “To Win” 1u on favorites)

2021 NFL Week 1 Monday Night Football Prop Bets

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Mark Andrews – OVER 4.5 receptions (-130 on DK)

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While I don’t like to put much into the preseason, Andrews seemed to be in mid-season form in the short time he was on the field. He also just agreed to a four-year contract extension worth $56 million. Andrews was a beast down the stretch, averaging 6.4 receptions and 80.8 receiving yards over his last five regular games. 

With all of the injuries to the Ravens’ running backs, I expect they will rely on their passing game more than usual. So look for Lamar Jackson to lean heavily on his favorite target in this one. 

This line is already on the move, so get on it before it goes to 5.5. I also have some interest in his receiving yards prop (58.5). But I am going to wait and see if I can get it lower on another book. 

Marquise Brown – OVER 3.5 receptions (-130 on DK)

Marquise Brown – OVER 44.5 receiving yards (-115 on DK)

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I understand many people are down on Brown after he disappointed a lot of people in 2020 (WR36). However, he quietly had a strong finish to his season. Over his last six games, he recorded 26 receptions, 338 receiving yards, and six TDs on 41 targets. 

For the same reasons, I like Andrews. The same goes for Brown. But, again, the volume should be there, and he and Jackson seemed to have established a solid connection. 

His receiving yards have moved up to 48.5 since I took it, but I am still fine with it there. Draftkings is the only sportsbook I’ve seen player props on for this game, though, so keep an eye out elsewhere if you’d prefer to wait.

Henry Ruggs – OVER 18.5 longest reception (-120 on DK)

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Ruggs had a disappointing rookie season, only recording 26 receptions, 452 receiving yards, and two TDs. He did, however, show flashes of how talented he can be and led all rookie WR’s averaging 17.4 YPC.

Reports from camp have been that Derek Carr and Ruggs have been building a rapport and connecting on deep passes. The Raiders also just released John Brown, which almost guarantees more playing time for Ruggs.

The Ravens played the second-most Cover 0 in the league, and Ruggs can always burn a defense that decides to leave no one deep. Baltimore will also be without one of their top corners in Marcus Peters. I’m more than willing to take a shot that Ruggs hauls in at least one deep ball.

Plays Added 9/13

Mark Andrews anytime TD (+110 on DK)

I expect Andrews to be the focal point of the Ravens’ offense tonight. Too many injuries for Lamar to not lean on his favorite target. Expect Lamar to look Andrews’ way in the end zone just as he did last year ( 12 EZ targets – most among TEs, per fantasydata.com).

Darren Waller anytime TD (+120 on DK)

We all know Waller will be peppered with targets. He recorded nine TDs and led all TE’s in red-zone targets in 2020, per fantasydata.com. Oh yea and it’s his birthday tonight so I think we’ll be seeing a little bday celebration in the end zone before the night is over.

Lamar Jackson o1.5 passing TDs (+110 on DK)

Losing their top-3 running backs before the season started should force them to be more pass heavy than in the past, at least in Week 1. While I still expect them to establish the run, this will be the Lamar show, even more so than usual.

Josh Jacobs u12.5 receiving yards (-120 on DK)

Jacobs comes into this game with a toe injury and is now questionable to play due to an illness. Under this number in five of his last nine games. Kenyan Drake is also in town this year. Las Vegas are four-point underdogs so the game script should work in Drake’s favor.

Longshots/Same Game Parlay

Mark Andrews 1st TD (+850 on DK) .35 units to win 3

Darren Waller 1st TD (+1000 on DK) .3 units to win 3

Ty’Son Williams 1st TD (+1100 on DK) .27 units to win 3

SGP – BAL ML + M. Brown 40+ rec yds + M. Andrews 40+ rec yds + M. Andrews TD + D Waller TD (+1315 on FD) .5 units to win 6.8

Final Thoughts

NFL is finally back and I hope you enjoyed your football-filled Sunday as much as I did! First Monday Night game of the year so how can’t I get a little crazy and take some shots to cap off Week 1?

Make sure to keep it light on the longshot/SGP bets and always stick to your units. 

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Enjoy the game and best of luck! If you have any questions, feel free to ask me on Twitter @KSalamido


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About Kyle Salamido

Kyle is a lifelong Green Bay Packers fans and sports betting degenerate. His love of fantasy football started when his Dad let him co-own one of his teams when he was 10. He’d spend every Sunday at his neighbor’s house watching every game with his DirecTv Sunday Ticket. To this day, he still watches every game and doesn’t miss a play. Kyle has 15+ seasons of fantasy football under his belt and has found success in DFS since its’ inception.

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