2021 NFL Week 1 Sunday Night Football Prop Bets

by Mark Strausberg
2021 NFL Week 14 Sunday Night Football Prop Bets

Welcome to the 2021 Fantasy Football Week 1 Sunday Night Football Prop Bets!

Our first Sunday Night Game is the Chicago Bears visiting the Los Angeles Rams. I know this game is a prime-time game. But my guess is that most of the nation will turn this game off around halftime.

There will be plenty to watch for though, especially on the Rams side. Los Angeles beat their fellow NFC West representative Seattle in the Wild Card Round only to come up short in Green Bay in the divisional round. I almost forgot, but the Bears also made the playoffs as well. Unfortunately for them, they did not fare as well, getting bounced by New Orleans in the first round.

The media will likely promote this game as a "clash between two NFC playoff teams", but the Rams are a trendy Super Bowl pick and the Bears....well are not. In fact, they are a popular pick to be one of the least winningest teams in the NFC. I always want a good game, but don't be surprised if this one becomes a laugher. The Rams are favored by more than a touchdown, one of only two teams on Sunday to have that honor.

I think the Rams jump out early on Chicago and let their dominating defense do the rest. However, I would not be surprised to see the Bears keep this within ten points by half-time. In fact, I hope they do, because I will be betting on a LAR offensive explosion and if they jump out too far ahead, we might see the Rams begin to lift their starters. Actually, I like both Sony Michael and Damien Williams, the two RB2s in this game to be a source of sneaky bets. But let's take a look at some of the less sneaky NFL Week 1 Sunday Night Football prop bets.

*Note that all these props come from the DraftKings Sportsbook.

2021 NFL Week 1 Sunday Night Football Prop Bets

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Matthew Stafford - 270.5 Passing Yards (-114) - OVER

This is one of the easier bets on the board. If nothing else, we can look at the substantial sample of 20 games that Stafford has against Chicago. In those 20 games, he has thrown 32 TDs completing nearly 64% of his passes for a total of 5,440 yards. That's an average of 272 passing yards, which clears our necessary mark. However, that's just the baseline. Stafford now has what many believe to be the best set of WRs he's ever had at his disposal. Throw in a better offensive line as well and you gotta feel confident in making this bet. In fact, if you can tease it to closer to 280 to get a slightly better payout, I would.

Jimmy Graham - 11.5 Longest Reception (-115) - UNDER

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We can agree that Graham is not the weapon he once was, right? And even if you think he's still a valuable weapon, most of his utility lies in the fact that he's a red-zone weapon. He's good near the end zone, not much else. Nearly two dozen TEs had a better YPC than the 9.1 YPC Graham had last season, including notable burners like Dalton Schultz and Austin Hooper. Sarcasm aside, the takeaway is I would not expect Graham to have any success running any long routes in general, and especially not against the Rams, who held all Tight Ends to less than 11 fantasy points a game. Furthermore, Graham had only four receptions last year of 20 yards or longer. All indicators are that if Graham does have a catch, it will be for less than twelve yards.

Are you convinced? Great, because I will mention that Graham had a reception of 14 yards against the Rams last year. But that seems to be the exception that proves the rule. Take the under on Graham's longest reception.

Safety To Be Scored (+750) - YES

With the two fairly conservative bets above, I wanted something a little more aggressive. Something I probably would not even bet a full unit on, but a "long shot bet" if you will. And this one certainly qualifies. This is basically a bet on the Rams defense, but is it that wild given they had 53 sacks last year? And yes, that included a safety.  Against the nimble Dalton, I like the Rams' chances of them getting a safety early this year. Plus, we do get the Bears here too, who did average more than two sacks a game. They too had a safety last year. Stranger things have happened and it's fun to root for longshots!

Final Thoughts

Man am I excited football is back! My wife showed me this, saying it fit me to a tee.

And you know what? She's right. And the best part is we still got nearly a full 18 weeks to go!

So enjoy the game, but nothing like a little Week 1 Sunday Night Football prop bets winnings to get the season started right!


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