Betting

2021 NFL Week 13 Monday Night Football Prop Bets

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Welcome back to the 2021 NFL Week 13 Monday Night Football Prop Bets!

Finally, a promising Monday Night matchup between two AFC East rivals for tonight’s game. The AFC’s current number one seed, New England, will travel to Buffalo to take on the Bills.

After a slow start to the season, Bill Belichick and the Patriots have reeled off six straight wins and are now atop the AFC. Not have they only won six straight, they’ve also covered the spread in all six games while winning by an average margin of 20.5 points in those games.

The Patriots have turned to quite a run-heavy approach on offense. However, can you trust anyone of these backs? Both Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson have looked great at times, but neither has been given the majority of the snaps, outside of games where one or the other has missed time. Brandon Bolden has also seen the field quite often, and this is basically a three-man rotation now. They’re a complete stay away from me at this point, especially in a tough matchup tonight.

Buffalo has been up and down this year, but they looked like the 2020 Bills on this past Thanksgiving Day when they took down the Saints 31-6.

The Bills’ backfield is also a tough one to nail down where the production is going to come from now. Zack Moss was a healthy scratch last week, while Devin Singletary and Matt Breida split the running back duties. If the Bills can get ahead then we should see more Singletary, however, it will be more Breida if they are playing catch up.

Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs have gotten their connection back on track. After a slow start to the season, Diggs has recorded 5+ catches in five of his last six games, while also finding the endzone six times his last six games.

Diggs went off in his two matchups against the Patriots in 2020. He posted 15 receptions for 237 yards and three TDs in those two games. He should primarily face off against JC Jackson, who he torched for 4/87/2 in their Week 16 matchup last season. However, Jackson has been a completely different player this year so I can’t expect the same output. I also wouldn’t be surprised if he saw the Belichick treatment tonight. 

The total for this one is sitting at just 41 points so Vegas is expecting a defensive battle. Both defenses have been stout this season so I am with Vegas on this one, but we’ll find a few spots to take advantage of.

2021 SEASON RECAP:

Player Props – 25-22 (+3.4 units)

Longshots/SGP – 2-17 (-1.69 units)

Overall – 27-39 (+1.71 units)

WEEK 12 RECAP:

Player Props – 3-1 (+2 units)

Longshots/SGP – 0-0 (0 unit)

Overall – 3-1 (+2 units)

2021 NFL Week 13 Monday Night Football Prop Bets

All of my bets will be to win 1 unit unless noted otherwise. (“Risk” 1u on underdogs, “To Win” 1u on favorites)

Kendrick Bourne
OVER 31.5 receiving yards (-110 on FD) 2u
OVER 2.5 receptions (-174 on FD)

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Kendrick Bourne has at least three receptions in six straight games and in nine of his last 10. He has also recorded 34+ receiving yards in seven straight games and has 34+ in nine of his last 10.

The Bills have been tough against opposing receivers this year, but I’ll take my chances on these low numbers.

Emmanuel Sanders – UNDER 3.5 receptions (-174 on FD)

Sanders has been irrelevant since the Bills’ Week 7 bye. He’s only been over this number once in those five games. The game he did go over was when he had four catches against the Jaguars in Week 9. He also doesn’t have the easiest of matchups going up against Jalen Mills.

This is another juiced-up one here which I don’t love, but there’s just not a lot out there to love.

Longshots/Same Game Parlay

New England Patriots D/ST – Anytime TD (+800 on FD) 0.5u to win 4

FD SGP – NE +15.5 + BUF +11.5 + OVER 28.5 + UNDER 54.4 (-110 on FD) 1.1 to win 1

Final Thoughts

I will update this page when/if I see anything else that I like. Be sure to check back before kickoff!


Best of luck and if you have any questions feel free to ask me on Twitter @KSalamido

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About Kyle Salamido

Kyle is a lifelong Green Bay Packers fans and sports betting degenerate. His love of fantasy football started when his Dad let him co-own one of his teams when he was 10. He’d spend every Sunday at his neighbor’s house watching every game with his DirecTv Sunday Ticket. To this day, he still watches every game and doesn’t miss a play. Kyle has 15+ seasons of fantasy football under his belt and has found success in DFS since its’ inception.

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